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Research classified by
Journal of
Economic Literature (JEL) codes Top JEL F: International EconomicsF4: Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and FinanceF47: Forecasting and Simulation
This topic is covered by the following reading lists: Mondialisation
SOEP based publications
2009 Macroeconomic Interdependence in a Two-Country DSGE Model under Diverging Interest-Rate Rules by Ulrich Gunter & Harald Fadinger & Stefan Berger [Downloadable!] 2009 Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Professional Forecasts by Michael B. Devereux & Gregor W. Smith & James Yetman [Downloadable!] 2009 Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates by Buncic, Daniel [Downloadable!] 2009 The Global Financial Crisis, LDC Exports and Welfare: Analysis with a World Trade Model by Willenbockel, Dirk & Robinson, Sherman [Downloadable!] 2009 Oil Prices and Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries: Evidence from TAR and M-TAR Models by Mohammadi, Hassan & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. [Downloadable!] 2009 Understanding forecast failure in ESTAR models of real exchange rates by Buncic, Daniel [Downloadable!] 2009 Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand by Sandra Eickmeier & Tim Ng [Downloadable!] 2009 Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect by Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton [Downloadable!] 2009 Consumption and Real Exchange Rates in Professional Forecasts by Michael B. Devereux & Gregor W. Smith & James Yetman [Downloadable!] 2009 Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy by Esfahani, Hadi Salehi & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Pesaran, Hashem [Downloadable!] 2009 On economic evaluation of directional forecasts by Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz [Downloadable!] 2009 Econometric Approach to Early Warnings of Vulnerability in the Banking System and Currency Markets for Hong Kong and Other EMEAP Economies by Matthew S. Yiu & Alex Ho & Lu Jin [Downloadable!] 2009 Understanding forecast failure of ESTAR models of real exchange rates by Daniel Buncic [Downloadable!] 2009 Evaluation of the Diachronic Performance of the OECD Macroeconomic Forecasts for Greece by Dikaios Tserkezos [Downloadable!] 2009 Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy by Esfahani, H.S. & Mohaddes, K. & Pesaran, M.H. [Downloadable!] 2009 Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP? by Barhoumi, K. & Darné, O. & Ferrara, L. [Downloadable!] 2009 The Up-Coming Crisis and the Banking Sector in the Baltic States by Mejra Festić & Sebastijan Repina & Alenka Kavkler 2009 Demand Changes and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Finite-Horizon Model with Sectoral Adjustment Costs by Hung-Ju Chen & Chen-Min Hsu 2008 DSGE Models and Central Banks by Tovar, Camilo Ernesto [Downloadable!] 2008 Conditional Style Rotation Model on Enhanced Value and Growth Portfolios: The European Experience by Ron Bird & Lorenzo Casavecchia [Downloadable!] 2008 A Note on Long Horizon Forecasts of Nonlinear Models of Real Exchange Rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006) by Daniel Buncic [Downloadable!] 2008 The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union by Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau [Downloadable!] 2008 A note on long horizon forecasts of nonlinear models of real exchange rates: Comments on Rapach and Wohar (2006) by Buncic, Daniel [Downloadable!] 2008 A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan by Haider, Adnan & Khan, Safdar Ullah [Downloadable!] 2008 Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set by Menzie D. Chinn & Michael J. Moore [Downloadable!] 2008 The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting by Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva [Downloadable!] 2008 Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? by Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi [Downloadable!] 2008 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment by Selim Elekdag & Rene Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti [Downloadable!] 