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Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Jeannine Bailliu
  • Patrick Blagrave
  • James Rossiter

Abstract

To complement its existing set of tools to analyze and forecast developments in the global economy, the Bank of Canada recently developed a version of the Global Projection Model (GPM) jointly with staff at the International Monetary Fund. The GPM is a highly stylized quarterly projection model for the global economy based on work by Carabenciov et al. (2008). The GPM is specifically designed to meet the need for a better tool to conduct the global projection. The model’s main strength is that it provides an internally consistent projection for the global economy, wherein a shock to any individual block of the model is transmitted to the other economies through several channels. Moreover, it enables staff to better account for changes in view from projection to projection and to analyze the general-equilibrium impact on the global economy of a number of key shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeannine Bailliu & Patrick Blagrave & James Rossiter, 2010. "Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy," Technical Reports 99, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocatr:99
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    File URL: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/tr99.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Blagrave & Claudia Godbout & Justin-Damien Guénette & René Lalonde & Nikita Perevalov, 2020. "IMPACT: The Bank of Canada’s International Model for Projecting Activity," Technical Reports 116, Bank of Canada.
    2. Olivier Gervais & Ilan Kolet & René Lalonde, 2010. "A Larger Slice of a Growing Pie: the Role of Emerging Asia in Forecasting Commodity Prices," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 75-95, January-J.
    3. Pablo Pincheira, 2010. "A Real Time Evaluation of the Central Bank of Chile GDP Growth Forecasts," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 37-73, January-J.
    4. Dwight S. Jackson, 2010. "The Dynamics of Bank Spreads in the Jamaican Banking Sector: an Empirical Assessment," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-35, January-J.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic models; International topics; Business fluctuations and cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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