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The resurgence of protectionism: potential implications for global financial stability

Author

Listed:
  • Dizioli, Allan Gloe
  • van Roye, Björn

Abstract

The intensification of trade tensions this year has raised concerns about the potential adverse impact on global growth and asset prices. So far, the isolated effects of introducing tariffs on selected goods on asset prices have been adverse mainly for specific companies that rely heavily on international trade. At the same time, global financial markets have overall been fairly resilient to the announcements and implementation of tariff measures. This special feature finds that an escalation of trade tensions could trigger a global repricing in asset markets. For the euro area, asset prices would be strongly affected in the event of a full-blown global trade war, in which all countries impose tariffs on each other, while the impact of a regionally contained trade dispute escalation would be rather subdued. JEL Classification: E37, F13, F18, F47

Suggested Citation

  • Dizioli, Allan Gloe & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "The resurgence of protectionism: potential implications for global financial stability," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:fsrart:2018:0002:2
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/financial-stability/fsr/special/html/ecb.fsrart201811_2.en.html
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. M. Ayhan Kose & Peter S. O. Nagle & Franziska Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara, 2020. "Can This Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2008, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    global asset prices; international financial spillovers; trade policy; uncertainty shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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