Lungu, Laurian () (Cardiff Business School) Matthews, Kent () (Cardiff Business School) Minford, Patrick () (Cardiff Business School)
Abstract
Previous attempts at modelling current observed endogenous financial variables in a macroeconomic model have concentrated on only one observed endogenous variable - namely the short-term rate of interest. The solution method for dealing with more than one observed endogenous variable has thus far been computationally intractable. This paper applies a general search algorithm to a macroeconomic model with an observed interest rate and exchange rate to solve the signal extraction problem. The informational advantage of applying the signal extraction algorithm to all the current observed endogenous variables is examined in terms of the implication for policy from the misperceptions of specific macroeconomic shocks.
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section in its series Cardiff Economics Working Papers with number
E2006/1.
Length: 29 pages Date of creation: Jan 2006 Date of revision: Publication status: Published in Economic Modelling, 25(2), March 2008, pp. 255-273 Handle: RePEc:cdf:wpaper:2006/1
Find related papers by JEL classification: E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation
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