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Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes


Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the follow RePEc Biblio entries:
  1. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables

This topic is covered by the following reading lists:
  1. Quantitative Macroeconomics and Real Business Cycles (QM&RBC)
  2. Mondialisation
  3. Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy (ECON 447)

Most recent items first, undated at the end.
  • 2014 Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013
    by Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller
  • 2014 Macroprudential Policy and the Financial Cycle: Some Stylized Facts and Policy Suggestions
    by Claudio Borio
  • 2014 New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers: A comment
    by Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Rannenberg, Ansgar & Schreiber, Sven
  • 2014 Anticipating business-cycle turning points in real time using density forecasts from a VAR
    by Schreiber, Sven
  • 2014 The role of oil price shocks in causing U.S. recessions
    by Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J.
  • 2014 The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach
    by Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H.
  • 2014 EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro
    by Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti & Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi
  • 2014 Long run forecasts of Australia’s terms of trade
    by Jared Bullen & Michael Kouparitsas & Michal Krolikowski
  • 2014 Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure
    by Selen Baser Andic & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc
  • 2014 Banking Crises in the US: the Response of Top Income Shares in a Historical Perspective
    by Salvatore Morelli
  • 2014 New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers - A comment
    by Andrew Hughes Hallett & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sven Schreiber
  • 2014 The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States
    by Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler
  • 2014 Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions
    by Cláudia Duarte
  • 2014 An Investigation into the Impact of Federal Government Budget Deficits on the Ex Ante Real Interest Rate Yield on Treasury Notes in the U.S
    by Cebula, Richard
  • 2014 Predictive Power of Aggregate Short Interest
    by Yu, Eric Jinsan
  • 2014 The Dynamics of Inflation and GDP Growth: A Mixed Frequency Model Approach
    by Franco, Ray John Gabriel & Mapa, Dennis S.
  • 2014 Estimates of the Price Elasticities of Natural Gas Supply and Demand in the United States
    by Arora, Vipin
  • 2014 Comovement of oil prices with US economic indicators over the business cycle: facts and explanations
    by Yazid Dissou & Lilia Karnizova
  • 2014 Short-term Indicator Models for Quarterly GDP Growth in the BRIICS: A Small-scale Bridge Model Approach
    by Thomas Chalaux & Cyrille Schwellnus
  • 2014 OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem
    by Nigel Pain & Christine Lewis & Thai-Thanh Dang & Yosuke Jin & Pete Richardson
  • 2014 Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models
    by Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide
  • 2014 Nowcasting Belgium
    by David de Antonio Liedo
  • 2014 Early warning indicators: financial and macroeconomic imbalances in Central and Eastern European countries
    by Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai
  • 2014 Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and International Oil Prices
    by Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Mozhgan Raeisian Parvari
  • 2014 Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions
    by Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova
  • 2014 Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation: A Cross Country Analysis
    by Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga
  • 2014 Improving the Reliability of Real-time Hodrick-Prescott Filtering Using Survey Forecasts
    by Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Marcelo L. Moura
  • 2014 A Note on the Representative Adaptive Learning Algorithm
    by Jaqueson Galimberti & Michele Berardi
  • 2014 The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014: A Composite Leading Indicator for the Swiss Business Cycle
    by Klaus Abberger & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Michael Graff
  • 2014 Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey
    by Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli
  • 2014 Forecasting German Key Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Dataset Methods
    by Inske Pirschel & Maik Wolters
  • 2014 Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area - an empirical assessment
    by Jens Boysen-Hogrefe
  • 2014 Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators
    by Katja Drechsel & S. Giesen & Axel Lindner
  • 2014 China’s Monetary Policy and Commodity Prices
    by Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2014 An Equilibrium Foundation of the Soros Chart
    by Kano, Takashi & Morita, Hiroshi
  • 2014 The Multi-faceted Concept of Transparency
    by Forssbaeck, Jens & Oxel, Lars
  • 2014 Analysis of forecast errors in micro-level survey data
    by Paloviita, Maritta & Viren, Matti
  • 2014 Information Rigidities: Comparing Average And Individual Forecasts For A Large International Panel
    by Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Prakash Loungani & Natalia Tamirisa
  • 2014 Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation
    by Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed
  • 2014 Forecasting In a Non-Linear DSGE Model
    by Sergey Ivashchenko
  • 2014 Structural VARs, Deterministic and Stochastic Trends: Does Detrending Matter?
    by Varang Wiriyawit & Benjamin Wong
  • 2014 Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs
    by Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan
  • 2014 Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts
    by James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith
  • 2014 On trend-cycle-seasonal interactions
    by Irma Hindrayanto & Jan Jacobs & Denise Osborn
  • 2014 Adaptive learning and survey data
    by Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick
  • 2014 The Financial Crisis and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008-2013
    by Ray C. Fair
  • 2014 Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models
    by Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano
  • 2014 Tax Reduction Policies of the Productive Sector and Its Impacts on Brazilian Economy
    by Costa Junior, Celso José & Sampaio, Armando Vaz
  • 2014 Time variation in the dynamic effects of unanticipated changes in tax policy
    by Joris de Wind
  • 2014 Reduced-rank time-varying vector autoregressions
    by Joris de Wind & Luca Gambetti
  • 2014 On the Applicability of Global Approximation Methods for Models with Jump Discontinuities in Policy Functions
    by Christoph Görtz & Afrasiab Mirza
  • 2014 Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs
    by Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel
  • 2014 Business Cycle Persistence in a Model with Schumpeterian Growth and Uncorrelated Shocks
    by Chase Coleman & Kerk L. Phillips
  • 2014 Inflation Dynamics and Business Cycles
    by Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Nuran Arslaner & Ferhat Arslaner
  • 2014 The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time
    by A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo
  • 2014 House prices, credit and the effect of monetary policy in Norway: Evidence from Structural VAR Models
    by Ørjan Robstad
  • 2014 Forecasting recessions in real time
    by Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo
  • 2014 New estimate of the MIBA forecasting model. Modeling first-release GDP using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey and the “blocking” approach
    by Mogliani, M. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O. & Pluyaud, B.
  • 2014 Forecasting Short-Term Real GDP Growth in the Euro Area and Japan Using Unrestricted MIDAS Regressions
    by Maxime Leboeuf & Louis Morel
  • 2014 Trend Mis-specifications and Estimated Policy Implications in DSGE Models
    by Varang Wiriyawit
  • 2014 Bagging Weak Predictors
    by Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand
  • 2014 An Empirical Note on the Success of Forecasting Economic Developments in Major Emerging Markets
    by Iikka Korhonen & Maria Ritola
  • 2014 Composite Leading Indicators of Economic Cycles of V4 Countries and their Comparison to the CLI of the Eurostat and the OECD
    by Emília Jakubíková & Andrea Tkáčová & Anna Bánociová
  • 2014 Inflation dynamics in the Czech Republic: Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips curve
    by Daniela Milučká
  • 2014 How Reliable are Hungarian Macroeconomic forecasts?
    by Gábor Papanek - Raymund Petz
  • 2014 Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries
    by Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz
  • 2014 Using BREL to nowcast the Belgian business cycle: the role of survey data
    by Ch. Piette & G. Langenus
  • 2014 Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2014
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2014 Das neue KOF Konjunkturbarometer – Version 2014
    by Michael Graff & Klaus Abberger & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2014 Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rathke & Pauliina Sandqvist & Samad Sarferaz & Michael Siegenthaler & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2014 Glaskugel Prognose – Warum werden ökonomische Prognosen nicht besser?
    by Oliver Holtemöller
  • 2014 Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik
    by Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose
  • 2014 Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland
    by Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH
  • 2014 Risks to Price Stability, the Zero Lower Bound, and Forward Guidance: A Real-Time Assessment
    by Günter Coenen & Anders Warne
  • 2014 Developing a Dynamic Stochastic Model of General Equilibrium for the Russian Economy
    by Andrei Polbin & Sergey Drobyshevsky
  • 2014 Forecasting GDP growth with financial market data in Finland: Revisiting stylized facts in a small open economy during the financial crisis
    by Kuosmanen, Petri & Vataja, Juuso
  • 2014 Purchasing and supply managers provide early clues on the direction of the US economy: An application of a new market-timing test
    by Tsuchiya, Yoichi
  • 2014 Signals and learning in a new Keynesian economy
    by Marzioni, Stefano
  • 2014 Sticky prices or economically-linked economies: The case of forecasting the Chinese stock market
    by Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E.
  • 2014 Return and volatility dynamics among four African equity markets: A multivariate VAR-EGARCH analysis
    by Kuttu, Saint
  • 2014 Do oil prices predict economic growth? New global evidence
    by Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan & Poon, Wai Ching & Westerlund, Joakim
  • 2014 A note on the representative adaptive learning algorithm
    by Berardi, Michele & Galimberti, Jaqueson K.
  • 2014 Habit formation in state-dependent pricing models: Implications for the dynamics of output and prices
    by Ngo, Phuong V.
  • 2014 Time scale evaluation of economic forecasts
    by Michis, Antonis A.
  • 2014 Intangible capital in a real business cycle model
    by Malik, Kashif Zaheer & Ali, Syed Zahid & Khalid, Ahmed M.
  • 2014 EU fiscal stance vulnerability: Are the old members the gold members?
    by Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin
  • 2014 Forecasting exchange rates using panel model and model averaging
    by Garratt, Anthony & Mise, Emi
  • 2014 Experimental evidence on inflation expectation formation
    by Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž
  • 2014 Adaptive learning, endogenous uncertainty, and asymmetric dynamics
    by Guse, Eran A.
  • 2014 Capital maintenance and depreciation over the business cycle
    by Albonico, Alice & Kalyvitis, Sarantis & Pappa, Evi
  • 2014 Volatility and welfare
    by Lester, Robert & Pries, Michael & Sims, Eric
  • 2014 Inflation Dynamics and Business Cycles
    by Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Nuran Arslaner & Ferhat Arslaner
  • 2013 Predicting Turning Points of the Business Cycle: Do Financial Sector Variables Help?
    by A. Pestova.
  • 2013 Evaluating Phillips Curve Based Inflation Forecasts in Europe: A Note
    by Carsten Croonenbroeck
  • 2013 Household`s Disagreement on Inflation Expectations and Socioeconomic Media Exposure in Germany
    by Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp
  • 2013 Competitive Moment Matching of a New-Keynesian and an Old-Keynesian Model
    by Franke, Reiner
  • 2013 Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
    by Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia
  • 2013 Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?
    by Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian
  • 2013 Markov Switching with Endogenous Number of Regimes and Leading Indicators in a Real-Time Business Cycle Forecast
    by Theobald, Thomas
  • 2013 Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?
    by Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen
  • 2013 Forecasting business-cycle turning points with (relatively large) linear systems in real time
    by Schreiber, Sven
  • 2013 Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in a New-Keynesian Baseline Model
    by Sacht, Stephen & Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok
  • 2013 Testing for the existence of a bubble in the stock market
    by Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara
  • 2013 Monthly US business cycle indicators: A new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter
    by Marczak, Martyna & Gómez, Victor
  • 2013 Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance: A real-time assessment
    by Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders
  • 2013 Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models
    by Wolters, Maik H.
  • 2013 Households' disagreement on inflation expectations and socioeconomic media exposure in Germany
    by Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp
  • 2013 Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors
    by Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe
  • 2013 Exchange Rates and Fundamentals:Closing a Two-country Model
    by Takashi Kano
  • 2013 Measuring U.S. Business Cycles: A Comparison of Two Methods and Two Indicators of Economic Activities
    by Francis W. Ahking
  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan
  • 2013 Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2013 Did CNBC contribute to the Great Moderation or the Great Recession?
    by Mark Setterfield & Shyam Gouri Suresh
  • 2013 Asymmetric Behaviour of Inflation around the Target in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Markets
    by Kurmas Akdogan
  • 2013 GDP Growth and Credit Data
    by Ergun Ermisoglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu
  • 2013 End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey
    by M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel
  • 2013 Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables
    by Gary Koop
  • 2013 Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models
    by Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop
  • 2013 Combining disaggregate forecasts for inflation: The SNB's ARIMA model
    by Marco Huwiler & Daniel Kaufmann
  • 2013 Adaptive Learning and Survey Data
    by Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick
  • 2013 Transportation Data as a Tool for Nowcasting Economic Activity – The German Road Pricing System as an Example
    by Roland Döhrn
  • 2013 Learning and the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier
    by E. QUAGHEBEUR
  • 2013 EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries
    by Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti
  • 2013 Impact of Eurozone Financial Shocks on Southeast Asian Economies
    by Menon, Jayant & Ng, Thiam Hee
  • 2013 Are business tendency surveys useful to forecast private investment in Peru? A non-linear approach
    by Arenas, Paúl & Morales, Daniel
  • 2013 Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts
    by James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith
  • 2013 Interwar Deflation and Depression
    by Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith
  • 2013 Forecasting inflation at the Central Bank of Malta�
    by Gatt, William
  • 2013 Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model
    by Marto, Ricardo
  • 2013 Private Businesses Predict Limited Growth for 2013
    by Everett, Craig R. & K., John
  • 2013 An Early Warning System for Inflation in the Philippines Using Markov-Switching and Logistic Regression Models
    by Cruz, Christopher John & Mapa, Dennis
  • 2013 Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles
    by Doshchyn, Artur & Giommetti, Nicola
  • 2013 Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia
    by Petreski, Marjan
  • 2013 Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japan
    by Kitov, Ivan & KItov, Oleg
  • 2013 Real estate prices in Japan and Lewis turning point
    by Tabata, Katsushi & Kawaguchi, Yuichiro
  • 2013 The normal price. The case of the retail price of diesel fuel
    by Kossov, Vladimir & Kossova, Elena
  • 2013 The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles
    by Tausch, Arno
  • 2013 Did Greenspan Open Pandora's Box? Testing the Taylor Hypothesis and Beyond
    by Palma, Nuno
  • 2013 Long-Run Risk and Hidden Growth Persistence
    by Pakos, Michal
  • 2013 Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?
    by Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus
  • 2013 GDP Growth and Credit Data
    by Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif
  • 2013 Monitoring of Credit Risk through the Cycle: Risk Indicators
    by Yashkir, Olga & Yashkir, Yuriy
  • 2013 Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
    by Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael
  • 2013 Does long memory matter in forecasting oil price volatility?
