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A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Marcellino, Massimiliano
Stock, James H.
Watson, Mark W.
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics .
Volume (Year): 135 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1-2 ()
Pages: 499-526
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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:135:y:2006:i:1-2:p:499-526Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom
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Paper Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Working Papers
285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!] Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 2005.
"A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2001.
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Other versions: Weiss, Andrew A., 1991.
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Chang-Jin Kim & Charles R. Nelson, 1999.
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Stock J.H. & Watson M.W., 2002.
"Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors ,"
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American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 1167-1179, December.
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Schorfheide, Frank, 2005.
"VAR forecasting under misspecification ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 99-136, September.
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Guillaume Chevillon, 2005.
"Direct multi-step estimation and forecasting ,"
Documents de Travail de l'OFCE
2005-10, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
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Other versions: Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2003.
"What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
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Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2004.
"What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth? ,"
NBER Working Papers
10672, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ang, Andrew & Piazzesi, Monika & Wei, Min, 2006.
"What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ing, Ching-Kang, 2003.
"Multistep Prediction In Autoregressive Processes ,"
Econometric Theory ,
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Flint Brayton & John M. Roberts & John C. Williams, 1999.
"What's happened to the Phillips curve? ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
1999-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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West, Kenneth D, 1996.
"Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1067-84, September.
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Other versions: Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 2002.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(2), pages 147-62, April.
Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F., 1996.
"Multi-Step Estimation for Forecasting ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
447, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
Other versions: Schwert, G. William, 1987.
"Effects of model specification on tests for unit roots in macroeconomic data ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 73-103, July.
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