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Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant

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Author Info
Nelson, Charles R
Schwert, G William

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Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 67 (1977)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
Pages: 478-86
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:67:y:1977:i:3:p:478-86

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  1. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1991. "A Multi-Country Study of the Information in the Term Structure about Future Inflation," NBER Working Papers 3125, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Robert J. Shiller, 1979. "Can the Fed Control Real Interest Rates?," NBER Working Papers 0348, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Robert B. Litterman & Laurence M. Weiss, 1984. "Money, real interest rates, and output: a reinterpretation of postwar U.S. data," Staff Report 89, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1989. "Understanding Real Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 2691, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Karen K. Lewis & Martin D. Evans, 1992. "Do Expected Shifts in Inflation Policy Affect Real Rates?," NBER Working Papers 4134, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Frederic S. Mishkin & John Simon, 1997. "An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia," NBER Working Papers 5080, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. V. Vance Roley & Carl E. Walsh, 1986. "Monetary Policy Regimes, Expected Inflation, and the Response of Interest Rates to Money Announcements," NBER Working Papers 1181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Noor A. Ghazali & Shamshubariah Ramlee, 2003. "A long memory test of the long-run Fisher effect in the G7 countries," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 763-769, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. G. K. Randolph TAN, 2004. "Long Memory in Import and Export Price Inflation and Persistence of Shocks to the Terms of Trade," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 732, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  10. Joseph D. Albert & Willard McIntosh, 1989. "Identifying Risk-Adjusted Indifference Rents for Alternative Operating Leases," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 4(3), pages 81-94. [Downloadable!]
  11. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1990. "Yield Curve," NBER Working Papers 3550, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2006. "Forecasting of small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities," Research Working Paper RWP 06-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
  13. William Kerr & Robert G. King, 1996. "Limits on interest rate rules in the IS model," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Spr, pages 47-75. [Downloadable!]
  14. Richard Sweeney & Arthur Warga, 1984. "The Pricing of Unanticipated Changes in Expected Inflation: Evidence from the Stock Market," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1218, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
  15. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1996. "Forecast Evaluation and Combination," NBER Technical Working Papers 0192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. René Garcia & Pierre Perron, 1995. "An Analysis of the Real Interest Rate Under Regime Shifts," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-05, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Woon Gyu Choi & Yi Wen, 2005. "Measuring interest rates as determined by thrift and productivity," Working Papers 2005-037, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  19. Kate Phylaktis & David Blake, 1993. "The fisher hypothesis: Evidence from three high inflation economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 129(3), pages 591-599, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Robrt G. King & Andre Kurmann, 2002. "Expectations and the term structure of interest rates : evidence and implications," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 49-95. [Downloadable!]
  21. Cihan Yalcin & Gulbin Sahinbeyoglu, 2000. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates : Does It Tell About Future Inflation," Discussion Papers 0002, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
  22. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1990. "What Does the Term Structure Tell Us About Future Inflation?," NBER Working Papers 2626, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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