    by Delavari, Majid & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil
  • 2013 Inflation Skewness and Price Indexation
    by Firouzi Naeim, Peyman & Rahimzadeh, golnoush
  • 2013 Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow
    by Alessandro Beber & Michael W. Brandt & Maurizio Luisi
  • 2013 Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling
    by Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright
  • 2013 Forecasting the Recovery from the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?
    by Kathryn M.E. Dominguez & Matthew D. Shapiro
  • 2013 Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?
    by Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski
  • 2013 Unemployment in the Estimated New Keynesian SoePL-2012 DSGE Model
    by Grzegorz Grabek & Bohdan Klos
  • 2013 Modelling of cycles in the residential real estate market – interactions between the primary and the secondary market and multiplier effects
    by Hanna Augustyniak & Laszek Jacek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk
  • 2013 Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?
    by Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren
  • 2013 Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey
    by Andreas Karpf
  • 2013 Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey
    by Andreas Karpf
  • 2013 Sticky Price Inflation Index: An Alternative Core Inflation Measure
    by Ádám Reiff & Judit Várhegyi
  • 2013 Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece
    by Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana
  • 2013 Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members
    by Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann
  • 2013 Probability and Severity of Recessions
    by Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic
  • 2013 Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors
    by Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus
  • 2013 Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective
    by Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova
  • 2013 Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution
    by Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova
  • 2013 Role of Financial and Productivity Shocks in the US and Japan: A Two-Country Economy
    by Yue ZHAO
  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley
  • 2013 Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended Phillips Curve Models with non-filtered Data
    by Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 Forecasting GDP Growth Using Mixed-Frequency Models With Switching Regimes
    by Fady Barsoum & Sandra Stankiewicz
  • 2013 Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis
    by Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca
  • 2013 Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment
    by Katja Drechsel & R. Scheufele
  • 2013 A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap
    by Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo
  • 2013 Modelling italian potential output and the output gap
    by Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno
  • 2013 Explaining the German Employment Miracle in the Great Recession – The Crucial Role of Temporary Working Time Reductions
    by Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn
  • 2013 Power Generation and the Business Cycle: The Impact of Delaying Investment
    by Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic
  • 2013 Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile
    by Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Felipe Pinto
  • 2013 Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile
    by Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic
  • 2013 Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules
    by Sergio Ocampo Diaz
  • 2013 Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model
    by Kano, Takashi
  • 2013 Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia
    by Oxana A. Malakhovskaya & Alexey R. Minabutdinov
  • 2013 Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?
    by Bulat Gafarov
  • 2013 International dispersion of retail diesel fuel prices and the estimation of normal price values
    by Vladimir Kossov & Elena Kossova
  • 2013 Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis
    by Brinca, Pedro
  • 2013 Un-truncating VARs
    by De Graeve, Ferre & Westermark, Andreas
  • 2013 Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries
    by Haavio, Markus & Mendicino , Caterina & Punzi , Maria Teresa
  • 2013 Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends
    by Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham
  • 2013 Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends
    by Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham
  • 2013 Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends
    by Peter Fuleky & Carl
  • 2013 Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis
    by Pedro Brinca
  • 2013 Russian Industrial Enterprises (on the Basis of the Surveys) in 2012
    by Sergey Tsukhlo
  • 2013 Noisy information and fundamental disagreement
    by Andrade, Philippe & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel
  • 2013 An evaluation of the Federal Reserve estimates of the natural rate of unemployment in real time
    by Gumbau-Brisa, Fabia & Olivei, Giovanni P.
  • 2013 FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations
    by Paul Hubert
  • 2013 A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data
    by Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino
  • 2013 Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model
    by Takashi Kano
  • 2013 Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order Approximation
    by Robert Kollmann
  • 2013 The Dynamic Effect of Oil Rent on Industrial Value Added: a SVAR Approach
    by Fakhri Issaoui & Talel Boufateh & Ghassen El Montasser
  • 2013 Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation
    by Robert Kollmann
  • 2013 Nowcasting Norway
    by Mattéo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci
  • 2013 Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?
    by Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega
  • 2013 Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models with Non-filtered Data
    by Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley
  • 2013 Solution-Driven Specification of DSGE Models
    by Francisco Blasques
  • 2013 Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2013 Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox
    by Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2013 Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series
    by Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors
    by Bessec, Marie
  • 2013 Is the Friedman Rule Stabilizing? Some Unpleasant Results in a Heterogeneous Expectations Framework
    by Mattia Guerini
  • 2013 Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?
    by Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani
  • 2013 The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s
    by Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong
  • 2013 Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation
    by Kollmann, Robert
  • 2013 Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models
    by Foerster, Andrew & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Waggoner, Daniel F & Zha, Tao
  • 2013 Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?
    by Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo
  • 2013 Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility
    by Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano
  • 2013 Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano
    by Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia
  • 2013 Metodología de perfiles coincidentes para determinar indicadores líderes y contemporáneos, estudio de caso
    by Wilmer Martínez
  • 2013 Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia
    by Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez
  • 2013 Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?
    by Ales Bulir & Jaromir Hurnik & Katerina Smidkova
  • 2013 Probability and Severity of Recessions
    by Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic
  • 2013 Nowcasting GDP: Electronic Payments, Data Vintages and the Timing of Data Releases
    by John Galbraith & Greg Tkacz
  • 2013 Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?
    by Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe
  • 2013 Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?
    by Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel
  • 2013 Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany
    by Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe
  • 2013 The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s
    by Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong
  • 2013 Modeling and Simulation: An Overview
    by Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley
  • 2013 Can Uncorrelated Shocks Generate Aggregate Autocorrelation?: Business Cycle Persistence in a Model with Endogenous Growth and Fluctuations
    by Chase Coleman & Kerk Phillips
  • 2013 Financial factors and the international transmission mechanism
    by Haddow, Abigail & Mileva, Mariya
  • 2013 Economic uncertainty and the effectiveness of monetary policy
    by Knut Are Aastveit & Gisle James Natvik & Sergio Sola
  • 2013 A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data
    by Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino
  • 2013 The financial content of inflation risks in the euro area
    by Andrade, P. & Fourel, V. & Ghysels, E. & Idier, I.
  • 2013 Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?
    by Bec, F. & Mogliani, M.
  • 2013 Belief shocks and the macroeconomy
    by Suda, J.
  • 2013 Tracking world trade and GDP in real time
    by Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi
  • 2013 Perceived Inflation Persistence
    by Monica Jain
  • 2013 Short-Run Forecasting of Argentine GDP Growth
    by Marcos Dal Bianco & Jaime Martinez-Martín & Maximo Camacho
  • 2013 On the Predictive Power of Yield Spread for Future Growth and Recession: The Turkish Case
    by Huseyin Kaya
  • 2013 Diffusion Indexes with Sparse Loadings
    by Johannes Tang Kristensen
  • 2013 Forecasting US Recessions: The Role of Sentiments
    by Charlotte Christiansen & Jonas Nygaard Eriksen & Stig V. Møller
  • 2013 Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox
    by Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2013 An early warning system to predict speculative house price bubbles
    by Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A.
  • 2013 Globalisation effect on inflation in the Great Moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries
    by Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua
  • 2013 Commodity Prices, Convenience Yields, and Inflation
    by Nikolay Gospodinov & Serena Ng
  • 2013 End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions: An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey
    by Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel
  • 2013 A Real Economic Activity Indicator for Turkey
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Cagri Sarikaya
  • 2013 The Dollar Standard and Stability of China’s Macroeconomy
    by Guohua He & Xinxin Chang
  • 2013 Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades
    by Winkelried, Diego
  • 2013 Output Gap as Indicator of Inflation - Case for Czech Economy
    by Dana Kloudová
  • 2013 Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model
    by Jan Kodera & Quang Van Tran & Miloslav Vošvrda
  • 2013 Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Real Estate Prices || Redes neuronales artificiales para la predicción de precios inmobiliarios
    by Núñez Tabales, Julia M. & Caridad y Ocerin, José María & Rey Carmona, Francisco J.
  • 2013 The Euro Changeover Monetary Strategies of the European States that Joined the European Union: Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic and PolandAbstract:One of the most ambitious projects undertaken by the European Union focuses on its own expansion, through the reunification of the European continent, its people and legislative framework. The desire to become members of the European Union has led to decisions on democracy and market economy and encouraged the continuation of the tendency to reform. These new states had to undertake a series of reforms in the legislation in order to align to the requirements of the Maastricht criteria for adopting euro and becoming mmembers of the European Monetary Union, for completing their integration process
    by Radulescu Magdalena & Stanciu Radu
  • 2013 Assessing The Price Risk On The Romanian Agricultural Market: Analyses And Implications
    by Larisa Nicoleta POP & Flavius ROVINARU & Mihaela ROVINARU
  • 2013 Short-term forecasting of French GDP growth using dynamic factor models
    by Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz
  • 2013 Constructing a conditional GDP fan chart with an application to French business survey data
    by Matthieu Cornec
  • 2013 Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2013
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2013 What inflation developments reveal about the Phillips curve: implications for monetary policy
    by A. Stevens
  • 2013 Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2013
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2013 Assessment of macroeconomic imbalance indicators
    by Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai
  • 2013 An Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Gold Prices: Evidence from Pakistan
    by Saira Tufail & Sadia Batool
  • 2013 Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Pauliina Sandqvist & Samad Sarferaz & Michael Siegenthaler & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2013 Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Pauliina Sandqvist & Samad Sarferaz & Michael Siegenthaler & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2013 Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Pauliina Sandqvist & Samad Sarferaz & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2013 Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft
    by Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Andrea Lassmann & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Pauliina Sandqvist & Boriss Siliverstovs & Banu Simmons-Süer & Anne Stücker & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2013 Conditional Volatility Asymmetry Of Business Cycles: Evidence From Four Oecd Countries
    by KIN-YIP HO & ALBERT K. TSUI & ZHAOYONG ZHANG
  • 2013 Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr
    by AK Konjunktur
  • 2013 Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions
    by Pablo Pincheira
  • 2013 Efficiency of economic development models
    by Oana Camelia Iacob & Ana-Maria VOlintiru & Andrei Mihai Cristea
  • 2013 Predictive Ability of the Composed Cyclical Indices for the Turning Points of the Mexican Economy
    by Víctor M. Guerrero
  • 2013 Value-at-Risk-Estimation in the Mexican Stock Exchange Using Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models and Theory of Extreme Values
    by Alejandro Iván Aguirre Salado & Humberto Vaquera Huerta & Martha Elva Ramírez Guzmán & José René Valdez Lazalde & Carlos Arturo Aguirre Salado
  • 2013 Paul Krugman Denies Having Concurred With an Administration Forecast: A Note
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  • 2013 Endogenizing technical change: Uncertainty, profits, entrepreneurship. A long-term view of sectoral dynamics
    by Fusari, Angelo & Reati, Angelo
  • 2013 Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis
    by Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel
  • 2013 Are forecast updates progressive?
    by Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael
  • 2013 Long-term iron ore price modeling: Marginal costs vs. incentive price
    by Pustov, Alexander & Malanichev, Alexander & Khobotilov, Ilya
  • 2013 A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?
    by Cuddington, John T. & Zellou, Abdel M.
  • 2013 Fitting survey expectations and uncertainty about trend inflation
    by Henzel, Steffen R.
  • 2013 Fiscal policy and business cycle characteristics in a heterogeneous agent macro model
    by Neveu, Andre R.
  • 2013 Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?
    by Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos
  • 2013 A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession
    by Keen, Steve
  • 2013 The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone
    by Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M.
  • 2013 Silver fetters? The rise and fall of the Chinese price level 1928–34
    by Ho, Tai-kuang & Lai, Cheng-chung
  • 2013 Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets
    by Ponomarenko, Alexey
  • 2013 Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering
    by Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K.
  • 2013 Large time-varying parameter VARs
    by Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris
  • 2013 Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models
    by Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz
  • 2013 When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel
    by Dovern, Jonas
  • 2013 The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle
    by Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil
  • 2013 Estimating the state vector of linearized DSGE models without the Kalman filter
    by Kollmann, Robert
  • 2013 Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices
    by Agnello, Luca & Dufrénot, Gilles & Sousa, Ricardo M.
  • 2013 Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis
    by Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati
  • 2013 A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables
    by Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi
  • 2013 Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model
    by Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal
  • 2013 The loss from uncertainty on policy targets
    by Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Traficante, Guido
  • 2013 Do corporate executives have accurate predictions for the economy? A directional analysis
    by Tsuchiya, Yoichi
  • 2013 Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?
    by Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F.
  • 2013 Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence
    by Pakoš, Michal
  • 2013 Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk
    by Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore
  • 2013 Foreign exchange markets and oil prices in Asia
    by Narayan, Seema
  • 2013 Is There a Link Between Monetary Policy and Risk Perception in Eastern European Countries Implementing Inflation Targeting Regime?
    by Aydan Kansu & Nurtac Yildirim & Oguzhan Ozcelebi
  • 2013 Deutsche Industrie: durchwachsene Lage, positive Aussichten
    by Dorothea Lucke
  • 2013 Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano
    by Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo
  • 2013 Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia
    by Jacobo Campo Robledo & Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández
  • 2013 Desaceleración económica e inflación de activos financieros en Colombia
    by Mateo Clavijo
  • 2013 Nowcasting GDP growth with credit data: Evidence from an emerging market economy
    by Ergun Ermis oglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu
  • 2013 Measuring Inflation Expectations
    by Olivier Armantier & W�ndi Bruine de Bruin & Simon Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert van der Klaauw & Basit Zafar
  • 2013 Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling
    by Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright
  • 2013 Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data
    by R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims
  • 2013 The Accuracy of Forecasts Made for the Structure of Consumer Basket: A Comparative Analysis between Euro Area and Romania || La exactitud de las predicciones para la estructura de cesta del consumo: un análisis comparativo entre la zona euro y Rumanía
    by Bratu (Simionescu), Mihaela
  • 2012 Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?
    by David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy
  • 2012 Prognosen von Metallpreisen: Asymmetrische Verlustfunktionen und Rationalität
    by Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann
  • 2012 The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective
    by Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2012 Simulación de un modelo de equilibrio general computable para Venezuela
    by Pedauga, Luis Enrique & Sáez, Francisco & Velázquez, Agustín
  • 2012 En busca de un buen marco de referencia predictivo para la inflación en Chile
    by Pincheira, Pablo & García, Álvaro
  • 2012 Forecasting and policy making
    by Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik
  • 2012 Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models
    by Wolters, Maik Hendrik
  • 2012 Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries
    by Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua
  • 2012 An early warning system to predict the speculative house price bubbles
    by Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A.
