Modeling Inflation in Croatia
AbstractThis paper constructs a quarterly inflation model for Croatia, using the general-to-specific approach to model inflation dynamics. A two-step procedure is followed. First, we conduct a long-run sectoral analysis of inflation sources, yielding long-run determinants of inflation: markup, excess money, nominal effective exchange rate, and the output gap. Second, we estimate an equilibrium error correction model of inflation, deploying, among other variables of interest, the long-run solutions derived in the first step. The derived model of inflation suggests that inflation inertia and Croatian trading partners' inflation are most important for explaining the short-run behavior of inflation. Apart from these two variables, markup, excess money, output gap, nominal exchange rate, and broad money also contribute to inflation changes in the short run.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by M.E. Sharpe, Inc. in its journal Emerging Markets Finance and Trade.
Volume (Year): 45 (2009)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=journal&id=111024
cointegration; Croatia; general-to-specific; inflation modeling;
Other versions of this item:
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Billmeier, Andreas & Bonato, Leo, 2004.
"Exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy in Croatia,"
Journal of Comparative Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 426-444, September.
- Leo Bonato & Andreas Billmeier, 2002. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy in Croatia," IMF Working Papers 02/109, International Monetary Fund.
- R. Golinelli & R. Orsi, 2001. "Hungary and Poland," Working Papers 424, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Toshitaka Sekine, 2001. "Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in Japan," IMF Working Papers 01/82, International Monetary Fund.
- Payne, James E., 2002. "Inflationary dynamics of a transition economy: the Croatian experience," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 219-230, June.
- Fakhri, Hasanov & Khudayar, Hasanli, 2011. "Why had the Money Market Approach been irrelevant in explaining inflation in Azerbaijan during the rapid economic growth period?," MPRA Paper 29559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Boromisa, Ana-Maria & Knezović, Sandro, 2008. "Croatia: Integration Perspectives and Synergic Effects of European Transformation in the Countries Targeted by EU Enlargement and Neighbourhood Policies Economy," MPRA Paper 23971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zapodeanu Daniela & Gavris Natalia & Leac Dafina Roxana & Teudan Ana - Maria, 2011. "A Liniar Model Of Analyzing Inflation In Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey And Croatia," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 445-451, December.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Chris Nguyen).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.