The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting
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More about this item
Keywords
forecasting; social unrest; social conflict; policy uncertainty; forecasting GDP; natural language processing; geopolitical risk;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
- N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-BIG-2023-05-29 (Big Data)
- NEP-DES-2023-05-29 (Economic Design)
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