  • 2012 Early warning indicator model of financial developments using an ordered logit
    by Reimers, Hans-Eggert
  • 2012 Evaluating Phillips curve based inflation forecasts in Europe: A note
    by Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Stadtmann, Georg
  • 2012 Housing starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States: Do forecasters herd?
    by Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg
  • 2012 House price forecasts in times of crisis: Do forecasters herd?
    by Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg
  • 2012 Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model
    by Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen
  • 2012 Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2012 Combination schemes for turning point predictions
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2012 Interpreting the Hours-Technology time-varying relationship
    by Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A León-Ledesma
  • 2012 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee
  • 2012 Leverage, liquidity and crisis: A simulation study
    by Antoine Godin & Stephen Kinsella
  • 2012 A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting
    by John M Maheu & Yong Song
  • 2012 Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?
    by Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren
  • 2012 Analyzing the relationships between survey forecasts for different variables and countries
    by Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren
  • 2012 Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth
    by Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay
  • 2012 Turkiye Icin Bir Reel Iktisadi Faaliyet Gostergesi
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Cagri Sarikaya
  • 2012 Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis
    by Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli
  • 2012 Medium-frequency cycles and the remarkable near trend-stationarity of output
    by Tom Holden
  • 2012 A New Model of Trend Inflation
    by Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter
  • 2012 Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment
    by Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2012 Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs
    by Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2012 Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts
    by Peter Tulip & Stephanie Wallace
  • 2012 An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between WPI and PMI-Manufacturing Price Indices in India
    by Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar & George, Asish Thomas
  • 2012 European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development
    by Skribans, Valerijs
  • 2012 Income Transfer as Model of Economic Growth
    by Costa Junior, Celso Jose & Sampaio, Armando Vaz & Gonçalves, Flávio de Oliveria
  • 2012 Sustainable trends and periodicity in consumer price indices indicate that the era of low energy prices is approaching
    by Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg
  • 2012 EU Fiscal Stance Vulnerability: Are the Old Members the Gold Members?
    by Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin
  • 2012 Natural Gas and U.S. Economic Activity
    by Arora, Vipin & Lieskovsky, Jozef
  • 2012 Monetary policy, informality and business cycle fluctuations in a developing economy vulnerable to external shocks
    by Haider, Adnan & Din, Musleh-ud & Ghani, Ejaz
  • 2012 Markups and Entry in a DSGE Model
    by Cavallari, Lilia
  • 2012 Leverage, skewness and amplitude asymmetric cycles
    by Artiach, Miguel
  • 2012 Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model
    by Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal
  • 2012 An analytical and numerical search for bifurcations in open economy New Keynesian models
    by Barnett, William & Eryilmaz, Unal
  • 2012 Modeling risk in a dynamically changing world: from association to causation
    by Sokolov, Yuri
  • 2012 Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability
    by Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling & Puah, Chin-Hong & Abu Mansor, Shazali & Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
  • 2012 Vliv makroekonomických šoků na dynamiku vládního dluhu: jak robustní je fiskální pozice České republiky?
    by Melecky, Ales & Melecky, Martin
  • 2012 A new model of trend inflation
    by Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon
  • 2012 Inferring monetary policy objectives with a partially observed state
    by Givens, Gregory & Salemi, Michael
  • 2012 Large time-varying parameter VARs
    by Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris
  • 2012 On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev wave
    by Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L.
  • 2012 Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models
    by Wolters, Maik Hendrik
  • 2012 Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?
    by Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
  • 2012 House-price crash and macroeconomic crisis: a Hong Kong case study
    by Zhang, Hewitt & Hu, Yannan & Hu, Bo
  • 2012 Inflation Expectations Formation In The Presence Of Policy Shifts And Structural Breaks: An Experimental Analysis
    by Luis Ricardo Maertens & Gabriel Rodríguez
  • 2012 Industrial Transformation, Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness, and the Great Moderation
    by Alessandro Flamini & Guido Ascari & Lorenza Rossi
  • 2012 Nominal Rigidities, Supply Shocks and Economic Stability
    by Guido Ascari & Alessandro Flamini & Lorenza Rossi
  • 2012 Heterogeneity in Sectoral Price Stickiness, Aggregate Dynamics and Monetary Policy Pitfalls with Real Shocks
    by Alessandro Flamini
  • 2012 What does a monetary policy shock do? An international analysis with multiple filters
    by Efrem Castelnuovo
  • 2012 Fiscal Consolidation: Part 2. Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Consolidations
    by Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland & Ian Hurst
  • 2012 Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?
    by Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller
  • 2012 The Effects of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Portugal
    by Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2012 Adjusting the U.S. Fiscal Policy for Asset Prices: Evidence from a TVP-MS Framework
    by Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrénot & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2012 Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions
    by Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri
  • 2012 Determinacy, Learnability, Plausibility, and the Role of Money in New Keynesian Models
    by Bennett T. McCallum
  • 2012 Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession
    by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
  • 2012 Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models
    by Jon Faust & Abhishek Gupta
  • 2012 VAR Modeling and Business Cycle Analysis: A Taxonomy of Errors
    by D.S. Poskitt & Wenying Yao
  • 2012 The Cantillon Effect of Money Injection through Deficit Spending
    by Wenli Cheng & Simon D. Angus
  • 2012 Trends and Super Cycles in Crude Oil and Coal Prices
    by Abdel M. Zellou & John T. Cuddington
  • 2012 A Simple Mineral Market Model: Can it produce Super Cycles in prices?
    by John T. Cuddington & Abdel M. Zellou
  • 2012 Value at Risk Model Used to Stock Prices Prediction
    by Radim Gottwald
  • 2012 Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components: An application to G7
    by Paulo Júlio & Pedro M. Esperança
  • 2012 Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?
    by Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
  • 2012 Updating Inflation Expectations
    by Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz
  • 2012 Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach
    by Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker
  • 2012 Forecasting and Signal Extraction with Regularised Multivariate Direct Filter Approach
    by Ginters Buss
  • 2012 A New Real-Time Indicator for the Euro Area GDP
    by Ginters Buss
  • 2012 Generating short-term forecasts of the Lithuanian GDP using factor models
    by Julius Stakenas
  • 2012 Bilinear forecast risk assessment for non-systematic inflation: Theory and evidence
    by Wojciech Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy
  • 2012 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee
  • 2012 Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia
    by Boriss Siliverstovs & Sergey Smirnov & Sergey Tsukhlo
  • 2012 Keeping a Finger on the Pulse of the Economy: Nowcasting Swiss GDP in Real-Time Squared
    by Boriss Siliverstovs
  • 2012 Updating Inflation Expectations
    by Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz
  • 2012 Catching a floating treasure: A genuine ex-ante forecasting experiment in real time
    by Christian Müller & Eva Köberl
  • 2012 Hopf Bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler Model
    by William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz
  • 2012 An Analytical and Numerical Search for Bifurcations in Open Economy New Keynesian Models
    by William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz
  • 2012 Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?
    by Makram El-Shagi & Sebastian Giesen & A. Jung
  • 2012 Qual VAR Revisited: Good Forecast, Bad Story
    by Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz
  • 2012 Revisions in official data and forecasting
    by Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi
  • 2012 Expectation Formation and Monetary DSGE Models: Beyond the Rational Expectations Paradigm
    by Fabio Milani & Ashish Rajbhandari
  • 2012 Real-time Markov Switching and Leading Indicators in Times of the Financial Crisis
    by Thomas Theobald
  • 2012 Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production
    by Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan
  • 2012 Forecasting Inflation Risks in Latin America: A Technical Note
    by Rodrigo Mariscal & Andrew Powell
  • 2012 Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares
    by Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär
  • 2012 Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations
    by Paloviita, Maritta & Viren, Matti
  • 2012 Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets
    by Ponomarenko, Alexey
  • 2012 Predictive power of confidence indicators for the Russian economy
    by Korte, Niko
  • 2012 Large time-varying parameter VARs
    by Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2012 Russian Industrial Enterprises in 2011
    by Sergey Tsukhlo
  • 2012 Measuring macroeconomic volatility - Applications to export revenue data, 1970-2005
    by Joël CARIOLLE
  • 2012 Mesurer l’instabilité macroéconomique - Applications aux données de recettes d’exportation, 1970-2005
    by Joël CARIOLLE
  • 2012 Evaluating the Role of Firm-Specific Capital in New Keynesian models
    by Joao Madeira
  • 2012 Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?
    by Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur
  • 2012 A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables
    by Claudia FORONI & Massimiliano MARCELLINO
  • 2012 The accuracy of the European Commission's forecasts re-examined
    by Laura Gonzalez Cabanillas & Alessio Terzi
  • 2012 The performance of simple fiscal policy rules in monetary union
    by Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz
  • 2012 Sovereign debt sustainability scenarios based on an estimated model for Spain
    by Jan in 't Veld & Andrea Pagano & Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger & Istvan P. Szekely
  • 2012 Stochastic debt simulation using VAR models and a panel fiscal reaction function – results for a selected number of countries
    by João Medeiros
  • 2012 Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do
    by Jan in 't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer
  • 2012 Inflation forecasting and the crisis: assessing the impact on the performance of different forecasting models and methods
    by Christian Buelens
  • 2012 Linking Macroeconomic Dynamics to Georgian Credit Portfolio Risk
    by Zedginidze Zviad
  • 2012 Emissions Intensity Targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen Commitment
    by Yingying Lu & Alison Stegman & Yiyong Cai
  • 2012 Business Cycles and Financial Crises: The Roles of Credit Supply and Demand Shocks
    by James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman
  • 2012 Taking Trends Seriously in DSGE Models: An Application to the Dutch Economy
    by Pierre Lafourcade & Joris de Wind
  • 2012 Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2012 Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes
    by Te Bao & Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra
  • 2012 Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation: Evidence from the Laboratory (Revised version of CentER DP 2011-053)
    by Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B.
  • 2012 Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market
    by John Geanakoplos & Robert Axtell & Doyne J. Farmer & Peter Howitt & Benjamin Conlee & Jonathan Goldstein & Matthew Hendrey & Nathan M. Palmer & Chun-Yi Yang
  • 2012 Comparing behavioural and rational expectations for the US post-war economy
    by Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick
  • 2012 Now-casting and the real-time data flow
    by Banbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia
  • 2012 Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
    by Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo & Sargent, Thomas J & Williams, Noah
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    by Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian
  • 2012 Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions
    by Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E
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    by Altug, Sumru G. & Emin, Mustafa & Neyapti, Bilin
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    by Flamini, Alessandro & Ascari, Guido & Rossi, Lorenza
  • 2012 Sistema de Inferencia Difuso para la Inflación en Colombia
    by Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo
  • 2012 A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities
    by Sergio Ocampo Díaz
  • 2012 Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia
    by Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuña - Paola Andrea Vaca González
  • 2012 Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana
    by Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez
  • 2012 An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates
    by Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez
  • 2012 The Term-Structure of Sovereign Default Risk in Colombia and its Determinants
    by Jair Ojeda-Joya & José E. Gómez-González
  • 2012 A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities
    by Sergio Ocampo Díaz
  • 2012 Constant-Interest-Rate Projections and Its Indicator Properties
    by Christian Bustamante & Luis E. Rojas
  • 2012 Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies
    by Marc Pourroy & Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly
  • 2012 Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors
    by Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe
  • 2012 Reparations, Deficits, and Debt Default: the Great Depression in Germany
    by Albrecht Ritschl
  • 2012 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee
  • 2012 Explaining Irish Inflation During the Financial Crisis
    by Bermingham, Colin & Coates, Dermot & Larkin, John & O'Brien, Derry & O'Reilly, Gerard
  • 2012 Simulating Utah State Pension Reform
    by Richard W. Evans & Kerk L. Phillips
  • 2012 A DSGE model with Endogenous Term Structure
    by M. Falagiarda & M. Marzo
  • 2012 Forecasting UK GDP growth, inflation and interest rates under structural change: a comparison of models with time-varying parameters
    by Barnett, Alina & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos
  • 2012 Combination schemes for turning point predictions
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2012 Short-term forecasts of French GDP: a dynamic factor model with targeted predictors
    by Bessec, M.
  • 2012 Tails of Inflation Forecasts and Tales of Monetary Policy
    by Andrade, P. & Ghysels, E. & Idier, J.
  • 2012 Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy
    by Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B.
  • 2012 Forecasting GDP over the business cycle in a multi-frequency and data-rich environment
    by Bessec, M. & Bouabdallah, O.
  • 2012 Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?
    by Ferrara, L. & Marcellino, M. & Mogliani, M.
  • 2012 Shock on Variable or Shock on Distribution with Application to Stress-Tests
    by Dubecq, S. & Gourieroux, C.
