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A Model To Forecast The Monthly Inflation In Romania

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Author Info
Pelinescu, Elena () (Institute for Economic Forecasting)
Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu () (Institute for Economic Forecasting)

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Abstract

This paper is organized in two parts, the presentation of the model of inflation for Romania, and the results of different scenarios starting from the base model. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for the simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in Romania, with a focus on the short-term impact of the changes in money, foreign exchange and wage policies and controlled prices, as well as the impact of the external shocks, such as the international oil price, on the future inflation in Romania.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 2 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 37-58
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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:2:y:2005:i:3:p:37-58

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Postal: Casa Academiei, Calea 13, Septembrie nr.13, sector 5, Bucureşti 761172
Phone: 004 021 3188148
Fax: 004 021 3188148
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Web page: http://www.ipe.ro/
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Related research
Keywords: inflation price forecasting and simulation VAR

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
P22 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Prices

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This page was last updated on 2008-7-23.


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