[An Introduction to World Economic Long Wave-Crises and Depressions: From Study to Anticipation]
AbstractAs is considered in this paper，none of the ever existing long wave theories can totally describe or correctly explain the chronic fluctuating characters of the capitalist world economy system since the year 1857. Based on Karl Marx’s greatest work “Capital” and combined with considerable quantities of historical materials such as all kinds of writings about economic long wave both at home and abroad，the paper analyzes four inherently identical waves，tries to draw a fluctuating graph of the world economy with the wavelength supposed to be 50 years，and then forecasts the future of the world.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 2106.
Date of creation: 27 Feb 2006
Date of revision: 01 Mar 2006
economic crisis; long wave; forecasting;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E11 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Marxian; Sraffian; Institutional; Evolutionary
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-03-17 (All new papers)
- NEP-FOR-2007-03-17 (Forecasting)
- NEP-HIS-2007-03-17 (Business, Economic & Financial History)
- NEP-HPE-2007-03-17 (History & Philosophy of Economics)
- NEP-MAC-2007-03-17 (Macroeconomics)
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