  • 2012 Synchronization between the business cycles of Mexico and the United States. New evidence from the analysis of regional coincident indexes
    by Marcelo Delajara
  • 2012 The predictive power of Google searches in forecasting unemployment
    by Francesco D'Amuri & Juri Marcucci
  • 2012 Forecasting world output: the rising importance of emerging economies
    by Alessandro Borin & Riccardo Cristadoro & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi
  • 2012 Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors
    by Guido Bulligan & Massimiliano Marcellino & Fabrizio Venditti
  • 2012 The dynamics of hours worked and technology
    by Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A. León-Ledesma
  • 2012 Tracking the future on the web: construction of leading indicators using internet searches
    by Concha Artola & Enrique Galán
  • 2012 Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models
    by Claudia Godbout & Marco J. Lombardi
  • 2012 Commodities and Monetary Policy: Implications for Inflation and Price Level Targeting
    by Donald Coletti & René Lalonde & Paul Masson & Dirk Muir & Stephen Snudden
  • 2012 Extracting Information from the Business Outlook Survey Using Statistical Approaches
    by Lise Pichette
  • 2012 System Reduction and the Accuracy of Solutions of DSGE Models: A Note
    by Christopher Heiberger & Torben Klarl & Alfred Maussner
  • 2012 A Note on the Uniqueness of Solutions to Rational Expectations Models
    by Christopher Heiberger & Torben Klarl & Alfred Maussner
  • 2012 Factor-Based Forecasting in the Presence of Outliers: Are Factors Better Selected and Estimated by the Median than by The Mean?
    by Johannes Tang Kristensen
  • 2012 Propozycja prostego, wyprzedzającego wskaźnika koniunktury w przemyśle [Proposition of a Simple Leading Industrial Confidence Indicator]
    by Bartosz Olesiński
  • 2012 Ukryte modele Markowa w analizie wyników testu koniunktury gospodarczej [Hidden Markov Models in Analysis of Results of Business Tendency Surveys]
    by Michał Bernardelli & Monika Dędys
  • 2012 A Century of Inflation Forecasts
    by Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico
  • 2012 Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries
    by Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek
  • 2012 Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael
  • 2012 Local Environment Analysis and Rules Inferring Procedure in an Agent-Based Model – Applications in Economics
    by Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu
  • 2012 La curva de Phillips en México: ¿Existe una relación de largo plazo entre la inflación y la brecha del producto?
    by Alejandro Rodriguez Arana
  • 2012 Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables
    by Gary Koop
  • 2012 The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on the Government Debt Dynamics: How Robust is the Fiscal Stance of the Czech Republic?
    by Aleš Melecký & Martin Melecký
  • 2012 Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks
    by Adnan Haider & Musleh ud Din & Ejaz Ghani
  • 2012 Point forecasts based on the limits of the forecast intervals to improve the SPF predictions
    by Mihaela Bratu (Simionescu)
  • 2012 Economic projections for Belgium - Spring 2012
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2012 Economic projections for Belgium - Autumn 2012
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2012 Determinants of real prices of agricultural commodities. The role of inventories and macroeconomic factors (1960-2010)
    by Luis Lanteri
  • 2012 Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    by Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2012 Do Private Sector Forecasters Desire to Deviate From the German Council of Economic Experts?
    by Jan-Christoph Ruelke
  • 2012 Globalization Versus Segregation - Business Cycles Synchronization In Europe
    by Sebastian Florian Enea & Silvia Palaºcã
  • 2012 Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung
    by Oliver Holtemöller & Katja Drechsel & Brigitte Loose
  • 2012 Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln
    by Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics
  • 2012 Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase
    by Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics
  • 2012 How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?
    by Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld
  • 2012 Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Frictions in the Czech Republic
    by Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner & Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek
  • 2012 Do Confidence Indicators Help Predict Economic Activity? The Case of the Czech Republic
    by Roman Horvath
  • 2012 Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device: Evidence from the Czech Republic
    by Jan Filáček & Branislav Saxa
  • 2012 The Problem of Determining the Energy Mix: from the Portfolio Theory to the Reality of Energy Planning in the Spanish Case
    by Fernando de Llano Paz & Anxo Calvo Silvosa & Martín Portos García
  • 2012 Mankiw vs. DeLong and Krugman on the CEA's Real GDP Forecasts in Early 2009: What Might a Time Series Econometrician Have Said?
    by David O. Cushman
  • 2012 Parasal Soklarin Asimetrik Etkileri: Teori ve Turkiye Uygulamasi
    by Banu TANRIOVER & Nebiye YAMAK
  • 2012 Combination schemes for turning point predictions
    by Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K.
  • 2012 How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?
    by Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M.
  • 2012 An overhaul of Federal Reserve doctrine: Nominal income and the Great Moderation
    by Hendrickson, Joshua R.
  • 2012 Forecasting US recessions with various risk factors and dynamic probit models
    by Ng, Eric C.Y.
  • 2012 What does futures market interest tell us about the macroeconomy and asset prices?
    by Hong, Harrison & Yogo, Motohiro
  • 2012 Probability models and robust policy rules
    by Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph
  • 2012 Who believes in the Taylor principle? Evidence from the Livingston survey
    by Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg
  • 2012 Do professional forecasters in Asian–Pacific countries believe in the monetary neutrality?
    by Rülke, Jan-Christoph
  • 2012 Inflation-regime dependent effects of monetary policy shocks. Evidence from threshold vector autoregressions
    by Mandler, Martin
  • 2012 Are heterogeneous FOMC forecasts consistent with the Fed’s monetary policy?
    by Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph
  • 2012 Causal relations between inflation and inflation uncertainty—Cross sectional evidence in favour of the Friedman–Ball hypothesis
    by Hartmann, Matthias & Herwartz, Helmut
  • 2012 German business cycle forecasts, asymmetric loss and financial variables
    by Krüger, Jens J. & Hoss, Julian
  • 2012 Financial market frictions in a model of the Euro area
    by Lombardo, Giovanni & McAdam, Peter
  • 2012 Nowcasting the French index of industrial production: A comparison from bridge and factor models
    by Brunhes-Lesage, Véronique & Darné, Olivier
  • 2012 An empirical investigation of causality between producers' price and consumers' price indices in Australia in frequency domain
    by Tiwari, Aviral Kumar
  • 2012 The Halle Economic Projection Model
    by Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf
  • 2012 Do disaggregated CPI data improve the accuracy of inflation forecasts?
    by Ibarra, Raul
  • 2012 How do central banks react to wealth composition and asset prices?
    by Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M.
  • 2012 The choice of a foreign price measure in a Bayesian estimated new-Keynesian model for Israel
    by Argov, Eyal
  • 2012 Asset arbitrage and the price of oil
    by Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod
  • 2012 Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility
    by Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan
  • 2012 Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes
    by Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan
  • 2012 S,s pricing in a dynamic equilibrium model with heterogeneous sectors
    by Damjanovic, Vladislav & Nolan, Charles
  • 2012 Getting normalization right: Dealing with ‘dimensional constants’ in macroeconomics
    by Cantore, C. & Levine, P.
  • 2012 The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Returns on Dhaka Stock Exchange
    by Muhammed Monjurul Quadir
  • 2012 Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia after the “Great Recession”
    by Dmitri Blueschke & Viktoria Blueschke-Nikolaeva & Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass
  • 2012 Deutsche Industrie stemmt sich gegen die Krise im Euroraum
    by Dorothea Lucke
  • 2012 German Industry - a Tower of Strength?
    by Dorothea Lucke
  • 2012 Determinantes de los precios reales de las materias primas agrícolas. El papel de los inventarios y de los factores macroeconómicos (1960-2010)
    by Lanteri, Luis N.
  • 2012 Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana
    by Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez
  • 2012 Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general
    by Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez
  • 2012 Sincronización de los Ciclos Económicos: el Caso de Colombia, Ecuador y Venezuela
    by Andrés Salamanca Lugo
  • 2012 Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme
    by Wolfgang Nierhaus
  • 2012 An application of New Keynesian models to inflation in Croatia
    by Alan Domić
  • 2012 Do debt service costs affect macroeconomic and financial stability?
    by Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius
  • 2012 Prévoir le cycle économique. Synthèse du huitième séminaire de l’International Institute of Forecasters organisé par la Banque de France les 1er et 2 décembre 2011 à Paris
    by FERRARA, L.
  • 2012 Comparing NAIRU and Economic Cycle from the Perspective of Labour Market in the Countries of the Visegrad Group
    by Emilie Jašová & Božena Kaderábková
  • 2012 Macroeconomic Factors and the German Real Estate Market: A Stock-Market-Based Forecasting Experiment
    by Christian Pierdzioch
  • 2012 Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas
    by José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza
  • 2012 Asymmetric Business Cycle : Theory And Application
    by Nebiye Yamak & Banu Tanriover
  • 2012 Determinants Of Inflation Rate In Transition Economies; Panel Data Analysis
    by Seymur Agayev
  • 2012 Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland
    by Boriss Siliverstovs
  • 2011 A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation
    by Catik, A. Nazif & Karaçuka, Mehmet
  • 2011 Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection
    by Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego
  • 2011 Learning and Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models
    by Dandan Liu*
  • 2011 The Transmission of the Global Financial Crisis to the Italian Economy
    by M. Caivano & L. Rodano & S. Siviero
  • 2011 Forecasting under Model Uncertainty
    by Wolters, Maik H.
  • 2011 Cloud computing and prospective business and economic impacts in developing country: A case study of Thailand
    by Keesookpuna, Chutipong & Mitomob, Hitoshi
  • 2011 The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank
    by Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar
  • 2011 Interactions in DSGE models: The Boltzmann-Gibbs machine and social networks approach
    by Chang, Chia-ling & Chen, Shu-heng
  • 2011 Warum der Baseler Ausschluss für Bankenaufsicht mit seinem antizyklischen Kapitalpuffer falsch liegt
    by Ludwig, Björn
  • 2011 Irrationality or efficiency of macroeconomic survey forecasts? Implications from the anchoring bias test
    by Hess, Dieter & Orbe, Sebastian
  • 2011 Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model
    by Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen
  • 2011 U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials
    by Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian
  • 2011 Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts
    by Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
  • 2011 How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?
    by Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
  • 2011 Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi
    by Josip Tica
  • 2011 Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Uncertainty, and Asymmetric Dynamics
    by Eran Guse
  • 2011 Exploring Survey-Based Inflation Forecasts
    by Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia
  • 2011 Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
    by Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range
    by Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:
  • 2011 Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Words to the Wise: Stock Flow Consistent Modeling of Financial Instability
    by Stephen Kinsella
  • 2011 Bad banks choking good banks: simulating balance sheet contagion
    by Saed Khalil & Stephen Kinsella
  • 2011 The Phillips Machine, The Analogue Computing Traditoin in Economics and Computability
    by K. Vela Velupillai
  • 2011 Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with 'Dimensional Constants' in Macroeconomics
    by Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine
  • 2011 Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models
    by Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2011 The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations
    by Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter
  • 2011 Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging
    by Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2011 UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?
    by Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2011 Price Stickiness Asymmetry, Persistence and Volatility in a New Keynesian Model
    by Alessandro Flamini
  • 2011 Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis
    by Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester
  • 2011 The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model
    by Tobias Kitlinski & Torsten Schmidt
  • 2011 Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics
    by Christian Bredemeier & Henry Goecke
  • 2011 Dating U.S. Business Cycles with Macro Factors
    by Fossati, Sebastian
  • 2011 ASEAN-5 Macroeconomic Forecasting Using a GVAR Model
    by Han, Fei & Hee Ng, Thiam
  • 2011 Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models
    by Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2011 Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors
    by Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2011 Wavelet-based Core Inflation Measures: Evidence from Peru
    by Lahura, Erick & Vega, Marco
  • 2011 Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis
    by David M Gomez & Guillermo J Ortega & Benno Torgler & German Debat
  • 2011 Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events
    by Adrian Pagan & Don Harding
  • 2011 International organisations’ vs. private analysts’ forecasts: an evaluation
    by Ildeberta Abreu
  • 2011 City price convergence in Turkey with structural breaks
    by Bilgili, Faik
  • 2011 Un modelo de predicción de crisis financieras en los mercados emergentes: 1970 – 2009
    by Ayala, Alfonso
  • 2011 Modelos de Estimación de la Brecha de Producto: Aplicación al PIB de la República Dominicana
    by Francisco, Ramirez
  • 2011 The case for higher frequency inflation expectations
    by Guzman, Giselle C.
  • 2011 House-Price Crash and Macroeconomic Crisis: A Hong Kong Case Study
    by Zhang, Tongbin & Hu, Bo
  • 2011 Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU
    by Skribans, Valerijs
  • 2011 Productivity shocks and housing market inflations in new Keynesian models
    by Ko, Jun-Hyung
  • 2011 Macroeconomic Shocks and the Fiscal Stance within the EU: A Panel Regression Analysis
    by Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin
  • 2011 Inflation dynamics and labor market specifications: a Bayesian DSGE approach for Japan's economy
    by Ichiue, Hibiki & Kurozumi, Takushi & Sunakawa, Takeki
  • 2011 Evidencia empírica sobre la predictibilidad de los ciclos bursátiles: el comportamiento del índice Dow Jones Industrial Average en las crisis bursátiles de 1929, 1987 y 2997
    by Escañuela Romana, Ignacio
  • 2011 The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history
    by Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L.
  • 2011 Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: new evidence from G10 countries
    by Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua
  • 2011 Are some forecasters really better than others?
    by D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl
  • 2011 Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models
    by Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis
  • 2011 Domestic Wheat Price Formation and Food Inflation in India
    by Dasgupta, Dipak & Dubey, R.N. & Sathish, R
  • 2011 Where is an oil shock?
    by Engemann, Kristie & Owyang, Michael T. & Wall, Howard J.