2008 Prices and output co-movements : an empirical investigation for the CEECs by Iuliana Matei [Downloadable!] 2008 Nonlinear Exchange Rate Predictability by Carlos Felipe Lopez Suarez & Jose Antonio Rodriguez Lopez [Downloadable!] 2008 Cost of Holding Excess Reserves: The Indian Experience by Abhijit Sen Gupta [Downloadable!] 2008 Testing directional forecast value in the presence of serial correlation by Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz [Downloadable!] 2008 Recurrent Support Vector Regression for a Nonlinear ARMA Model with Applications to Forecasting Financial Returns by Shiyi Chen & Kiho Jeong & Wolfgang K. Härdle [Downloadable!] 2008 Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the Presence of Nontraded Goods and Transaction Costs by Inkoo LEE & Jonghyup SHIN [Downloadable!] 2008 Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? by Chen, Yu-chin & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara [Downloadable!] 2008 A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece by Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki [Downloadable!] 2008 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment by Elekdag, Selim & Lalonde, Rene & Laxton, Doug & Muir, Dirk & Pesenti, Paolo [Downloadable!] 2008 A Two-Country NATREX Model for the Euro/Dollar by Marianna Belloc & Daniela Federici [Downloadable!] 2008 A Wave of Protectionism? An Analysis of Economic and Political Considerations by Philipp Maier [Downloadable!] 2008 American and European Financial Shocks: Implications for Chinese Economic Performance by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain [Downloadable!] 2008 American And European Financial Shocks: Implications For Chinese Economic Performance by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain [Downloadable!] 2008 Vulnerabilities In An Economy To Extensive Pressures On The Exchange Rate by Michal Pazou [Downloadable!] 2008 Cyclicality Of The Banking Sector Performance And Macro Environment In The Czech Republic, Slovakia And Slovenia by Mejra Festić & Dejan Romih [Downloadable!] 2008 Exchange Rate Determination Of Tl/Us$:A Co-Integration Approach by Levent KORAP [Downloadable!] 2008 Agricultural Support: Consequences of the Eventual Accession of the Balkan Countries to the Europe Union by Sandor Richter [Downloadable!] 2008 Assessing scenarios on the future of work by António Brandão Moniz [Downloadable!] 2008 Using Weekly Empirical Probabilities in Currency Analysis and Forecasting by Andrew C Pollock, Alex Macaulay, Mary E Thomson, Dilek Önkal [Downloadable!] 2008 The Banking Sector and Macroeconomic Performance in Central European Economies by Merja Festić & Jani Bekő [Downloadable!] 2008 Economic Effects Of Cee Countries Integration Into The European Union by Gheorghe Zaman [Downloadable!] 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy by Pesaran, M. Hashem & Holly, Sean & Dees, Stephane & Smith, L. Vanessa [Downloadable!] 2007 A Forewarning Indicator System For Financial Crises : The Case Of Six Central And Eastern European Countries by Irene Andreou & Gilles Dufrenot & Alain Sand-Zantman & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand [Downloadable!] 2007 The Effects of Small Sample Bias in Threshold Autoregressive Models by Yamin Ahmad [Downloadable!] 2007 Oil Prices and the Russian Economy. Some Simulation Studies with NiGEM by Paavo Suni [Downloadable!] 2007 South Africa’s Wood Export Potential Using a Gravity Model Approach by Joel Hinaunye Eita & André C. Jordaan [Downloadable!] 2007 Determinants of South Africa’s Exports of Leather Products by André C. Jordaan & Joel Hinaunye Eita [Downloadable!] 2007 Exact prediction of S&P 500 returns by Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg [Downloadable!] 2007 Romania And The Euro. A Relative Positioning Among The Candidates by Tanasie, Anca & Fratostiteanu , Cosmin [Downloadable!] 2007 India's specialisation in IT exports: Offshoring can't defy gravity by Meyer, Thomas [Downloadable!] 2007 The Costs to Consumers of a Depreciated Conversion Rate to the Euro by Marques, Luis B [Downloadable!] 2007 Welfare Implications of Exchange Rate Changes by Marques, Luis B [Downloadable!] 