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Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia. Un análisis para el siglo XXI

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  • Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuna - Paola Andrea Vaca González

Abstract

Esta investigación busca analizar dos tópicos, en primer lugar, los impactos que en Colombia tienen los precios internacionales del petróleo (referencia WTI) y los alimentos (carne, lácteos, azúcar, aceites), sobre los diferentes sectores económicos con los que poseen vínculos directos. En segundo lugar, estudiar los efectos de estos precios sobre la inflación y el crecimiento del producto en la economía nacional. Para estos dos objetivos, se realiza entre 2000 y 2011, un análisis estadístico mediante modelos VAR, determinando a partir de estos, causalidades de Granger, funciones de impulso-respuesta, y descomposiciones de varianza. Los datos utilizados son los índices de precios de alimentos de la FAO, el precio del petróleo WTI, los PIB sectoriales, el producto agregado, y el índice de precios al consumidor (general y sin alimentos).

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuna - Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2012. "Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia. Un análisis para el siglo XXI," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía 10034, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000176:010034
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    File URL: http://fce.unal.edu.co/centro-editorial/docs/econografos-escuela-economia/26-impacto-de-los-precios-internacionales-del-petroleo-wti-y-los-alimentos-en-la-inflacion-y-en-el-crecimiento-sectorial-y-macroeconomico-en-colombia-un-analisis-para-el-siglo-xxi
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mora Barrenechea, Mauricio, 2020. "Time-varying effects of commodities prices in the Bolivian economy," MPRA Paper 104706, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jonathan Cortázar Camelo, Elkin Linares, 2015. "Incidencia de los precios del petróleo en el crecimiento económico y la inversión extranjera directa en Colombia durante el periodo 1990-2010," Revista CIFE, Universidad Santo Tomás, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Índice de precios de alimentos; Precio del Petróleo WTI; Inflación; Crecimiento; Modelos VAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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