  • 2011 Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors
    by Korobilis, Dimitris
  • 2011 Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison
    by Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka
  • 2011 GDP Modelling with Factor Model: an Impact of Nested Data on Forecasting Accuracy
    by Bessonovs, Andrejs
  • 2011 Rövid távú előrejelző modell Magyarországra
    by András Balatoni & Tamás Mellár
  • 2011 Evaluation of Wavelet-based Core Inflation Measures: Evidence from Peru
    by Erick Lahura & Marco Vega
  • 2011 Real Business Cycles with Capital Maintenance
    by Alice Albonico & Sarantis Kalyvitis & Evi Pappa
  • 2011 Assessing Business Cycle Synchronisation - Prospects for a Pacific Islands Currency Union
    by Willie Lahari
  • 2011 Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?
    by Stefan Kerbl
  • 2011 A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth
    by Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli
  • 2011 Forecasting house price inflation: a model combination approach
    by Sarah Drought & Chris McDonald
  • 2011 Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a DSGE Model of India
    by Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph
  • 2011 An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy
    by Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo
  • 2011 How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
    by Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 Do Windfall Gains Affect Labour Supply? Evidence from the European Household Panel
    by Urban Sila & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 Fiscal Policy in the BRICs
    by Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 Monetary Policy Rules in the BRICS: How Important is Nonlinearity?
    by Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 The real effects of financial stress in the Euro zone
    by Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 Estimators for Persistent and Possibly Non-Stationary Data with Classical Properties
    by Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Anna Mikusheva & Serena Ng
  • 2011 The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?
    by William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock
  • 2011 What Does Futures Market Interest Tell Us about the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices?
    by Harrison Hong & Motohiro Yogo
  • 2011 Forecasting inflation with consumer survey data – application of multi-group confirmatory factor analysis to elimination of the general sentiment factor
    by Piotr Białowolski
  • 2011 Forecasting Under Strucural Break Uncertainty
    by Jing Tian & Heather M. Anderson
  • 2011 Banking crises and recessions: what can leading indicators tell us?
    by Corder, Matthew & Weale, Martin
  • 2011 A Repayment Model of House Prices Oil Price Dynamics in a Real Business Cycle Model
    by Vipin Arora & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras
  • 2011 Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany
    by Ivan Savin & Peter Winker
  • 2011 Revisions in ocial data and forecasting
    by Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi
  • 2011 The loss from uncertainty on policy targets
    by Giorgio Di Giorgio & Guido Traficante
  • 2011 Potential Output in DSGE Models
    by Igor Vetlov & Tibor Hlédik & Magnus Jonsson & Henrik Kucsera & Massimiliano Pisani
  • 2011 What Caused the Recent Boom-And-Bust Cycle in Lithuania? Evidence from a Macromodel with the Financial Sector
    by Tomas Ramanauskas
  • 2011 Causes of Financial Instability: Don’t Forget Finance
    by Dirk J. Bezemer
  • 2011 D’une crise à l’autre : Mesurer l’impact des prix alimentaires sur la pauvreté
    by Delphine Boutin
  • 2011 Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
    by Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang
  • 2011 Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee
  • 2011 Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness
    by Lena Dräger
  • 2011 Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland
    by Boriss Siliverstovs
  • 2011 Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden - Are Media Reports the ‘Missing Link’?
    by Lena Dräger
  • 2011 Leading Indicators of Real Activity and Inflation for Turkey, 2001-2010
    by Sumru Altug & Erhan Uluceviz
  • 2011 Institutions and Business Cycles
    by Sumru Altug & Mustafa Emin & Bilin Neyapti
  • 2011 Cyclical Dynamics of Industrial Production and Employment: Markov Chain-based Estimates and Tests
    by Sumru Altug & Baris Tan & Gozde Gencer
  • 2011 The importance of time series extrapolation for macroeconomic expectations
    by Michael W.M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt
  • 2011 Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data
    by Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F.
  • 2011 Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data
    by Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F.
  • 2011 The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective
    by Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2011 How Will the Food Price Shock Affect Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean?
    by Eduardo Lora & Andrew Powell & Pilar Tavella
  • 2011 Nowcasting Chinese GDP: Information Content of Economic and Financial Data
    by Matthew S. Yiu & Kenneth K. Chow
  • 2011 The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU. Is it really 12 months?
    by Jonung, Lars & Lindén, Staffan
  • 2011 Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time
    by Mehrotra, Aaron & Funke, Michael & Yu, Hao
  • 2011 Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness
    by Lena Dräger
  • 2011 Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden - Are Media Reports the `Missing Link'?
    by Lena Dräger
  • 2011 Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time
    by Michael Funke & Hao Yu & Aaron Mehrota
  • 2011 Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples
    by Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham
  • 2011 How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
    by Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2011 Presentation of the Three-ME model: Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policy
    by Frédéric Reynes & Yasser Yeddir-Tamsamani & Gaël Callonec
  • 2011 Markov-Switching MIDAS Models
    by Pierre Guerin & Massimiliano Marcellino
  • 2011 Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
    by Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J.
  • 2011 Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine
    by Onishchenko Kateryna
  • 2011 Asset Arbitrage and the Price of Oil
    by Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers
  • 2011 Oil Price Dynamics in a Real Business Cycle Model
    by Vipin Arora & Pedro Gomis-Porqueras
  • 2011 Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty
    by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey
  • 2011 Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility
    by Robert Kollmann & Stefan Zeugner
  • 2011 Forecasting growth in eastern Europe and central Asia
    by Franziska Ohnsorge & Yevgeniya
  • 2011 Advances in Forecasting Under Instability
    by Barbara Rossi
  • 2011 How do inflation expectations form? New insights from a high-frequency survey
    by Gabriele Galati & Peter Heemeijer & Richhild Moessner
  • 2011 Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model
    by Paul Viefers
  • 2011 An Early Warning System to Predict the House Price Bubbles
    by Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2011 Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2011 Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2011 Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2011 Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data
    by Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk
  • 2011 Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Design: Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaces CentER DP 2009-007)
    by Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B.
  • 2011 Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation: Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaced by CentER DP 2012-072)
    by Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B.
  • 2011 Co-movements in commodity prices: A note based on network analysis
    by David Matesanz Gomez & Guillermo J. Ortega & Benno Torgler & German Dabat
  • 2011 Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models
    by Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz
  • 2011 Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility
    by Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan
  • 2011 A Century of Inflation Forecasts
    by D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo
  • 2011 Markov-switching MIDAS models
    by Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano
  • 2011 Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with ‘Dimensional Constants’ in Macroeconomics
    by Cantore, Cristiano & Levine, Paul
  • 2011 Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth
    by Holden, Tom
  • 2011 A Graphical Representation of an Estimated DSGE Model
    by Kulish, Mariano & Jones, Callum
  • 2011 Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models
    by BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris
  • 2011 VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection
    by KOROBILIS, Dimitris
  • 2011 Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors
    by KOROBILIS, Dimitris
  • 2011 The Global Economic Effects of Pandemic Influenza
    by George Verikios & Maura Sullivan & Pane Stojanovski & James Giesecke & Gordon Woo
  • 2011 Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general
    by Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez
  • 2011 Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Frictions in the Czech Republic
    by Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner & Osvald Vasicek
  • 2011 Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement
    by Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland
  • 2011 Tracking Unemployment in Wales through Recession and into Recovery
    by Michael Artis & Marianne Sensier
  • 2011 Investigating Agglomeration Economies in a Panel of European Cities and Regions
    by Michael Artis & Declan Curran & Marianne Sensier
  • 2011 Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine
    by Onishchenko, Kateryna
  • 2011 Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
    by Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2011 The impact of permanent energy price shocks on the UK economy
    by Harrison, Richard & Thomas, Ryland & de Weymarn, Iain
  • 2011 Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination
    by Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman
  • 2011 Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach
    by Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud
  • 2011 Nowcasting GDP in real-time: A density combination approach
    by Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud
  • 2011 Macro-prudential policy and the conduct of monetary policy
    by Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B.
  • 2011 The Impact of Directed Lending on Long-run Growth in Belarus
    by Dzmitry Kruk
  • 2011 The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: has it changed and why?
    by Martina Cecioni & Stefano Neri
  • 2011 FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure
    by Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte
  • 2011 Mixed Frequency Forecasts for Chinese GDP
    by Philipp Maier
  • 2011 Asset Value, Interest Rates and Oil Price Volatility
    by Vipin Arora
  • 2011 Arbitrage and the Price of Oil
    by Vipin Arora
  • 2011 Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events
    by Adrian Pagan & Don Harding
  • 2011 Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search
    by Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti
  • 2011 The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank
    by Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar
  • 2011 Modeling & Forecasting Of Macro-Economic Variables Of India: Before, During & After Recession
    by Pankaj SINHA & Sushant GUPTA & Nakul RANDEV
  • 2011 Factors That Contribute To The Formation Of Inflation
    by OCTAV NEGURITA
  • 2011 How Good are the Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Slovenia?
    by Jagric, Timotej & Beko, Jani
  • 2011 Analyzing the Dynamics of Relative Prices on a Market with Speculative and Non-Speculative Agents Based on the Evolutionary Model
    by Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu
  • 2011 Forecasting Recessions in Turkey with Qual-VAR Models
    by Tunay, K. Batu
  • 2011 Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)
    by Maria Bejan
  • 2011 Analysis of the Indicator NAIRU on the Sector Level
    by Božena Kadeřábková & Emilie Jašová
  • 2011 Debt Sustainability Assessment: Mission Impossible
    by Charles Wyplosz
  • 2011 What Drives Aggregate Credit Risk?
    by Stefan Kerbl & Michael Sigmund
  • 2011 Detecting Financial Stability Vulnerabilities in Due Time: Can Simple Indicators Identify a Complex Issue?
    by Benjamin Neudorfer & Michael Sigmund & Alexander Trachta
  • 2011 Revealed Preferences of the Bank of Russia. Simulation Approach
    by Karev, M.
  • 2011 Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2011
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2011 Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2011
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2011 MPM – The Magyar Nemzeti Bank’s monetary policy model
    by Ágnes Horváth & Csaba Köber & Katalin Szilágyi
  • 2011 Growth, volatility and stabilisation policy in a DSGE model with nominal rigidities and learning-by-doing
    by The Pham
  • 2011 Growth, volatility and stabilisation policy in a DSGE model with nominal rigidities and learning-by-doing
    by The Pham
  • 2011 A Factor Model for Euro-area Short-term Inflation Analysis
    by Michele Lenza & Thomas Warmedinger
  • 2011 Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP
    by Christian Schumacher
  • 2011 Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting
    by Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass
  • 2011 Some Empirical Aspects regarding the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Romania – the Speed Limit Effect
    by BIRMAN Andrei
  • 2011 Konjunktur aktuell: Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt Rezessionsgefahr nach Deutschland
    by Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics
  • 2011 Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich kraftvoll fort
    by Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics
  • 2011 Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015
    by Kristina vanDeuverden & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2011 Interest Rate Smoothing and "Calvo-Type" Interest Rate Rules: A Comment on Levine, McAdam, and Pearlman (2007)
    by Ida Wolden Bache & Øistein Røislanda & Kjersti Næss Torstensen
  • 2011 Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective
    by Filip Novotný & Marie Raková
  • 2011 Modelling the Density of Inflation Using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Skewness, and Kurtosis Models
    by Doaa Akl Ahmed
  • 2011 An Award for Calling the Crash
    by Mason Gaffney
  • 2011 Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: The ragged-edge problem and revisions
    by Bouwman, Kees E. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M.
  • 2011 Bootstrapping structural VARs: Avoiding a potential bias in confidence intervals for impulse response functions
    by Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E.
  • 2011 Cost-based Phillips Curve forecasts of inflation
    by Mazumder, Sandeep
  • 2011 Fiscal sustainability in Japan
    by Sakuragawa, Masaya & Hosono, Kaoru
  • 2011 Oil revenue shocks and government spending behavior in Iran
    by Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
  • 2011 Consumer expectation and output growth: The case of China
    by Li, Cheng
  • 2011 What is really common in the run-up to banking crises?
    by Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M.
  • 2011 Inflation expectations: Does the market beat econometric forecasts?
    by El-Shagi, Makram
  • 2011 The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation
    by Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos
  • 2011 A new approach for the input–output price model
    by Sharify, Nooraddin & Sancho, Ferran
  • 2011 Die deutsche Industrie - ein Fels in der Brandung?
    by Dorothea Lucke
  • 2011 Spekulative Preisentwicklung an den Immobilienmärkten: Elemente eines Frühwarnsystems
    by Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2011 Speculative Bubble on Housing Markets: Elements of an Early Warning System
    by Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2011 Modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos y estocásticos para Colombia 1995-2011
    by Ramiro Rodríguez Revilla
  • 2011 Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo dsge
    by Pietro Bonaldi & Juan D. Prada & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez
  • 2011 Predicting Canadian recessions using dynamic probit modelling approaches
    by Lili Hao & Eric C.Y. Ng
  • 2011 Réévaluation des modèles d'estimation précoce de la croissance
    by Françoise Charpin
  • 2011 Monetary Stimulus: Through Wall Street or Main Street?
    by Diego E. Vacaflores
  • 2011 Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris
    by L. Ferrara.
  • 2011 Early Warning Indicators for Asset Price Booms
    by Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans-Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia
  • 2011 The Impact of Inflation Targeting on Inflation Volatility in South Africa
    by Irrshad Kaseeram & Eleftherios Contogiannis
  • 2011 Are Long-Run Inflation Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area Than in the United States?
    by Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin
  • 2011 Professional Forecasters' View of Permanent and Transitory Shocks to GDP
    by Spencer D. Krane
  • 2010 Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model
    by Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach
  • 2010 Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes Brandenburg
    by Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg
  • 2010 Las expectativas macroeconómicas de los especialistas. Una evaluación de pronósticos de corto plazo en México
    by Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel
  • 2010 Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile
    by Bentancor, Andrea & Pincheira, Pablo
  • 2010 (S,s) pricing: Does the heterogeneity wipe out the asymmetry on micro level?
    by Babutsidze, Zakaria
  • 2010 The ruptures in the probability scale and some problems of modelling
    by Harin, Alexander
  • 2010 The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy
    by Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H.
  • 2010 How useful is the carry-over effect for short-term economic forecasting?
    by Tödter, Karl-Heinz
  • 2010 Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach
    by Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici
  • 2010 A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation
    by Mohamed Daly Sfia
  • 2010 The great diversification and its undoing
    by Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix
  • 2010 A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features
    by Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd
  • 2010 Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle
    by Don Harding
  • 2010 Yield-Curve Based Probability Forecasts of U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics
    by Heikki Kauppi
  • 2010 The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa
    by Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel
  • 2010 An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy
    by Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang
  • 2010 A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India
    by Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2010 Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information
    by Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang
  • 2010 Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules
    by Paul Levine
  • 2010 Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?
    by Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh
  • 2010 Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting
    by Torsten Schmidt & Helmut Hofer & Klaus Weyerstrass
  • 2010 VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection
    by Dimitris Korobilis
  • 2010 Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle
    by Don Harding
  • 2010 The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa
    by Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel
  • 2010 Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis
    by Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar
  • 2010 Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting
    by Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska
  • 2010 An inflation expectations horserace
    by Guzman, Giselle C.
  • 2010 Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation
    by Skribans, Valerijs
  • 2010 Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana
    by Skribans, Valerijs
  • 2010 Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations
    by Brissimis, Sophocles & Migiakis, Petros
  • 2010 Investments model development with the system dynamic method
    by Skribans, Valerijs
  • 2010 Business cycle effects on portfolio credit risk: A simple FX Adjustment for a factor model
    by Sokolov, Yuri
  • 2010 Introduction of the Profit Surface
    by Bell, Peter N
  • 2010 Modeling & Forecasting of Macro-Economic Variables of India: Before, During & After Recession
    by Sinha, Pankaj & Gupta, Sushant & Randev, Nakul
  • 2010 Financial Forecast for the Relative Strength Index
    by Alfaro, Rodrigo & Sagner, Andres
  • 2010 Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices
    by Fry, J. M.
