Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia after the “Great Recession”
AbstractThe paper analyses the effects of different global developments and the resulting reactions of fiscal policies after the “Great Recession” on the Slovenian economy. We use the macro model SLOPOL8.1, an econometric model of the Slovenian economy, to simulate the effects of different scenarios for the global economy under the assumption of “no-policy” reactions, i.e. assuming that macroeconomic policies are conducted without attempting to deal with the effects of the world economy. Moreover, we investigate how fiscal policy should react under each scenario if it aims at minimizing some intertemporal objective function containing important macroeconomic policy targets as arguments. It turns out that the development of the Slovenian economy depends strongly on world business cycles. If another crisis follows the “Great Recession”, a highly expansionary design of fiscal policies is required in order to achieve reasonable rates of growth or levels of output, which is neither realistic nor sustainable. There are strong trade-offs between countercyclical fiscal policies and the requirements of fiscal solvency. Although acceptable fiscal policies have to be mildly countercyclical, they are not able to protect the Slovenian economy from the negative effects of another slump such as the one occurring during the “Great Recession”.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Eurasia Business and Economics Society in its journal Eurasian Economic Review.
Volume (Year): 2 (2012)
Issue (Month): 2 (Fall)
Macroeconomics; Fiscal Policy; Economics of Transition; Slovenia; Crisis; Public Debt;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2013. "Trade-Off of Fiscal Austerity in the European Debt Crisis in Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 367-380, November.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ().
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.