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Content
November 2018, Volume 246, Issue 1
- 1-2 NIESR at 80: A Retrospective - Introduction
by Charles Bean - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-14 Macroeconomic Modelling at the Institute: Hopes, Challenges and a Lasting Contribution
by Ray Barrell & Andy Blake & Garry Young - 4-35 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Arno Hantzsche & Amit Kara & Garry Young - 15-23 Macro Modelling at the NIESR: Its Recent History
by S.G. Hall & S.G.B. Henry - 24-35 What is Holding Back UK Productivity? Lessons from Decades of Measurement
by Geoff Mason & Mary O'Mahony & Rebecca Riley - 36-46 The World Economy: World Overview
by Barry Naisbitt & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram - 36-49 Some Recent Developments in Labour Economics
by Peter J. Dolton - 47-56 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 50-63 The International Economy: Bind or Boon?
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 57-60 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt - 61-67 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 64-64 Corrigendum
by N/A
August 2018, Volume 245, Issue 1
- 1-4 Reflecting on the Broken Housing Market: An Introduction
by Jagjit S. Chadha & David Nguyen - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-9 Commentary: The Risks of Rising Global Indebtedness
by Barry Naisbitt - 5-8 The Housing Market: Challenges and Policy Responses
by Stephen Aldridge - 9-19 Broken Market or Broken Policy? The Unintended Consequences of Restrictive Planning
by Paul Cheshire - 10-40 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Amit Kara & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Garry Young - 20-33 Housing, Debt and the Economy: A Tale of Two Countries
by John Muellbauer - 34-39 Housing Policy and the Changing Tenure Mix
by Christine Whitehead - 40-55 The Lack of Wage Growth and the Falling NAIRU
by David N.F. Bell & David G. Blanchflower - 41-49 The World Economy: World Overview
by Barry Naisbitt & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram - 50-59 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 60-63 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt - 64-70 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A
May 2018, Volume 244, Issue 1
- 1-14 Using NiGEM in Uncertain Times: Introduction and Overview of NiGEM
by Arno Hantzsche & Marta Lopresto & Garry Young - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-10 Commentary: Light at the End of the Fiscal Tunnel?
by Arno Hantzsche & Garry Young - 11-36 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Amit Kara & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & Garry Young - 15-20 A Model-Based Analysis of the Effect of Increased Public Investment
by Nigel Pain & Elena Rusticelli & Véronique Salins & David Turner - 21-29 The Import Content of Expenditure Components and the Size of International Spillovers
by Markus Jorra & Andreas Esser & Ulf D. Slopek - 30-38 The Nature of the Shock Matters: NiGEM Estimations of the Macroeconomic Effects of Recent Dollar and Euro Fluctuations
by Sophie Haincourt - 37-48 The World Economy: World Overview
by Barry Naisbitt & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram - 39-45 Export Pricing and the Macroeconomic Effects of US Import Tariffs
by Ulf D. Slopek - 46-55 Measuring The Permanent Costs of Brexit
by Hugo Erken & Raphie Hayat & Carlijn Prins & Marijn Heijmerikx & Inge de Vreede - 49-57 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 56-63 Modelling External Shocks in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland
by Thomas Conefrey & Gerard O'Reilly & Graeme Walsh - 58-61 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt - 62-68 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 64-64 Corrigendum
by N/A
February 2018, Volume 243, Issue 1
- 1-3 Better Schools for All? Introduction
by Alex Bryson & Lucy Stokes & David Wilkinson - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-9 Commentary: The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 4-16 Assessing the Variance in Pupil Attainment: How Important is the School Attended?
by David Wilkinson & Alex Bryson & Lucy Stokes - 10-42 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Amit Kara & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & Garry Young - 17-26 Do Private Schools Manage Better?
by Alex Bryson & Francis Green - 27-36 Identifying Schools With High Usage and High Loss of Newly Qualified Teachers
by Sam Sims & Rebecca Allen - 37-52 Incentivising Specific Combinations of Subjects – Does It Make Any Difference to University Access?
by Jake Anders & Morag Henderson & Vanessa Moulton & Alice Sullivan - 43-54 The World Economy: World Overview
by Barry Naisbitt & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Marta Lopresto & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram - 53-61 Underemployment and the Lack of Wage Pressure in the UK
by David N.F. Bell & David G. Blanchflower - 55-66 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 67-72 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Barry Naisbitt - 73-79 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A
November 2017, Volume 242, Issue 1
- 1-2 Introduction: Globalisation: Local and Sectoral Impacts
by Monique Ebell & Rebecca Riley - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-13 International Trade and UK de-industrialisation
by Francesca Foliano & Rebecca Riley - 4-9 Commentary: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Normalisation as Brexit is Negotiated
by Garry Young - 10-42 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Amit Kara & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & Garry Young - 14-23 Value Added from Trade for Key Business and Financial Service Industries: Initial Estimates
by Monique Ebell & Jack Pilkington & Jeremy Rowe & Sylaja Srinivasan - 24-36 Local Economic Effects of Brexit
by Swati Dhingra & Stephen Machin & Henry Overman - 37-50 Will Brexit Raise the Cost of Living?