  • 2010 Is a National Monetary Policy Optimal?
    by Eyler, Robert & Sonora, Robert
  • 2010 Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
    by Harin, Alexander
  • 2010 Bootstrapping Structural VARs: Avoiding a Potential Bias in Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions
    by Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E.
  • 2010 Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market
    by Mamatzakis, E & Remoundos, P
  • 2010 Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold
  • 2010 Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth
    by Tom Holden
  • 2010 A Simulation Model of Federal, Provincial and Territorial Government Accounts for the Analysis of Fiscal-Consolidation Strategies in Canada
    by Yvan Guillemette
  • 2010 Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules
    by Levine, Paul
  • 2010 A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India
    by Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul
  • 2010 A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India
    by Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2010 An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy
    by Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang
  • 2010 How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
    by Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2010 The Great Diversification and its Undoing
    by Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix
  • 2010 The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time
    by Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko
  • 2010 Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?
    by Jordi Galí
  • 2010 Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data
    by Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims
  • 2010 The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions
    by Kishor N. Kundan
  • 2010 VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions
    by Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid
  • 2010 Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting
    by Branimir Jovanovic & Magdalena Petrovska
  • 2010 Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle
    by Don Harding
  • 2010 The Implementation of Scenarios Using DSGE Models
    by Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Félix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hlédik & Zoltán Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider
  • 2010 Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2010 How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan
    by Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer
  • 2010 The Information Content of Capacity Utilization Rates for Output Gap Estimates
    by Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • 2010 Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    by Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2010 Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach
    by Sumru Altug & Melike Bildirici
  • 2010 A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Global Inflation Model
    by Leonardo Morales-Arias & Guilherme V. Moura
  • 2010 Practice and prospects of medium-term economic forecasting
    by Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass
  • 2010 A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model
    by Sebastian Giesen & Oliver Holtemöller & Juliane Scharff & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2010 Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession
    by Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele
  • 2010 Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy
    by Bousrih Jihene & Bousrih Jihene
  • 2010 Proyecciones Macroeconómicas en Chile: Una Aproximación Bayesiana
    by Carlos Garcia & Pablo Gonzalez & Antonio Moncado
  • 2010 Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931
    by Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Sarferaz
  • 2010 Sveriges Riksbank's Inflation Interval Forecasts 1999-2005
    by Lundholm, Michael
  • 2010 Are Inflation Forecasts from Major Swedish Forecasters Biased?
    by Lundholm, Michael
  • 2010 Density-Conditional Forecasts in Dynamic Multivariate Models
    by Andersson, Michael K. & Palmqvist, Stefan & Waggoner, Daniel F.
  • 2010 Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in Ethiopia
    by Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Birru, Yohannes A.
  • 2010 Too Many Cooks? The German Joint Diagnosis and Its Production
    by Ulrich Fritsche & Ullrich Heilemann
  • 2010 The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly Are ARRA Jobs?
    by F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes
  • 2010 Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers
    by F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes
  • 2010 Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery
    by Byron Gangnes
  • 2010 Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples
    by Peter Fuleky & Carl Bonham
  • 2010 The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly are ARRA Jobs?
    by Byron Gangnes
  • 2010 Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers
    by F. Gerard Adams & Byron Ganges
  • 2010 Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery
    by Byron Ganges
  • 2010 Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment
    by William D. Larson
  • 2010 Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?
    by Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler
  • 2010 How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
    by Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa
  • 2010 Responses of the Polish economy to demand and supply shocks under alternative fiscal policy rules
    by Piotr Karp & Magdalena Zachłod-Jelec
  • 2010 “Google it!”Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with a Google Job Search index
    by Francesco D’Amuri & Juri Marcucci
  • 2010 The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap
    by Massimiliano Marcellino & Alberto Musso
  • 2010 the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap
    by Massimiliano Marcellino & Alberto Musso
  • 2010 The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?
    by Lars Jonung & Staffan Linden
  • 2010 Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast
    by Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J.
  • 2010 Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts
    by Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
  • 2010 Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
    by Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J.
  • 2010 Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments
    by Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R.
  • 2010 New Keynesian Model Features that Can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns
    by Vázquez Pérez, Jesús & Cassou, Steven P.
  • 2010 Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931
    by Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz
  • 2010 Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves
    by Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly
  • 2010 Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle
    by Don Harding
  • 2010 Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles
    by Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey
  • 2010 Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries
    by E. M. Bentour & W. A. Razzak
  • 2010 Credit risk model for the Estonian banking sector
    by Rasmus Kattai
  • 2010 A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India
    by Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2010 Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules
    by Paul Levine
  • 2010 A Family Hitch : Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets
    by Sylvain Prado
  • 2010 Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    by Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • 2010 Etalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture
    by Bessec, Marie
  • 2010 The Implementation of Scenarios using DSGE Models
    by Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Felix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hledik & Zoltan Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider
  • 2010 Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility
    by Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos
  • 2010 Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility
    by Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos
  • 2010 Positive and negative stress in business cycle behaviour
    by Mario Coccia
  • 2010 First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth
    by C. MINODIER
  • 2010 The Great Diversification and its Undoing
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  • 2010 Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?
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  • 2009 Price Changes in Finland: Some Evidence from the Micro CPI data
    by Samu Kurri
  • 2009 Volatility dynamics of the US business cycle: A multivariate asymmetric GARCH approach
    by Ho, Kin-Yip & Tsui, Albert K. & Zhang, Zhaoyong
  • 2009 Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight
    by Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche
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    by Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann
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    by Dorothea Lucke
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  • 2009 Sommerpause bei der Arbeitslosigkeit: Google-gestützte Prognose signalisiert Entspannung
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  • 2009 Prognosen aus dem Internet: weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet
    by Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann
  • 2009 Volatility Dynamics of the UK Business Cycle: a Multivariate Asymmetric Garch Approach
    by Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang
  • 2009 Un modèle de prix de l'immobilier pour estimer l'ampleur de la bulle américaine
    by Stéphane Sorbe
  • 2009 An analysis of the reliability of first (flash) quarterly national account data releases for Greece
    by Nikos G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis & Georgia I. Pavlou
  • 2009 Assessing the risk of banking crises - revisited
    by Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann
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    by Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das
  • 2008 Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa
    by Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das
  • 2008 A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
    by Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling
  • 2008 Can earnings forecast be improved by taking into account the forecast bias?
    by Lardic, Sandrine & Dossou, François & Michalon, Karine
  • 2008 Choosing between alternative measures of core inflation using bounded rationality and cognitive biases
    by Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu
  • 2008 Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition
    by Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler
  • 2008 Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts
    by Steffen Osterloh
  • 2008 The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy
    by Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther
  • 2008 DSGE Models and Central Banks
    by Tovar, Camilo Ernesto
  • 2008 Does the financial market believe in the Phillips Curve? Evidence from the G7 countries
    by Fendel, Ralf & Lis, Eliza M. & Rülke, Jan-Christoph
  • 2008 Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey
    by Lux, Thomas
  • 2008 How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts
    by Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
  • 2008 Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment
    by Wang, Mu-Chun
  • 2008 Heterogeneous Expectations, Adaptive Learning, and Evolutionary Dynamics
    by Eran A. Guse
  • 2008 Forecasting inflation with dynamic factor model – the case of Poland
    by Jacek Kotlowski
  • 2008 Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts
    by Clements, Michael P.
  • 2008 Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
    by Clements, Michael P.
  • 2008 Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks
    by Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha
  • 2008 Improving Forecasts of Inflation using the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    by Alonso Gomez & John M Maheu & Alex Maynard
  • 2008 Yield-Curve Based Probit Models for Forecasting U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics
    by Heikki Kauppi
  • 2008 Is There A Trade-off Between Regional Growth and National Income? Theory and Evidence from the EU
    by Young-Bae Kim
  • 2008 Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal
    by Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider
  • 2008 Robust Inflation-Targeting Rules and the Gains from International Policy Coordination
    by Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Peter Welz
  • 2008 Construction of coincident indicators for the euro area. 5th EUROSTAT Colloquium on Modern Tools For Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg, 29th September – 1st October 2008
    by Gian Luigi Mazzi & Catherine Mathieu & Françoise Charpin
  • 2008 Inflation Forecasting with Inflation Sentiment Indicators
    by Roland Döhrn & Christoph M. Schmidt & Tobias Zimmermann
  • 2008 Optimal Exchange Rate Stabilization in a Dollarized Economy with Inflation Targets
    by Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2008 A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy
    by Andrew Hodge & Tim Robinson & Robyn Stuart
  • 2008 A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets
    by Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios
  • 2008 Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting
    by Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios
  • 2008 US Inflation Dynamics 1981-2007: 13,193 Quarterly Observations
    by Gregor W. Smith
  • 2008 On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: Combining judgements with sample and model information
    by Maximiano Pinheiro & Paulo Soares Esteves
  • 2008 Inflation models, optimal monetary policy and uncertain unemployment dynamics: Evidence from the US and the euro area
    by Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli
  • 2008 Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches
    by S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan
  • 2008 Adaptive interactive profit expectations using small world networks and runtime weighted model averaging
    by Bell, William Paul
  • 2008 Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
    by Guzman, Giselle C.
  • 2008 Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates
    by Osman, Mohammad & Jean Louis, Rosmy & Balli, Faruk
  • 2008 The Term Structure of Interest Rate as a Predictor of Inflation and Real Economic Activity: Nonlinear Evidence from Turkey
    by Omay, Tolga
  • 2008 Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan
    by Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra
  • 2008 Technological Progress and the Future of Kuznets Curve's
    by Shin, Inyong & Kim, Hyunho & Yamamura, Eiji
  • 2008 Modeling extreme but plausible losses for credit risk: a stress testing framework for the Argentine Financial System
    by Gutierrez Girault, Matias Alfredo
  • 2008 Evaluating inflation forecast models for Poland: Openness matters, money does not (but its cost does)
    by Mukherjee, Deepraj & Kemme, David
  • 2008 Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing GARCH models
    by Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi
  • 2008 Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within new Keynesian models
    by Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A.
  • 2008 New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA
    by Janine Aron & John Muellbauer
  • 2008 Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area
    by Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider
  • 2008 Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets
    by Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West
  • 2008 Are Structural VARs with Long-Run Restrictions Useful in Developing Business Cycle Theory?
    by V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan
  • 2008 Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti
  • 2008 Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts
    by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
  • 2008 What's a Recession, Anyway?
    by Edward E. Leamer
  • 2008 Housing Wealth Isn't Wealth
    by Willem H. Buiter
  • 2008 The FOMC versus the Staff: Where Can Monetary Policymakers Add Value?
    by Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer
  • 2008 Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
    by K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler
  • 2008 Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?
    by George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis
  • 2008 Short-Term Forecasts of Latvia's Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Using Monthly Indicators
    by Konstantins Benkovskis
  • 2008 Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise
    by G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze
  • 2008 Are They Really Rational? Assessing Professional Macro-Economic Forecasts from the G7-Countries
    by Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser
  • 2008 Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey
    by Thomas Lux
  • 2008 Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions
    by Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler
  • 2008 Empirical Assessment of Bifurcation Regions within New Keynesian Models
    by William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak
  • 2008 Stress Testing Banks' Credit Risk Using Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models
    by Tom Pak-wing Fong & Chun-shan Wong
  • 2008 Analysing Convergence in Europe Using a Non-linear Single Factor Model
    by Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin
  • 2008 Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts
    by Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche
  • 2008 Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts
    by Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler
  • 2008 What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?
    by Herman O. Stekler
  • 2008 Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example
    by H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto
  • 2008 Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation
    by Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid
  • 2008 Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation
    by Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith & Matthew Weiss
  • 2008 Does the Financial Market Believe in the Phillips Curve? – Evidence from the G7 countries
    by Ralf Fendel, Eliza M. Lis and Jan-Christoph Rülke
  • 2008 The Long-Term Sustainability of Russia’s Budgetary Policy
    by Vladimir Nazarov & Pavel Kadochnikov & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev
  • 2008 A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP
    by Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti
  • 2008 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change
    by Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten
  • 2008 Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP
    by Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher
  • 2008 The ECB and the bond market
    by Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi
  • 2008 What We’re In For: Projected Economic Impact of the Next Recession
    by Dean Baker & John Schmitt
  • 2008 Expecting The Unexpected: Macroeconomic Volatility And Climate Policy
    by Warwick McKibbin & Adele Morris & Peter Wilcoxen
  • 2008 Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses
    by Christian Schulz
  • 2008 Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts
    by Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche
  • 2008 A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece
    by Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki
  • 2008 Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices
    by Kilian, Lutz & Vega, Clara
  • 2008 A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP
    by Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gian Luigi & Proietti, Tommaso
  • 2008 Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?
    by Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen
  • 2008 Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP
    by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian
  • 2008 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change
    by Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor
  • 2008 Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts
    by Adam Elbourne & Henk Kranendonk & Rob Luginbuhl & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans
  • 2008 Macroeconomic resilience in a DSGE model
    by Adam Elbourne & Debby Lanser & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans
  • 2008 Pronósticos de agregados a partir de desagregados Caso empírico: Inflación de alimentos en Colombia
    by Eliana Rocío González Molano
  • 2008 Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link
    by Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng
  • 2008 Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models
    by Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe
  • 2008 Learning Trend Inflation – Can Signal Extraction Explain Survey Forecasts?
    by Steffen Henzel
  • 2008 Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information
    by Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser
  • 2008 Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?
    by Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen
  • 2008 Quantifying the Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation
    by Bermingham, Colin
  • 2008 A Note on the Accuracy of Extended-Path Solution Methods for Dynamic General Equilibrium Economies
    by David R.F. Love
  • 2008 Combining inflation density forecasts
    by Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo
  • 2008 Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar
    by Q. Farooq Akram
  • 2008 Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities
    by Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey
  • 2008 Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework
    by Hilde C. Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih
  • 2008 Nowcasting Norwegian GDP: The role of asset prices in a small open economy
    by Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik
  • 2008 Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
    by Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C.
  • 2008 An Inflation Forecasting Model for the Euro Area
    by Chauvin, V. & Devulder, A.
