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Googlemetrie und Arbeitsmarkt in der Wirtschaftskrise

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Author Info

  • Askitas, Nikos

    ()
    (IZA)

  • Zimmermann, Klaus F.

    ()
    (IZA, DIW Berlin and Bonn University)

Abstract

Die große Wirtschaftskrise hat bisher nur verhaltene Spuren am Arbeitsmarkt hinterlassen. Angesichts der unsicheren weiteren konjunkturellen Entwicklung, der schlechten Auslastung der Arbeitskräfte in den Unternehmen und der hohen Kurzarbeit erwarten viele Beobachter zum Herbst einen dramatischen Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit mit einer baldigen Überschreitung der Vier-Millionen-Grenze. Nach Prognosen unter Verwendung von Google-Internetzugriffsstatistiken bleibt es aber im Vorfeld der Bundestagswahlen in den Sommermonaten August und September aller Voraussicht nach völlig ruhig. Saisonal bedingt geht die Arbeitslosigkeit sogar zurück. Damit verringert sich die Gefahr, dass eine Arbeitslosenzahl von vier Millionen noch in diesem Jahr erreicht werden wird.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Standpunkte with number 17.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izasps:sp17

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Related research

Keywords: Google; Internet; Suchmaschinen; Schlüsselworte; Arbeitslosigkeit; Prognosen; Evaluation;

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References

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  1. Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 55(2), pages 107-120.
  2. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2009. "Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(13), pages 207-213.
  3. Karl Brenke & Christian Dreger & Stefan Kooths & Vladimir Kuzin & Sebastian Weber & Florian Zinsmeister, 2009. "Grundlinien der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2009/2010," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(1/2), pages 2-35.
  4. Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Prognosen aus dem Internet: weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(25), pages 402-408.
  5. Amelie Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2008. "Im Angesicht der Krise: US-Präsidentschaftswahlen in transnationaler Sicht," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(44), pages 688-701.
  6. Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Prognosekrise: Warum weniger manchmal mehr ist," IZA Standpunkte 4, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  7. Nikos Askitas & Klaus Zimmermann, 2009. "Googlemetrie und Arbeitsmarkt," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer, vol. 89(7), pages 489-496, July.
  8. Christian Dreger & Patricia Alvarez-Plata & Kerstin Bernoth & Karl Brenke & Stefan Kooths & Vladimir Kuzin & Jörg Weber & Sebastian Weber & Florian Zinsmeister, 2009. "Tendenzen der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2009/2010," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(31), pages 490-529.
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