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Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?

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Author Info
Robert S. Goldfarb (George Washington University)
H. O. Stekler (George Washington University)

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Abstract

Numerous empirical literatures display conflicting results. This paper examines the conflicting results concerning the rationality of forecasts and expectations. Meta-analysis techniques are used to examine the empirical studies that tested the rationality hypothesis. What did we know, and when did we know it, about the rationality of forecasts? Our purpose is to systematically document how conclusions change over time and to investigate whether meta-analysis techniques might have been useful in shedding light on those findings. The results differ depending on which meta null is used, but there still is no definitive finding about the rationality of these forecasts.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics in its journal Indian Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 36 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 269-300
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Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:36:y:2001:i:1:p:269-300

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation
B40 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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