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Interaction between market and credit risk: Focus on the endogeneity of aggregate risk

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  • Sokolov, Yuri

Abstract

As shown in the recent BCBS papers market and credit risks could reinforce each other in certain circumstances, meaning the sum of the parts might be less than an estimate of risk that takes into account the interactions between the two. Market risk factors have an ambiguous impact on the firms' repayment conditions because depreciation of domestic currency for instance favors exporters and harms importers. Within the task of a ‘top-down’ aggregation of market and credit risks this contribution presents a general framework to economic capital measurement and active portfolio management splitting exogenous risk factor influence throw different channels. The approach implies an exploiting of banks information about the clients' trade and cash flows related to global economic activity. The way to single out exposures to counterparties belonging to the same pattern of behavioural reactions to the market factors are considered as the bedrock of Factor endogenous behaviour aggregation (FEBA) approach.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 18245.

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Date of creation: 08 Nov 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:18245

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Keywords: integrated analysis of market and credit risk; risk management; endogenous behaviour; concentration risk.;

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  1. Thérèse Laflèche, 1997. "The impact of exchange rate movements on consumer prices," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 1996(Winter), pages 21-32.
  2. Masschelein, Nancy & Düllmann, Klaus, 2006. "Sector concentration in loan portfolios and economic capital," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2006,09, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  3. Christoph B. Rosenberg & Marcel Tirpák, 2008. "Determinants of Foreign Currency Borrowing in the New Member States of the EU," IMF Working Papers 08/173, International Monetary Fund.
  4. Breuer, Thomas & Jandacka, Martin & Rheinberger, Klaus & Summer, Martin, 2008. "Regulatory capital for market and credit risk interaction: is current regulation always conservative?," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
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Cited by:
  1. Sokolov, Yuri, 2012. "Modeling risk in a dynamically changing world: from association to causation," MPRA Paper 40096, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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