  • 2008 Experts´ Macroeconomics Expectations: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-Run Forecasts
    by Carlos Capistrán & Gabriel López-Moctezuma
  • 2008 Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?
    by Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito
  • 2008 Stress testing credit risk: a survey of authorities' approaches
    by Antonella Foglia
  • 2008 Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: Individual Models or Forecast Pooling?
    by Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco
  • 2008 Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for Argentina: The Principal Components Method
    by Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco
  • 2008 Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations
    by Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann
  • 2008 Evaluation of the Quality and Success Rate of Forecasts: A Historic Overview
    by Zuzana Antonicova & Karel Musil & Lubos Ruzicka & Jan Vlcek
  • 2008 Inflation Forecasts Errors in the Czech Republic: Evidence from a Panel of Institutions
    by Jan Babecky & Jiri Podpiera
  • 2008 Prediction Bias and Undershooting of the Inflation Target
    by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Roman Horvath
  • 2008 Basic Characteristics of Inflation Targeting in the Czech Republic
    by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Tomas Holub
  • 2008 Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets
    by Katerina Smidkova
  • 2008 Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability
    by Luca Benati & Paolo Surico
  • 2008 Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks
    by Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin
  • 2008 Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?
    by Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann
  • 2008 Alternative Measures of Core Inflation in Romania
    by Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu
  • 2008 The Financial Accelerator in an Estimated New Keynesian Model
    by Ian Christensen & Ali Dib
  • 2008 Different indexes for forecasting economic activity in Russia (in Russian)
    by Oleg Demidov
  • 2008 Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2008
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2008 Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2008
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2008 The Danger of Inflating Expectations of Macroeconomic Stability: Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping-Generations Monetary Model
    by Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates
  • 2008 Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate
    by Anton Nakov
  • 2008 Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
    by Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas
  • 2008 Do Central Bank Forecast Errors Contribute to the Missing of Inflation Targets? The Case of the Czech Republic
    by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Roman Horváth
  • 2008 Inflation Target Fulfillment in the Czech Republic in 1998–2007: Some Stylized Facts
    by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Tomáš Holub
  • 2008 A Microfounded Herding Model and Its Estimation On German Survey Expectations
    by Reiner Franke
  • 2008 Inflationary Expectations In Ethiopia: Some Preliminary Results
    by LOENING, Josef & TAKADA, Hideki
  • 2008 Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht
    by Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche
  • 2008 DSGE model with nominal rigidities: estimation and assessing of fit
    by Miroslav Hloušek
  • 2008 Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model
    by Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran
  • 2008 Die ifo Kapazitätsauslastung - ein gleichlaufender Indikator der deutschen Industriekonjunktur
    by Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus
  • 2008 An Evaluation of the OECD Cyclically-Adjusted Primary Government Balance Forecasts
    by Jef Vuchelen & Jesse De Wit
  • 2008 Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for the Argentine Case: The Principal Components Methodology
    by Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Luis Lanteri & Emilio Blanco
  • 2007 Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
    by Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling
  • 2007 Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa
    by Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate
    by Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs
    by Rangan Gupta
  • 2007 Analysis of Mean and Volatility Spillovers Using BRIC Countries, Regional and World Equity Index Returns
    by Bhar, Ramaprasad & Nikolova, Biljana
  • 2007 The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach
    by Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen
  • 2007 The yield spread and GDP growth - Time Varying Leading Properties and the Role of Monetary Policy
    by Hogrefe, Jens
  • 2007 Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP
    by Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian
  • 2007 Quantifying risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts
    by Knüppel, Malte & Tödter, Karl-Heinz
  • 2007 Heterogeneous expectations, learning and European inflation dynamics
    by Weber, Anke
  • 2007 Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities
    by Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian
  • 2007 Constant interest rate projections without the curse of indeterminacy
    by Jordi Galí
  • 2007 The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott
    by Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang
  • 2007 Monetary Policy Coordination Revisited in a Two-Bloc DSGE Model
    by Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse
  • 2007 Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections
    by Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2007 Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty
    by Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman
  • 2007 Home, Sweet Home or Is It - Always? Testing the Efficiency of the Norwegian Housing Market
    by Erling Røed Larsen & Steffen Weum
  • 2007 State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?
    by Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov
  • 2007 S,s Pricing in a General Equilibrium Model with Heterogeneous Sectors
    by Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan
  • 2007 Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
    by Guangling ‘Dave’ Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling
  • 2007 Free Trade and New Economic Powers: The Worldview of Peter Mandelson
    by Fiorella Triscritti
  • 2007 Proyecciones desagregadas de inflación con modelos Sparse VAR robustos
    by Barrera Carlos
  • 2007 More Potent Monetary Policy? Insights from a Threshold Model
    by Jarkko Jääskelä
  • 2007 Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness
    by Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns
  • 2007 A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK
    by Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino
  • 2007 Pooling Forecasts in Linear Rational Expectations Models
    by Gregor W. Smith
  • 2007 Business Cycle Accounting for the Chinese Economy
    by Gao, Xu
  • 2007 Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?
    by D'Agostino, A & Surico, P
  • 2007 Dynamic Programming, Maximum Principle and Vintage Capital
    by Fabbri, Giorgio & Iacopetta, Maurizio
  • 2007 Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Canada
    by Kitov, Ivan
  • 2007 An estimated New Keynesian policy model for Australia
    by Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin
  • 2007 Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test
    by Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana
  • 2007 Relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate in France: cointegration test
    by Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana
  • 2007 Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda?
    by Olafsdottir, Katrin & Sigurdsson, Kari
  • 2007 Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks
    by Marcelle, Chauvet & Simon, Potter
  • 2007 Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks
    by Haider, Adnan & Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem
  • 2007 Inflation, unemployment, labor force change in European countries
    by Kitov, Ivan
  • 2007 Les sources des fluctuations marcoéconomiques au Cameroun
    by ODIA NDONGO, Yves Francis
  • 2007 A multiple regression model for inflation rate in Romania in the enlarged EU
    by Falnita, Eugen & Sipos, Ciprian
  • 2007 Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform
    by Álvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro
  • 2007 Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti
  • 2007 Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti
  • 2007 Cost-push impact of motor spirit price on price indices and inflation
    by Nooraddin Sharify & M. Alejandro Cardenete
  • 2007 How do the OECD Growth Projections for the G7 Economies Perform?: A Post-Mortem
    by Lukas Vogel
  • 2007 The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model
    by Pablo A. Guerron
  • 2007 What You Match Does Matter: The Effects of Data on DSGE Estimation
    by Pablo A. Guerron
  • 2007 Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s:(Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy
    by Michael D. Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri
  • 2007 Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset
    by Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright
  • 2007 Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform
    by ÿlvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro
  • 2007 The predictive content of the real interest rate gap for macroeconomic variables in the euro area
    by Jean-Stéphane MESONNIER
  • 2007 Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Latvia
    by Viktors Ajevskis
  • 2007 Global Inflation
    by Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon
  • 2007 Econometric Analysis of the Exchange Rate Channel and Monetary Policy Rule: The Case of Indonesia
    by Bastian M. Zams & Nawalage S. Cooray
  • 2007 Cyclical features of the ISAE business services series
    by Bianca Maria Martelli & Gaia Rocchetti
  • 2007 Some Evidence on the Relevance of the Chain-reaction Theory in Selected Countries
    by Hofer, Helmut & Kunst, Robert M. & Schwarzbauer, Wolfgang & Schuh, Ulrich & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2007 Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics. The Chain Reaction Approach
    by Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2007 Modelling Inflation in Croatia
    by Maruška Vizek & Tanja Broz
  • 2007 The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices
    by Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim
  • 2007 The REMSDB Macroeconomic Database of The Spanish Economy
    by J.E. Boscá & A. Bustos & A. Díaz & R. Doménech & J. Ferri & E. Pérez & L. Puch
  • 2007 A VAR Framework for Forecasting Hong Kong'S Output and Inflation
    by Hans Genberg & Jian Chang
  • 2007 The Riksbank’s Forecasting Performance
    by Andersson, Michael K. & Karlsson, Gustav & Svensson, Josef
  • 2007 GDP at risk in a DSGE model: an application to banking sector stress testing
    by Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen , Juha & Kuusi, Tero
  • 2007 Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?
    by Mehrotra, Aaron & Rautava, Jouko
  • 2007 Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?
    by Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith
  • 2007 Um modelo macrodinâmico pós-keynesiano de simulação para uma economia aberta
    by Marcelo de Oliveira Passos & José Luís Oreiro
  • 2007 Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim
    by Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek
  • 2007 Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets
    by Huisman, R. & Huurman, C. & Mahieu, R.J.
  • 2007 Revenue Management and Demand Fulfillment: Matching Applications, Models, and Software
    by Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M.
  • 2007 Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations
    by Regis Barnichon
  • 2007 The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks
    by Regis Barnichon
  • 2007 Growth, Volatility And Stabilisation Policy In A DSGE Model With Nominal Rigidities And Learning-By-Doing
    by Pham The Anh
  • 2007 Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve
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  • 2005 Economic projections for Belgium – spring 2005
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2005 Economic projections for Belgium - Autumn 2005
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  • 2005 The Index of Leading Economic Indicators as a Source of Expectational Shocks
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  • 2004 Human Capital Accumulation, Time to Build, and Business Cycles
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  • 2004 Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy
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  • 2004 Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung
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  • 2004 Macroeconomic Forecasting With A Sam Model For The Romanian Economy - Part Ii – Equations Of The Model
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  • 2004 Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Evolutionary World
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  • 2004 Should macroeconomists consider restricted perception equilibria? Evidence from the experimental laboratory
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  • 2004 Heterogeneous Agents Past and Forward Time Horizons in Setting Up a Computational Model
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  • 2004 Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?
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  • 2004 Estimates of the output gap in real time: how well have we been doing?
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  • 2004 Is more data better?
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  • 2004 Expectational business cycles
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  • 2004 Working Paper 13-04 - 10 jaar Economische Begroting : Een terugblik op de kwaliteit van de vooruitzichten
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  • 2004 A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle
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  • 2004 Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models
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  • 2004 Determinants of Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty Using a Panel of Density Forecasts
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  • 2004 Fiscal Policy Rules for Stabilisation and Growth: A Simulation Analysis of Deficit and Expenditure Targets in a Monetary Union
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  • 2004 Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany: An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion
    by Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche
  • 2004 A Behavioral Model of Conumption Patterns: The Effects of Cognitive Dissonance and Conformity
    by Nir, A.
  • 2004 Technology Diffusion and Business Cycle Asymmetry
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  • 2004 Forecasting (and Explaining) US Business Cycles
    by Muellbauer, John & Nunziata, Luca
  • 2004 Unemployment in the EU: Institutions, Prices and Growth
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  • 2004 Consumers, Consumer Prices and the Czech Business Cycle Identification
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  • 2004 Anticipation and Real Business Cycles
    by David R.F. Love & Jean-Francois Lamarche
  • 2004 Inflation Persistence during Periods of Structural Change: An Assessment Using Greek Data
    by George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou
  • 2004 Stress-testing financial systems: an overview of current methodologies
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  • 2004 Inflation and the Markup in the Euro Area
    by Bruneau, C. & De bandt, O. & Flageollet, A.
  • 2004 MASCOTTE: Model for AnalySing and foreCasting shOrT TErm developments
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  • 2004 Turning-point indicators from business surveys: real-time detection for the euro area and its major member countries
    by Alberto Baffigi & Antonio Bassanetti
  • 2004 A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro-area
    by Pilar Bengoechea & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós
  • 2004 Combining filter design with model based filtering (with an application to business cycle estimation)
    by Regina Kaiser & Agustín Maravall
  • 2004 Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General-Equilibrium Framework
    by Jean-Paul Lam
  • 2004 Modélisation « PAC » du secteur extérieur de l'économie américaine
    by Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde
  • 2004 Challenges of the “New Economy” for Monetary Policy
    by Gilbert Cette & Christian Pfister
  • 2004 Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework
    by Jean-Paul Lam & Greg Tkacz
  • 2004 Four reflections on practising inflation targeting in the Czech Republic
    by Oldřich Dědek
  • 2004 Economic projections for Belgium, 2004-2005
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2004 Economic projections for Belgium – autumn 2004
    by National Bank of Belgium
  • 2004 Prognosegüte alternativer Frühindikatoren für die Konjunktur in Deutschland
    by Joachim Benner & Carsten-Patrick Meier
  • 2004 Besser geht's nicht - Genauigkeitsgrenzen von Konjunkturprognosen As Good as it Gets - Limits of Accuracy of Macroeconomic Short Term Forecasts
    by Ullrich Heilemann
  • 2004 New Approaches in Business Cycle Research: The Application of Business Cycle Indicators
    by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
  • 2004 A Statistical Forecasting Method for Inflation Forecasting: Hitting Every Vector Autoregression and Forecasting under Model Uncertainty
    by Fujiwara, Ippei & Koga, Maiko
  • 2004 Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni
    by Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu
  • 2004 How accurate are the Swedish forecasters on GDB-Growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment? (1993 - 2001)
    by Bharat Barot
  • 2003 Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy
    by Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin
  • 2003 Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation
    by Klaus Adam
  • 2003 Factor based leading indicators for euro area business cycle: A comparative assessment
    by Angelini & Henry & Mestre
  • 2003 Assessing Three Estimators of Latent Factors with Calibrated Macroeconomic Data
    by Serena Ng & Jean Boivin
  • 2003 The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence
    by Michael W. McCracken & Todd E. Clark
  • 2003 Possible Evolutions Of The Romanian Economy (Macromodel Estimations)
    by Dobrescu, Emilian
  • 2003 Multi - Annual Scenarios Using A Small – Sized Rmsm Type Of Model In Order To Forecast The Main Macroeconomic Indicators In Romania
    by Nicolae, Mariana & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Andrei, Dalina & Stanica, Cristian & Iordan, Mioara
  • 2003 The Romanian Growth Potential – A Cge Analysis
    by Croitoru, Lucian & Tarhoaca, Cornel
  • 2003 Macroeconomic Estimations For The Romanian “Pre-Accession Economic Program” (The 2003 Version)
    by Dobrescu, Emilian
  • 2003 A Deterministic Method For Short-Term Gdp Evaluation
    by Stanica, Cristian Nicolae
  • 2003 What Determines the ZEW Indicator?