by Stephen Clarke & Ilona Serwicka & L. Alan Winters - 43-50 The World Economy: World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram - 51-59 Brexit and the UK Automotive Industry
by David Bailey & Lisa De Propris - 51-64 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 60-67 Predicting Medium-Term TFP Growth in the United States: Econometrics vs ‘Techno-Optimism’
by Nicholas Crafts & Terence C. Mills - 65-71 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Graham Hacche & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott - 72-78 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A
August 2017, Volume 241, Issue 1
- 1-4 The Financial Crisis: One Decade on Introduction
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-7 Commentary: Interest Rate Normalisation
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 5-12 Monetary Policy Normals, Future and Past
by Peter Sinclair & William A. Allen - 8-41 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Amit Kara & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & James Warren - 13-32 “Sound Finances†: Strategy or Soundbite
by Michael McMahon - 33-47 Building on Incomplete Foundations: Financial Stability Policy since the Crash
by Richard Barwell - 42-49 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Arno Hantzsche & Jason Lennard & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & James Warren - 48-57 The Financial Foundations of the Productivity Puzzle
by Jagjit S. Chadha & Amit Kara & Paul Labonne - 50-62 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 58-64 Medium-Run Implications of Changing Demographic Structures for the Macro-Economy
by Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso & Ron P. Smith - 63-69 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Jason Lennard & Graham Hacche - 65-69 Quantitative Easing and the Independence of the Bank of England
by William A. Allen - 70-73 Unwinding: A Tale of Corridors and Floors
by Roger E.A. Farmer - 70-76 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A
May 2017, Volume 240, Issue 1
- 1-4 Inequality, Social Mobility and the New Economy: Introduction
by Heather Rolfe - 2-2 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-13 Commentary: The Economic Landscape of the UK
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 5-14 Precarious and Productive Work in the Digital Economy
by Diane Coyle - 14-49 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 15-29 On Estimating the Fiscal Benefits of Early Intervention
by Leon Feinstein & Haroon Chowdry & Kirsten Asmussen - 30-41 The Role of the Eleven-Plus Test Papers and Appeals in Producing Social Inequalities in Access to Grammar Schools
by Rebecca Allen & Joanne Bartley - 42-57 Post-Compulsory Education in England: Choices and Implications
by Claudia Hupkau & Sandra McNally & Jenifer Ruiz-Valenzuela & Guglielmo Ventura - 50-60 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Cyrille Lenoel & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott & Craig Thamotheram & James Warren - 58-72 Is London Really the Engine-Room? Migration, Opportunity Hoarding and Regional Social Mobility in the UK
by Sam Friedman & Lindsey Macmillan - 61-76 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 77-84 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions
by Iana Liadze & Graham Hacche - 85-91 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A
February 2017, Volume 239, Issue 1
- 1-2 Economic Policy and Surveillance in Europe: Introduction
by Simon Kirby - 2-2 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-13 Fiscal and Other Rules in EU Economic Governance: Helpful, Largely Irrelevant or Unenforceable?
by Iain Begg - 4-9 Why Forecast?
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 10-19 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 14-31 Does the Structural Budget Balance Guide Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclically? Evidence from the Finnish Great Depression of the 1990s
by Tero Kuusi - 20-34 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 32-52 Analysing the Relevance of the MIP Scoreboard's Indicators
by Domonkos Tomáš & Ostrihoň Filip & Šikulová Ivana & Širaňová Mária - 35-42 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 43-49 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 50-80 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 53-62 A Public Investment Stimulus in Surplus Countries and Its Spillovers in the EA
by Jan in't Veld
November 2016, Volume 238, Issue 1
- 1-3 UK and Europe: What Next? Introduction
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 2-2 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 4-8 Fiscal Policy after the Referendum
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 4-12 Hard or Soft? The Politics of Brexit
by Anand Menon & Brigid Fowler - 9-16 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 13-21 Immigration after Brexit
by Jonathan Portes - 17-30 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 22-30 Negotiating the UK's Post-Brexit Trade Arrangements
by Peter Holmes & Jim Rollo & L. Alan Winters - 31-38 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 31-42 Assessing the Impact of Trade Agreements on Trade
by Monique Ebell - 39-45 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 43-50 The UK and EU Foreign, Security and Defence Policy after Brexit: Integrated, Associated or Detached?
