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La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia

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  • José Luis Torres

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Abstract

La brecha del producto es una variable clave para la política monetaria bajoel régimen de inflación objetivo. Dada la incertidumbre sobre esta medida,los equipos de inflación de los Bancos Centrales monitorean regularmente unconjunto amplio de indicadores y de estimaciones, que dan luces sobre laposición de la economía en el ciclo y posibles presiones de demanda. En estetrabajo se reseñan las principales metodologías que se utilizan en el Bancode la República de Colombia para su estimación. También se comparan lospronósticos fuera de muestra, para la inflación básica, que se obtienenutilizando las diferentes medidas en una curva de Phillips híbrida.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 004288.

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Length: 33
Date of creation: 30 Oct 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:004288

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Keywords: Brecha del producto; Curva de Phillips; Colombia.;

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Cited by:
  1. Ignacio Lozano & Hernán Rincón & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, . "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas públicas de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 505, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  2. Andrés González & Segio Ocampo & Julián Pérez & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Output Gap and Neutral Interest Measures of Colombia," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, vol. 0(2), pages 231-286, July-Dece.
  3. repec:cml:incocp:1-01 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Nicolas E. Magud & Evridiki Tsounta, 2012. "To Cut or Not to Cut? That is the (Central Bank’s) Question In Search of the Neutral Interest Rate in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 12/243, International Monetary Fund.

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