2007 La Ley De Thirlwall. Una Aproximación Teórica Y Empírica. El Caso De Argentina Durante Los Años 1970-2003 by Capraro, Santiago [Downloadable!] 2007 An Evaluation of the Exchange Rate Forecasting Performance of the New Keynesian Model by Vitek, Francis [Downloadable!] 2007 Einkommensteuerschätzung in Georgien by Jastrzembski, André [Downloadable!] 2007 Nachhaltigkeit in Finanz- und Sozialpolitik : Probleme und Lösungsansätze für den Transformationsprozess in Georgien by Petersen, Hans-Georg [Downloadable!] 2007 Appreciating the Renminbi by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain [Downloadable!] 2007 Globalisation and the Macroeconomic Policy Environment by Karine Hervé & Isabell Koske & Nigel Pain & Franck Sédillot [Downloadable!] 2007 The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in the Open Economy by Christopher J. Erceg & Christopher Gust & David López-Salido [Downloadable!] 2007 Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations by Robert W. Fogel [Downloadable!] 2007 Forecasting Exchange Rates of Major Currencies with Long Maturity Forward Rates by Zsolt Darvas & Zoltán Schepp [Downloadable!] 2007 A forewarning indicator system for financial crises: the case of six Central and Eastern European countries by Irene Andreou & Gilles Dufrénot & Alain Sand & Aleksandra Zdzienicka-Durand [Downloadable!] 2007 Political Forecasting? The IMF's Flawed Growth Projections for Argentina and Venezuela by David Rosnick & Mark Weisbrot [Downloadable!] 2007 Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information by Michiel D. de Pooter & Francesco Ravazzolo & Dick van Dijk [Downloadable!] 2007 The Transmission of Domestic Shocks in Open Economies by Erceg, Christopher & Gust, Christopher & López-Salido, J David [Downloadable!] 2007 The Chinese economy, seen from Japan and the Netherlands by Wim Suyker [Downloadable!] 2007 India and the Dutch economy by Wim Suyker & Henri L.F. de Groot & Piet Buitelaar & Jos Ebregt & Stefan Groot & Jan Möhlmann & Hugo Rojas-Romagosa & Bas Straathof [Downloadable!] 2007 Re-exports: international comparison and implications for performance indicators by Martin Mellens & Johan Verbruggen [Downloadable!] 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy by Stephane Dees & Sean Holly & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith [Downloadable!] 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy by Dees, S. & Holly, S. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V. [Downloadable!] 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy by Dees, S. & Holly, S. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V. [Downloadable!] 2007 Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment by Selim Elekdag & René Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti [Downloadable!] 2007 The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM) by Rene Lalonde & Dirk Muir [Downloadable!] 2007 Appreciating the Renminbi by Rod Tyers & Iain Bain [Downloadable!] 2007 China’s Real Exchange Rate by Rod Tyers & Jane Golley [Downloadable!] 2007 China'S Real Exchange Rate Puzzle by Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Iain Bain [Downloadable!] 2007 Long Run Macroeconomic Relations in the Global Economy by Pesaran, M. Hashem & Holly, Sean & Dees, Stephane & Smith, L. Vanessa [Downloadable!] 2007 Economic Convergence. Applications - Second Part - by Iancu, Aurel [Downloadable!] 2007 Neuro-Adaptive Model for Financial Forecasting by Nastac, Iulian & Dobrescu, Emilian & Pelinescu, Elena [Downloadable!] 2007 The Exchange Rate Regime and International Trade by Romulus-Catalin Damaceanu [Downloadable!] 2006 Goodwin’s Structural Economic Dynamics: Modelling Schumpeterian and Keynesian Insights by Michael Landesmann & Robert Stehrer [Downloadable!] 2006 Capital Account Liberalization And Exchange Rate Regime Choice, What Scope For Flexibility In Tunisia? by BEN ALI Mohamed Sami & & [Downloadable!] 2006 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis by Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith [Downloadable!] 2006 Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach by Vitek, Francis [Downloadable!] 2006 Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach by Vitek, Francis [Downloadable!] 