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Are GDP revisions predictable?

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  • Boriss Siliverstovs

Abstract

This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there seems to be a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland.

Suggested Citation

  • Boriss Siliverstovs, 2011. "Are GDP revisions predictable?," KOF Working papers 11-281, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    • Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:11-281
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-006499473
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