    by Hüfner, Felix P. & Lahl, David
  • 2003 Inflation Expectations in the EU: Results from Survey Data
    by Nielsen, Hannah
  • 2003 Unemployment in the European Union: A dynamic reappraisal
    by Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Héctor & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2003 Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany
    by Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd
  • 2003 Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation
    by Adam, Klaus
  • 2003 Which Survey Indicators Are Useful for Monitoring Consumption? Evidence fron European Countries
    by Niek J. Nahuis & W. Jos Jansen
  • 2003 I processi cumulativi nella crisi del debito degli anni 80: una lettura dai casi di Argentina, Brasile e Messico Cumulative processes in the 1980s debt crisis: an analysis from Argentina, Brazil and Mexico's case studies
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  • 2003 Business cycles asymmetry and monetary policy: a further investigatio= n=20 using MRSTAR models
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  • 2003 How Long Can the U.S. Consumers Carry the economy on Their Shoulders?
    by Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos
  • 2003 The conditions for a Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment
    by Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos
  • 2003 Trade Shoks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Oil-Exporting Economy
    by Francisco J. Sáez & Luis A. Puch
  • 2003 Shocking Escapes
    by Bruce McGough
  • 2003 The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves
    by Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone & Marileze van Zyl
  • 2003 Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth
    by Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower
  • 2003 Un semplice modello univariato per la previsione a breve termine dell'inflazione italiana
    by Rapacciuolo, Ciro
  • 2003 Real-Time Forecasting in Practice: The U.S. Treasury Staff's Real-Time GDP Forecast System
    by Kitchen, John & Monaco, Ralph
  • 2003 Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies
    by S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez
  • 2003 Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model
    by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez
  • 2003 Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries
    by Franck Sédillot & Nigel Pain
  • 2003 Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?
    by Jean Boivin & Serena Ng
  • 2003 Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux
    by Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford
  • 2003 Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?
    by Viv Hall & Angela Huang
  • 2003 Explaining the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Hungary: Simulations with the NIGEM Model
    by Zoltán M. Jakab & Mihály András Kovács
  • 2003 Disaggregated Cost Pass-Through Based Econometric Inflation-Forecasting Model for Hungary
    by Viktor Várpalotai
  • 2003 Quantifying the Uncertainty about the Fit of a New Keynesian Pricing Model: Extended Version
    by André Kurmann
  • 2003 Do Financial Variables Provide Information about the Swiss Business Cycle ?
    by Fabio ALESSANDRINI
  • 2003 Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth
    by Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2003 Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth
    by Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2003 Indicator Accuracy and Monetary Policy: Is Ignorance Bliss?
    by Nimark, Kristoffer P.
  • 2003 Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?
    by Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten
  • 2003 Monetary Policy Performance and the Accuracy of Observations
    by Kristoffer P. NIMARK
  • 2003 Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy
    by van Dijk, D.J.C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
  • 2003 US Outlook and German Confidence: Does the Confidence Channel Work?
    by Gustav Adolf Horn
  • 2003 Dating and Forecasting the Belgian Business Cycle
    by Vincent, BODART & Konstantin A., KHOLODILIN & Fati, SHADMAN-MEHTA
  • 2003 The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Quantifying and Forecasting Inflation Risks
    by Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone
  • 2003 Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth
    by Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor
  • 2003 The Effectiveness of Structural Policy in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis for the EU-15 during the Period 1995-2001
    by Beugelsdijk, Maaike & Eijffinger, Sylvester C W
  • 2003 The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time
    by Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden
  • 2003 Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models
    by Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller
  • 2003 The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note
    by Thomas Mayer
  • 2003 Forecasting Inflation in the Euro Area
    by Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A.
  • 2003 Forecasting Inflation using Economic Indicators: the Case of France
    by Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A. & Michaux, E.
  • 2003 Testing the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve Using Exact Methods
    by Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian
  • 2003 Explaining and Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: The Case of Mexico
    by Jeannine Bailliu & Daniel Garcés & Mark Kruger & Miguel Messmacher
  • 2003 The economic impact of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)
    by Australian Treasury
  • 2003 Estimating and Forecasting Production and Orders in Manufacturing Industry from Business Survey Data: Evidence from Switzerland, 1990-2003
    by Richard Etter & Michael Graff
  • 2003 Incomplete Unemployment Insurance and Aggregate Fluctuations
    by Francesc Obiols-Homs
  • 2003 Forecasting with leading economic indicators - a non-linear approach
    by Timotej Jagric
  • 2003 Dezinflációs számítások dezaggregált kibocsátási résekre alapozó makromodellel
    by Várpalotai, Viktor
  • 2003 The Effectiveness of Forecasting Methods Using Multiple Information Variables
    by Kitamura, Tomiyuki & Koike, Ryoji
  • 2003 Fuentes de variabilidad en las principales economías occidentales
    by Pedro José Pérez Vázquez
  • 2003 Monetary Policy, Currency Unions and Open Economy Macrodynamics
    by Toichiro Asada & Peter Flaschel & Gang Gong & Willi Semmler
  • 2003 Do the OECD forecasts for the belgian economy contain information?
    by Jozef Vuchelen & Maria Gutierrez
  • 2002 Spanish diffusion indexes
    by Israel Sancho & maximo Camacho
  • 2002 Macromodel Estimation for the Romanian "Pre-Accession Economic Programme"
    by Dobrescu, Emilian
  • 2002 Previsional Estimates Of The Romanian Economy In 2001 - The "Dobrescu" Macromodel Of The Romanian Transition Economy
    by Scutaru, Cornelia
  • 2002 Updated Scenarios For The Romanian Economy Medium-Term Dynamics
    by Dobrescu, Emilian
  • 2002 Comment on International Shocks and the Role of Domestic Policy in Australia
    by Peter M. Summers
  • 2002 Forecasting economic activity in Germany: how useful are sentiment indicators?
    by Schröder, Michael & Hüfner, Felix P.
  • 2002 Optimism, pessimism and the unforeseen: Modelling an endogenous business cycle driven by strong beliefs
    by Sell, Friedrich L.
  • 2002 Adaptive Learning and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation
    by Klaus Adam
  • 2002 Bifurcations in Macroeconomic Models
    by William A. Barnett & Yijun He
  • 2002 Core Inflation and Inflation Targeting in a Developing Economy
    by Luis A. Rivas
  • 2002 Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models
    by Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller
  • 2002 Dynamic correlations and forecasting of term structure slopes in eurocurrency market
    by Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez
  • 2002 Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?"
    by Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez
  • 2002 A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
    by Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez
  • 2002 An Error Correction Factor Model of Term Structure Slopes in International Swaps Markets
    by Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales
  • 2002 The Forecasting Ability of Factor Models of the Term Structure of IRS Markets
    by Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales
  • 2002 Too Much Too Soon: Instability and Indeterminacy with Forward-Looking Rules
    by Nicoletta Batini & Joe Pearlman
  • 2002 Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal
    by Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower
  • 2002 An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy
    by Bruno, Giancarlo & Malgarini, Marco
  • 2002 Price-caps and Efficient Pricing for the Electricity Italian Market
    by D'Ecclesia, Rita Laura & Gallo, Crescenzio
  • 2002 How many jobs? A leading indicator model of New Zealand employment
    by Edda Claus & Iris Claus
  • 2002 Monetary policy and forecasting inflation with and without the output gap
    by W A Razzak
  • 2002 Non-linear Modelling of the Australian Business Cycle using a Leading Indicator
    by Roland G. Shami & Catherine S. Forbes
  • 2002 Nonlinear Autoregresssive Leading Indicator Models of Output in G-7 Countries
    by Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid
  • 2002 Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal
    by Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2002 Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal
    by Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J.
  • 2002 Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach
    by Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar
  • 2002 Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach
    by Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar S.
  • 2002 An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy
    by Giancarlo Bruno & Marco Malgarini
  • 2002 Regime Switches in GDP Growth and Volatility: Some International Evidence and Implications for Modelling Business Cycles
    by Penelope A. Smith & Peter M. Summers
  • 2002 Should Structural Policy be Discontinued? The Macro-Economic Impact of Structural Policy on the EU-15 and the main Candidate Countries
    by M. Beugelsdijk
  • 2002 International Business Cycle Indicators, Measurement and Forecasting
    by A.H.J. den Reijer
  • 2002 Stability Criteria and Convergence: The Role of the System of National Accounts for Fiscal Policy in Europe
    by Tilman Brück & Andreas Cors & Klaus F. Zimmermann & Rudolf Zwiener
  • 2002 The Comovement between Real Activity and Prices in the G7
    by Wouter J. den Haan
  • 2002 French inflation forecasts
    by F. HILD
  • 2002 Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa
    by Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John
  • 2002 Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections of Time Series
    by Reichlin, Lucrezia
  • 2002 Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents
    by Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra
  • 2002 The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note
    by Thomas Mayer
  • 2002 Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area
    by Alberto Baffigi & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi
  • 2002 Evaluating the Quarterly Projection Model: A Preliminary Investigation
    by Robert Amano1 & Kim McPhail & Hope Pioro & Andrew Rennison
  • 2002 Estimated DGE Models and Forecasting Accuracy: A Preliminary Investigation with Canadian Data
    by Kevin Moran & Veronika Dolar
  • 2002 On the role of money in a business cycle model of a small open economy: The case of Spain
    by Eduardo L. Giménez & José María Martín-Moreno
  • 2002 Are Hodrick-Prescott `forecasts' rational?
    by J. Z. Easaw & S. M. Heravi & J. C. K. Ash & D. J. Smyth
  • 2002 A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market
    by Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon & Hans-Martin Krolzig
  • 2002 Il contenuto informativo dell’attività fieristica per l’analisi congiunturale
    by Emilio Colombo & Luca Matteo Stanca
  • 2002 Modelos de previsão de preços aplicados aos contratos futuros de boi gordo na BM&F [Models of price forecasting applied to futures contracts of live cattle at the Brazilian Futures Market - BM&F]
    by Aureliano Angel Bressan & João Eustáquio de Lima
  • 2002 Ciclo de la economía española y contenido informativo de los tipos de interés
    by PONS NOVELL, J.
  • 2002 Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen: Ein ökonometrischer Vergleich
    by Felix Hüfner & Michael Schröder
  • 2002 Støednìdobá makroekonomická predikce makroekonomické modely v analytickém systému ÈNB
    by Jaromír Beneš & David Vávra & Jan Vlèek
  • 2002 The Cost of Job Loss and the "New" Phillips Curve
    by Peter Hans Matthews & Ivan T. Kandilov
  • 2002 Inflation Targeting in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico: Performance, Credibility, and the Exchange Rate
    by Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Alejandro M. Werner
  • 2002 Weltwirtschaftsklima hat sich deutlich verschlechtert - Ergebnisse des 78. World Economic Survey (WES) vom Oktober 2002
    by Gernot Nerb & Anna Stangl
  • 2002 Weltkonjunktur: Erste Zeichen einer Erholung
    by Gernot Nerb
  • 2002 Konjunkturperspektiven 2002/2003
    by Wolfgang Nierhaus
  • 2002 Von den Problemen einer Konjunkturprognose im Juli 2002
    by Wolfgang Gerstenberger
  • 2002 The quality of a consensus forecast for economic growth in Belgium, 1981-2001
    by Jozef Vuchelen & Maria Gutierrez
  • 2001 Technology Diffusion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles
    by Toshiya Ishikawa
  • 2001 Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations
    by Francesc Obiols-Homs
  • 2001 A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment
    by Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J.
  • 2001 Evolution Of The Main Factors Of Production And Of Their Efficiency Of Use; Retrospective Analyses; Reference Points For Macroeconomic Forecasts
    by Desmireanu, Ionel
  • 2001 A Dynamic Model Of The Money Demand In Romania
    by Scutaru, Cornelia & Pelinescu, Elena
  • 2001 An Indicator Approach to Business and Growth Rate Cycles: The Case of India
    by Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji
  • 2001 An Indicator Approach to Business and Growth Rate Cycles: The Case of India
    by Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji
  • 2001 Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?
    by Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler
  • 2001 Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?
    by Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler
  • 2001 An AHP-Based Composite Cyclical-Performance Index
    by Micheal P. Niemira
  • 2001 An AHP-Based Composite Cyclical-Performance Index
    by Micheal P. Niemira
  • 2001 Identification of Cyclical Phases: A Dynamic Factor- Markov Switching Model for India
    by Gangadhar Darbha
  • 2001 Identification of Cyclical Phases: A Dynamic Factor- Markov Switching Model for India
    by Gangadhar Darbha
  • 2001 Are the New U.S. Composite Leading Economic Indicators More Informative?
    by Mehdi Mosthaghimi
  • 2001 Are the New U.S. Composite Leading Economic Indicators More Informative?
    by Mehdi Mosthaghimi
  • 2001 Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now
    by Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra
  • 2001 Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now
    by Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra
  • 2001 Confidence indexes and the probability of recession: a Markov switching model
    by Roy Batchelor
  • 2001 Confidence indexes and the probability of recession: a Markov switching model
    by Roy Batchelor
  • 2001 Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen: Zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen
    by Hüfner, Felix P. & Schröder, Michael
  • 2001 Forecasting inflation via electronic markets: Results from a prototype market
    by Berlemann, Michael
  • 2001 What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?
    by Ivan Roberts & John Simon
  • 2001 Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy
    by Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos
  • 2001 Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)
    by Harding, Don & Song, Lei Lei & Tran, Duy
  • 2001 Perspectives on Unemployment from a General Equilibrium Search Model
    by Harding, Don & Kam, Timothy
  • 2001 A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment
    by Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro
  • 2001 Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information
    by Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford
  • 2001 The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7
    by Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner
  • 2001 Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
    by James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
  • 2001 Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors
    by Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
  • 2001 Capturing the Shape of Business Cycles with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models
    by Athanasopoulos, G. & Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F.
  • 2001 Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices
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  • 1992 The Forecasting Accuracy of Crude Oil Futures Prices
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  • 1990 From Kondratieff to Chaos: Some Perspectives on Long-Term and Short-Term Business Cycles
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  • 1989 Funciones de transferencia simultáneas del índice de precios al consumo de bienes elaborados no energéticos
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  • 1989 The Reconciliation of Computable General Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Modelling: Grounds for Hope?
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  • 1986 Forecasting Versus Policy Analysis with the ORANI Model
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