2006 Foresight methodologies to understand changes in the labour process: Experience from Portugal by Moniz, António [Downloadable!] 2006 How sustainable are current account deficits in selected transition economies? by Aristovnik, Aleksander [Downloadable!] 2006 Testing the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model - Updated by Guilherme, Moura & Sergio, Da Silva [Downloadable!] 2006 Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002 by Olafsdottir, Katrin [Downloadable!] 2006 Can Panel Data Really Improve the Predictability of the Monetary Exchange Rate Model? by Westerlund, Joakim & Basher, Syed A. [Downloadable!] 2006 New OECD Methods for Supply-side and Medium-term Assessments: A Capital Services Approach by Pierre-Olivier Beffy & Patrice Ollivaud & Pete Richardson & Franck Sédillot [Downloadable!] 2006 Other stabilisation objectives within an inflation targeting regime: Some stochastic simulation experiments by James Twaddle & David Hargreaves & Tim Hampton [Downloadable!] 2006 Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis by Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti [Downloadable!] 2006 Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment by Menzie D. Chinn & Ron Alquist [Downloadable!] 2006 Adjustment of global imbalances: Illustrative scenarios for Hungary by Cecília Hornok & Zoltán M. Jakab & Máté Barnabás Tóth [Downloadable!] 2006 Testing Temporal Disaggregation by Christian Müller [Downloadable!] 2006 From Transition Crises to Macroeconomic Stability? Lessons from a Crises Early Warning System for Eastern European and CIS Countries by Kristina Kittelmann & Marcel Tirpak & Rainer Schweickert & Lúcio Vinhas de Souza [Downloadable!] 2006 El Tipo De Cambio Real Dólar-Euro Y El Diferencial De Intereses Reales by Paz Rico Belda [Downloadable!] 2006 The Forward Exchange Rate Bias Puzzle: Evidence from New Cointegration Tests by Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Sunil K. Mohanty [Downloadable!] 2006 National economic policy simulations with global interdependencies : a sensitivity analysis for Germany by Meyer, Bernd & Lutz, Christian & Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd [Downloadable!] 2006 What do current account reversals in OECD countries tell us about the US case? by Leo de Haan & Hubert Schokker & Anastassia Tcherneva [Downloadable!] 2006 Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis by Faruqee, Hamid & Laxton, Doug & Muir, Dirk & Pesenti, Paolo [Downloadable!] 2006 China and the Dutch Economy, Stylised facts and prospects by Wim Suyker & Henri de Groot [Downloadable!] 2006 China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate by Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Ian Bain [Downloadable!] 2006 An Adaptive Retraining Method for the Exchange Rate Forecasting by Dobrescu, Emilian & Nastac, Iulian & Pelinescu, Elena [Downloadable!] 2006 Consequences of global imbalance corrections for Hungary by Zoltán M. Jakab [Downloadable!] 2005 The forecast ability of risk-neutral densities of foreign exchange by Craig, Ben & Keller, Joachim [Downloadable!] 2005 How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? : Evidence from a structural factor model by Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg [Downloadable!] 2005 An Unobserved Components Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in a Small Open Economy by Francis Vitek [Downloadable!] 2005 Can fear beat hope? A story of GARCH-in-Mean-Level effects for Emerging Market Country Risks by Maurício Yoshinori Une & Marcelo Savino Portugal [Downloadable!] 2005 Maastricht Criteria versus Stability Pact by Frank Bohn [Downloadable!] 2005 Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición by Carrera, Jorge Eduardo & Cicowiez, Martín & Lacunza, Hernán & Saavedra, Marcelo [Downloadable!] 2005 The New OECD International Trade Model by Nigel Pain & Annabelle Mourougane & Franck Sédillot & Laurence Le Fouler [Downloadable!] 2005 Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing by Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti [Downloadable!] 2005 Monetary policy transmission in the CEECs : revisited results using alternative econometrics by Jérôme Héricourt [Downloadable!] 