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Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Christian K. Tipoy
  • Malibongwe C. Nyati
  • Paul F. Muzindutsi

Abstract

This study reports on measuring and testing of a Composite Financial Cycle Index (CFCI) as a modified version of a South African Financial Cycle (FC). This is achieved through the adoption of thirteen monthly financial time series indicators observed over the period 2000M1 to 2018M12. In this context, a Two-Step Markov Switching Dynamic Factor in […]

Suggested Citation

  • Christian K. Tipoy & Malibongwe C. Nyati & Paul F. Muzindutsi, 2021. "Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle," Working Papers 869, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  • Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:869
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    econometric modelling; Macroeconomic Models; Other Macroeconomic Variables; Quantitative Methods;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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