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Die deutsche Industrie - ein Fels in der Brandung?

Author

Listed:
  • Dorothea Lucke

Abstract

Die Industrie in Deutschland hat dank des seit Anfang 2009 ununterbrochenen Wachstums im Sommer 2011 das Produktionsniveau von vor der Wirtschaftskrise wieder erreicht. Getrieben wurde die Erholung durch die starke in- und ausländische Nachfrage nach deutschen Investitions- und Vorleistungsgütern. Der ifo-Geschäftsklimaindex, der seit Juli 2011 in der Tendenz nach unten zeigt, und die gesunkenen Auftragseingänge deuten allerdings darauf hin, dass die Industrieproduktion zum Jahresende 2011 zurückgehen wird. Dauer und Stärke der Abschwächung werden nicht zuletzt davon abhängen, wie schnell es der Politik gelingt, überzeugende Maßnahmen zur Lösung der Schuldenkrise im Euroraum zu ergreifen und so die verbreitete Unsicherheit von Investoren und Konsumenten abzubauen.

Suggested Citation

  • Dorothea Lucke, 2011. "Die deutsche Industrie - ein Fels in der Brandung?," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(49), pages 3-11.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:78-49-1
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hundt Christian & Grün Lennart, 2022. "Resilience and specialization – How German regions weathered the Great Recession," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 66(2), pages 96-110, July.
    2. Franziska Pudelko & Christian Hundt & Linus Holtermann, 2018. "Gauging two sides of regional economic resilience in Western Germany—Why sensitivity and recovery should not be lumped together," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 38(2), pages 141-189, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forecasts; business cycles; industrial production;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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