2005 German Exports to the Euro Area - A Cointegration Approach by Sabine Stephan [Downloadable!] 2005 International economic spillovers and the liquidity trap by Tarkka , Juha & Kortelainen , Mika [Downloadable!] 2005 Monetary policy transmission mechanisms in the CEECs: How important are the differences with the euro area? by Jerome Creel & Sandrine Levasseur [Downloadable!] 2005 Exploring the international linkages of the euro area - a global VAR analysis by Stéphane Dées & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith [Downloadable!] 2005 Explanatory note on the CPB world trade series by Wim Suyker & Gerard van Welzenis [Downloadable!] 2005 The International Spillover Effects of Pension Reform by Yvonne Adema & Lex Meijdam & Harrie A. A Verbon [Downloadable!] 2005 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis by Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith [Downloadable!] 2005 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis by Dees, S. & di Mauro, F. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V. [Downloadable!] 2005 Efficient consumption of revenues from natural resources – An application to Norwegian petroleum revenues by Q. Farooq Akram [Downloadable!] 2005 A quantitative analysis of the mechanisms for adjustment of the external deficit of the United States by Francesco Paterno' [Downloadable!] 2005 Les déterminants du solde de la balance des transactions courantes au Luxembourg by Abdelaziz Rouabah [Downloadable!] 2005 Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990? by Sylvain Martel [Downloadable!] 2005 Synchronisation Of Financial Crises by Mardi Dungey & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Lestano [Downloadable!] 2005 Would Fast Sailing Towards The Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tell Us by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř [Downloadable!] 2005 Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice? by Andrew Berg & Eduardo Borensztein & Catherine Pattillo [Downloadable!] 2005 A Country Selection Method for Global Sourcing by Thomas Cleff [Downloadable!] 2005 How Important are Nominal Shocks in Driving Real Exchange Rates? by Bernd Kempa [Downloadable!] 2005 Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice? by Andrew Berg & Eduardo Borensztein & Catherine Pattillo [Downloadable!] 2005 Real Exchange Rates and International Competitiveness of SAAR Countries: An Analysis of Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri-Lanka for 1960-2000 by . Chowdhury, Mamta B. [Downloadable!] 2005 Economic Clubs and European Commitment. Evidence from the International Business Cycles by Bovi, M. [Downloadable!] 2005 East Asian Financial Crisis Revisited: An Econometric Analysis, 1981-2001 by Feridun, M. [Downloadable!] 2005 Trade Reforms and Economic Integration in South Asia: SAARC to SAPTA by Chowdhury, Mamta B. [Downloadable!] 2004 Early warning systems of financial crises: implementation of a currency crisis model for Uganda by Heun, Michael & Schlink, Torsten [Downloadable!] 2004 Impactos de un Shock Externo en un Modelo Estocástico de Equilibrio General para una Economía Abierta: El Caso de Chile by Marcelo Ochoa & Patricio Valenzuela [Downloadable!] 2004 Narrowing the US twin deficits: simulations with a world macroeconometric model by Alberto Bagnai & Silvia Galli & Eleonora Pierucci & Simone Raimondi [Downloadable!] 2004 Currency crises in Asia: A multivariate logit approach by Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Gerard H. Kuper & Lestano [Downloadable!] 2004 Indicators of financial crises do work! An early-warning system for six Asian countries by Lestano & Jan Jacobs & Gerard H. Kuper [Downloadable!] 2004 Testing The Causal Relationship Between Domestic Credit And Reserve Components Of A Country'S Monetary Base by Edgar L. Feige & James M. Johannes [Downloadable!] 2004 Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal by Savvakis C. Savvides [Downloadable!] 2004 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis by Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith [Downloadable!] 