by Richard G. Whitman - 46-78 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren
August 2016, Volume 237, Issue 1
- 1-5 The Future of Pensions: Reforms and their Consequences – Introduction
by Alexander M. Danzer & Richard Disney & Peter Dolton & Chiara Rosazza Bondibene - 2-2 The World Economy: Forecast Summary
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy: Forecast summary
by N/A - 4-8 The Referendum Blues: Shocking the System
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 6-14 Pension Reform in the United Kingdom: An Economic Perspective
by Richard Disney - 9-16 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 13-21 One Pillar Crumbling, the Others Too Short: Old-Age Provision in Germany
by Martin Werding - 17-26 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 22-29 Linking Retirement Age to Life Expectancy in a Bismarckian System – The Case of Germany
by Valentin Vogt & Jörg Althammer - 27-34 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 30-37 Workplace Pensions and Remuneration in the Public and Private Sectors in the UK
by Jonathan Cribb & Carl Emmerson - 35-41 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 38-46 Who Wins? Evaluating the Impact of UK Public Sector Pension Scheme Reforms
by Alexander M. Danzer & Peter Dolton & Chiara Rosazza Bondibene - 42-71 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 47-54 The Effect of the Reforms to Compulsion on Annuity Demand
by Edmund Cannon & Ian Tonks & Rob Yuille - 55-61 Variable Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Risk
by Martin Weale & Justin van de Ven - 72-80 Appendix – Forecast details
by N/A
May 2016, Volume 236, Issue 1
- 2-6 Commentary: The Economic Consequences of Leaving the EU
by Angus Armstrong & Jonathan Portes - 7-13 Britain's Influence in the EU
by Anand Menon & John-Paul Salter - 14-22 Immigration, Free Movement and the EU Referendum
by Jonathan Portes - 23-30 Free Movement of Services, Migration and Leaving the EU
by Catherine Barnard & Amy Ludlow - 31-38 EU Membership, Financial Services and Stability
by Angus Armstrong - 39-47 The EU Budget and UK Contribution
by Iain Begg - 48-48 At a Glance…: The World Economy
by N/A - 49-49 The UK Economy
by N/A - 50-54 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 55-66 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 67-74 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 75-81 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 82-107 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott - 108-120 The Short–Term Economic Impact of Leaving the EU
by Jessica Baker & Oriol Carreras & Monique Ebell & Ian Hurst & Simon Kirby & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 121-138 The Long-Term Economic Impact of Leaving the EU
by Monique Ebell & James Warren
February 2016, Volume 235, Issue 1
- 1-3 Financial Regulation: Are We Reaching an Efficient Outcome?
by Angus Armstrong & E. Philip Davis - 2-2 At a Glance…: The World Economy
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy
by N/A - 4-8 Commentary: UK Housing Market: Problems and Policies
by Angus Armstrong - 4-14 The Missed Opportunity and Challenge of Capital Regulation
by Anat R. Admati - 9-15 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Jessica Baker & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 15-17 Regulatory Failure and Regulatory Change in the Banking Sector
by David Miles - 16-31 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 18-26 Liquidity Regulation: Rationales, Benefits and Costs
by Gianni De Nicolò - 27-39 Too Big to Fail and Too Big to Save: Dilemmas for Banking Reform
by James R. Barth & Clas Wihlborg - 32-39 Appendix A: Summary of Key Forecast Assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 40-46 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 40-49 Regulatory Cooperation on Cross-Border Banking – Progress and Challenges After the Crisis
by Thorsten Beck - 47-76 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 50-62 Macroprudential Supervision: From Theory to Policy
by Dirk Schoenmaker & Peter Wierts
November 2015, Volume 234, Issue 1
- 1-4 Unconventional Monetary Policy: Introduction
by Angus Armstrong & Monique Ebell - 2-2 At a Glance…: The world economy
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy
by N/A - 4-7 Commentary: Modernising Economic Statistics: Why It Matters
by Diane Coyle - 5-14 Negative Interest Rate Policy as Conventional Monetary Policy
by Miles S. Kimball - 8-12 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Jessica Baker & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 13-26 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A - 15-26 Quantity Theory of Money Redux? Will Inflation be the Legacy of Quantitative Easing?
by William R. Cline - 27-33 Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions by Simon Kirby and Iana Liadze
by N/A - 27-39 The New Art of Central Banking
by Jagjit S. Chadha - 34-40 Appendix B: Forecast Detail
by N/A - 40-47 The Transmission of Unconventional Monetary Policy in UK Government Debt Markets
by Jack Meaning & James Warren - 41-66 Prospects for the UK Economy
by Simon Kirby & Oriol Carreras & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott - 67-72 A Financial Perspective on the UK Current Account Deficit
by Philip R. Lane
August 2015, Volume 233, Issue 1
- 1-4 The Economics of UK Constitutional Change: Introduction
by Angus Armstrong & Monique Ebell - 2-2 At a Glance…: The world economy
by N/A - 3-3 The UK Economy
by N/A - 4-9 Commentary: The Government's Fiscal Strategy
by Jonathan Portes - 5-13 Devolving Funding and Taxation in the UK: A Unique Challenge
by Tony Travers - 10-15 World Overview
by Graham Hacche & Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning & Rebecca Piggott & James Warren - 14-26 City Deals, Decentralisation and the Governance of Local Infrastructure Funding and Financing in the UK
by Peter O'Brien & Andy Pike - 16-29 Prospects for Individual Economies
by N/A