IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/zbw/iwktre/157083.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Konjunkturanalyse mit einem Gleichgewichtsmodell für die deutsche Wirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Bendel, Daniel
  • Demary, Markus
  • Jäger-Ambroçzewicz

Abstract

Es wird kontrovers darüber diskutiert, ob die Rezession in Deutschland im Jahr 2009 von einem Einbruch des Welthandels oder von einem Angebotsschock aufgrund der Probleme im Bankensektor verursacht wurde. Gemäß dem neuen DSGE-Modell des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln haben sowohl die rückläufige Auslandsnachfrage als auch ein Produktivitätsrückgang den Wirtschaftseinbruch in Deutschland ausgelöst. Der Produktivitätsschock kann allerdings auch auf unausgelastete Kapazitäten und die rückläufige Investitionstätigkeit zurückgeführt werden. Er spiegelt somit ebenfalls einen Nachfrageschock wider. Die DSGE-Modelle können dies aufgrund ihrer Konstruktion nicht adäquat abbilden.

Suggested Citation

  • Bendel, Daniel & Demary, Markus & Jäger-Ambroçzewicz, 2013. "Konjunkturanalyse mit einem Gleichgewichtsmodell für die deutsche Wirtschaft," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 40(3), pages 33-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwktre:157083
    DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.13-03-03
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/157083/1/iw-trends-v40-i3-a3.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2373/1864-810X.13-03-03?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE-Modell; Konjunkturanalyse;

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:iwktre:157083. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkolde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.