2004 Population Aging and International Capital Flows by Martin Floden & David Domeij 2004 Channels for Narrowing the US Current Account Deficit and Implications for Other Economies by Anne-Marie Brook & Franck Sédillot & Patrice Ollivaud [Downloadable!] 2004 And if one size fit all after all ? A counterfactual examination of the ECB monetary policy under Duisenberg presidency by Jérôme Héricourt [Downloadable!] 2004 Investigating the Impact of an Appreciation of the Euro in a Small Macroeconometric Model of Germany and the Euro Area by Carsten-Patrick Meier [Downloadable!] 2004 How much depreciation of the US dollar for sustainability of the current accounts? by Eiji Ogawa & Takeshi Kudo [Downloadable!] 2004 Regime switching as an alternative early warning system of currency crises - an application to South-East Asia by Arias, Guillaume & Erlandsson, Ulf [Downloadable!] 2004 Would Fast Sailing towards the Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tells Us about Acceding Economies by Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř [Downloadable!] 2004 Monetary Exchange Rate Model Revisited: Cointegration And Forecasting In Heterogeneous Panel Data by MUHAMMAD S. BUTT & AZHAR IQBAL & NUZHAT AHMAD [Downloadable!] 2004 On Synchronisation of Financial Crises by Lestano & Mardi Dungey & Jan Jacobs 2004 Import prices and pricing-to-market effects in the euro area by Thomas Warmedinger [Downloadable!] 2004 Population Ageing and International Capital Flows by Domeij, David & Flodén, Martin [Downloadable!] 2004 Should One Rely on Professional Exchange Rate Forecasts? An Empirical Analysis of Professional Forecasts for the €/US$ Rate by Bofinger, Peter & Schmidt, Robert [Downloadable!] 2004 Biases of Professional Exchange Rate Forecasts: Psychological Explanations and an Experimentally-Based Comparison to Novices by Bofinger, Peter & Leitner, Johannes & Schmidt, Robert [Downloadable!] 2004 Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries: What Have We Learned from the Forerunners by Ales Bulir & Katerina Smidkova [Downloadable!] 2004 En effisient handlingsregel for bruk av petroleumsinntekter by Q. Farooq Akram [Downloadable!] 2004 Aggregation bias in macro models: does it matter foir the euro area? by Libero Monteforte [Downloadable!] 2004 Modélisation « PAC » du secteur extérieur de l'économie américaine by Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde [Downloadable!] 2004 New Methodological Approaches To The Construction Of Currency Crashes Models by Michal PAZOUR [Downloadable!] 2003 What drives financial crises in emerging markets? by Tuomas Komulainen & ) & Johanna Lukkarila [Downloadable!] 2003 Value Investing in Emerging Markets: Risks and Benefits by Vladislav Kargin [Downloadable!] 2003 Nonparametric Analysis Of The International Business Cycles by Maurizio Bovi [Downloadable!] 2003 Population Aging and International Capital Flows by Domeij, David & Flodén, Martin [Downloadable!] 2003 What drives financial crises in emerging markets? by Komulainen, Tuomas & Lukkarila, Johanna [Downloadable!] 2003 Towards A New Early Warning System of Financial Crises by Fratzscher, Marcel & Matthieu Bussiere [Downloadable!] 2003 Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vulnerable to a Financial Crisis? Results from a Multivariate Logit Analysis by Linne, Thomas & Axel Bruggermann [Downloadable!] 2003 Mis-Leading Indicators?: The Argentinean Currency Crisis by Patricia Alvarez-Plata & Mechthild Schrooten [Downloadable!] 2003 What Do We Know about Recent Exchange Rate Models? In-Sample Fit and Out-of-Sample Performance Evaluated by Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Antonio Garcia-Pascual [Downloadable!] 2003 Modélisation et prévision du taux de change réel effectif américain by René Lalonde & Patrick Sabourin [Downloadable!] 2003 Effect Of Czech Crown Appreciation On Czech Corporate Sector by Filip Novotný [Downloadable!] 2003 Estimates Of Fundamental Real Exchange Rates For The Five Eu Pre-Accession Countries by Kateřina Šmídková & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland [Downloadable!] 2003 Structural Vulnerabilities and Currency Crises by Swati R. Ghosh & Atish R. Ghosh [Downloadable!] 2003 Not Everything that Counts Can be Counted: A Critical Look at Risk Ratings and Governance Indicators by Anja Linder & Carlos Santiso [Downloadable!] 