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Prognosen aus dem Internet: Weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet

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Author Info

  • Askitas, Nikos

    ()
    (IZA)

  • Zimmermann, Klaus F.

    ()
    (IZA, DIW Berlin and Bonn University)

Abstract

Nach einem neuen methodischen Prognosekonzept, das arbeitsmarktbezogene Internetdaten nutzt, entspannt sich zum Frühjahr 2009 die Arbeitsmarktlage. Das Papier erläutert die Technik der Prognose der Arbeitslosigkeit unter Nutzung der Messung der Google-Suchaktivität und illustriert die Leistungsfähigkeit der Methode in der gegenwärtigen komplexen Anwendungssituation.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Standpunkte with number 13.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izasps:sp13

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Related research

Keywords: Google; Internet; Suchmaschinen; Schlüsselworte; Arbeitslosigkeit; Prognosen; Evaluation;

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References

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  1. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
  2. Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 899, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  3. Werner Eichhorst & Paul Marx, 2009. "Kurzarbeit — Sinnvoller Konjunkturpuffer oder verlängertes Arbeitslosengeld?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 89(5), pages 322-328, May.
  4. Karl Brenke & Christian Dreger & Stefan Kooths & Vladimir Kuzin & Sebastian Weber & Florian Zinsmeister, 2009. "Grundlinien der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2009/2010," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(1/2), pages 2-35.
  5. Amelie Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2008. "Im Angesicht der Krise: US-Präsidentschaftswahlen in transnationaler Sicht," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(44), pages 688-701.
  6. Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Prognosekrise: Warum weniger manchmal mehr ist," IZA Standpunkte 4, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  7. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2009. "Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(13), pages 207-213.
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Cited by:
  1. Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Googlemetrie und Arbeitsmarkt in der Wirtschaftskrise," IZA Standpunkte 17, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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