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Judgmental forecasting with time series and causal information

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  • Lim, Joa Sang
  • O'Connor, Marcus
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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V92-3VW1TCH-Y/2/13ce78027ca50892037e652afc3f8150
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting.

    Volume (Year): 12 (1996)
    Issue (Month): 1 (March)
    Pages: 139-153

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:12:y:1996:i:1:p:139-153

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast

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    References

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    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    1. Sniezek, Janet A., 1986. "The role of variable labels in cue probability learning tasks," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 141-161, October.
    2. Everette S. Gardner, Jr. & Ed. Mckenzie, 1985. "Forecasting Trends in Time Series," Management Science, INFORMS, INFORMS, vol. 31(10), pages 1237-1246, October.
    3. Dalrymple, Douglas J., 1987. "Sales forecasting practices: Results from a United States survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 3(3-4), pages 379-391.
    4. M. J. Lawrence & R. H. Edmundson & M. J. O'Connor, 1986. "The Accuracy of Combining Judgemental and Statistical Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, INFORMS, vol. 32(12), pages 1521-1532, December.
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    Cited by:
    1. Leitner, Johannes & Leopold-Wildburger, Ulrike, 2011. "Experiments on forecasting behavior with several sources of information - A review of the literature," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(3), pages 459-469, September.
    2. Bloomfield, Robert & Hales, Jeffrey, 2002. "Predicting the next step of a random walk: experimental evidence of regime-shifting beliefs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 397-414, September.
    3. Sanders, Nada R. & Manrodt, Karl B., 2003. "The efficacy of using judgmental versus quantitative forecasting methods in practice," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 511-522, December.
    4. Fildes, Robert & Goodwin, Paul & Lawrence, Michael & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2009. "Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 3-23.
    5. Song, Haiyan & Gao, Bastian Z. & Lin, Vera S., 2013. "Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 295-310.
    6. Önkal, Dilek & Lawrence, Michael & Zeynep SayIm, K., 2011. "Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 50-68, January.
    7. Pollock, Andrew C. & Macaulay, Alex & Onkal-Atay, Dilek & Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E., 1999. "Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 281-293, April.
    8. Becker, Otwin & Leitner, Johannes & Leopold-Wildburger, Ulrike, 2007. "Heuristic modeling of expectation formation in a complex experimental information environment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 975-985, January.
    9. Goodwin, Paul, 2000. "Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 261-275.
    10. Otwin Becker & Johannes Leitner & Ulrike Leopold-Wildburger, 2008. "Modeling Expectation Formation Involving Several Sources of Information," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 9, pages 96-112, 02.

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