2003 Structural Vulnerabilities and Currency Crises by Swati R. Ghosh & Atish R. Ghosh [Downloadable!] 2002 The Empirical Performance of Option Based Densities of Foreign Exchange by Keller, Joachim G. & Craig, Ben R. [Downloadable!] 2002 Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive? by Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Antonio Garcia Pascual [Downloadable!] 2002 Le risque pays : approche conceptuelle et approche pratique by Stéphanie Gautrieaud [Downloadable!] 2002 Consumer Preferences and the Reliability of Euler Equation Tests of Capital Mobility — Some Simulation-Based Evidence by Claudia M. Buch & Joerg Doepke & Christian Pierdzioch [Downloadable!] 2002 Business Cycle Volatility in Germany by Claudia M. Buch & Joerg Doepke & Christian Pierdzioch [Downloadable!] 2002 ¿Sigue El Tipo De Cambio Real Un Proceso De Ajuste No Lineal Hacia El Equilibrio? Evidencia Para El Tipo De Cambio Euro-Dólar by Paz Rico Belda [Downloadable!] 2002 The Bias For Forward Exchange Rate And The Risk Premium: An Explanation With A Stochastic And Dynamic General Equilibrium Model by Juan A. Lafuente & Jesús Ruiz [Downloadable!] 2002 German Exports to the Euro Area by Sabine Stephan [Downloadable!] 2002 Estimates of Fundamental Real Exchange Rates for the Five EU Pre-Accession Countries by Katerina Smidkova & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland [Downloadable!] 2002 Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case by Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro [Downloadable!] 2002 The European Business Cycle by Mike Artis & Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro [Downloadable!] 2002 What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India? by Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena [Downloadable!] 2002 What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India? by Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena [Downloadable!] 2002 Competitivite-prix et heterogeneite des echanges exterieurs chinois by Stephane Dees [Downloadable!] 2001 Volatility Forecasts, Trading Volume and the ARCH vs. Option-Implied Volatility Tradeoff by Donaldson, R.G. & Kamstra, M. 2001 Classical And Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case by Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J. 2001 Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case by Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro [Downloadable!] 2001 Modelling Import Responsiveness for OECD Manufactures Trade by Mara Meacci & David Turner [Downloadable!] 2001 Trade Linkages and the Trade Matrices in the OECD Interlink Model by Laurence Le Fouler & Wim Suyker & Dave Turner [Downloadable!] 2001 Tracking the Euro by Vincent Koen & Laurence Boone & Alain de Serres & Nicola Fuchs [Downloadable!] 2001 A Small Global Forecasting Model by David Rae & David Turner [Downloadable!] 2001 Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates? by Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor [Downloadable!] 2001 Evaluation of exchange rate forecasts for the krona’s nominal effective exchange rate by Degrér, Henrik & Hansen, Jan & Sellin, Peter [Downloadable!] 2001 From closed to open door policy: An empirical study of Chinas international capital mobility, 1958-98 by Adler, Johan [Downloadable!] 2001 How to Beat the Random Walk by Alexius, Annika [Downloadable!] 2001 Volatility Forecasts, Trading Volume and the ARCH vs. Option-Implied Volatility Tradeoff by Donaldson, R.G. & Kamstra, M. 2001 Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates? by Kilian, Lutz & Taylor, Mark P [Downloadable!] 2001 L'insoutenable legerete de l'euro by Vincent Koen & Laurence Boone & Alain de Serres & Nicola Fuchs-Schundeln [Downloadable!] 2001 Macroeconomie europeenne et coordination : le logiciel de Macro-Simulation MacSim by Patricia Augier & Jean-Louis Brillet & Gilbert Cette & Raymond Gambini [Downloadable!] 2000 The determinants of the euro-dollar exchange rate : synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency by Clostermann, Jörg & Schnatz, Bernd [Downloadable!] 2000 A Euro-Mediterranean Agricultural Trade Agreement: Benefits for the South and Costs for the EU by Arce, Rafael de & Mahia, Ramón [Downloadable!] 2000 A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections by Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou [Downloadable!] 2000 Predicting The Evolution and Effects of The Asia Crisis from The OECD Perspective by Pete Richardson & Ignazio Visco & Claude Giorno [Downloadable!] 2000 Modelling Manufacturing Export Volumes Equations: A System Estimation Approach by Keiko Murata & Dave Turner & Dave Rae & Laurence Le Fouler [Downloadable!] 2000 FSC Certification in Japan: An Uncertain Future by Kajiwara, A. 2000 Money Shocks in a Small Open Economy with Dollarization, Factor Price Rigidities, and Nontradeables by Sarajevs, Vadims [Downloadable!] 2000 Will Japan's Current Account Turn to Deficit? by F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes [Downloadable!] 2000 FSC Certification in Japan: An Uncertain Future by Kajiwara, A. 2000 Leading Indicators of Currency Crises in Emerging Economies by Burkart, O. & Coudert, V. 2000 Monetary Policy Coordination: A New Empirical Approach by Bergin, Paul & Jorda, Oscar [Downloadable!] 2000 Leading Indicators of Currency Crises in Emerging Economies by Burkart, O. & Coudert, V. [Downloadable!] 2000 Preisprognose für den Euro-Raum by Wolfgang Nierhaus 1999 A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia by Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss [Downloadable!] 1999 International Capital flows and National Creditworthiness: Examining Australia's Current Account by Cashin, P. & McDermott, C.J. 1999 How Sure are we About PPP Panel Evidence with the Null of Stationary Real Exchange Rates by Kuo, B.-S. & Mikkola, A. 1999 Current Accounts and the Persistence of Global and Country-Specific Shocks: Is Investment really too Volatile? by Hoffman, M. 1999 The European Business Cycle by Artis, M. & Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J. 1999 The European Business Cycle by Artis, Michael J & Krolzig, Hans-Martin & Toro, Juan [Downloadable!] 1999 How Sure Are We About PPP? Panel Evidence with the Null of Stationary Real Exchange Rates by Kuo, Biing-Shen & Mikkola, Anne [Downloadable!] 1999 Simulating with RICE Coalitionally Stable Burden Sharing Agreements for the Climate Change Problem by Eyckmans, Johan & Tulkens, Henry [Downloadable!] 1999 Chaos in a Standard Equilibrium Exchange-Rate Model by Da Silva, S. & Bailey, R. 1999 Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux and Chaos by Da Silva, S. 1999 Long horizon predictability of exchange rates: Is it for real? by Jan J. J. Groen [Downloadable!] 1999 Consumption-smoothing and the excessiveness of Greece's current account deficits by Stelios Makrydakis [Downloadable!] 1999 Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test by Andrew Berg & Catherine Pattillo [Downloadable!] 1999 Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test by Andrew Berg & Catherine Pattillo [Downloadable!] 1998 Schooling, Intelligence, and Income in America: Cracks in the Bell Curve by Orley Ashenfelter & Cecilia Rouse [Downloadable!] 1998 The Structure of Foreign Trade by Helpman, E. 1998 Does the Absence of Cointegration Explain the Typical Findings in Long Horizon Regression? by van Dijk, D. & Berben, R.P. 1998 Forecasting and Policy Analysis with a Dynamic CGE Model of Australia by Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer [Downloadable!] 1998 Leading Indicators of Currency Crisis by Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen Reinhart [Downloadable!] 1998 Leading Indicators of Currency Crisis by Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen Reinhart [Downloadable!] 1998 Is the Exchange Rate an Effective Anti-inflationary Policy Instrument? by Pavlos Karadeloglou & Christos Papazoglou & George Zombanakis 1997 Exchange rates and Fundamentals: What Do We Learn From Long-Horizon Regressions? by Kilian, L. 1997 ON the Won: And Other East Asian Currencies by Chinn, M.D. 1997 Exchange rates and Fundamentals: What Do We Learn From Long-Horizon Regressions? by Kilian, L. 1997 Forecasting Australian Exchange Rate Volatility: A Comparative Study of Alternate Modelling Techniques and the Impact of Power Transformations by McKenzie, M.D. 1997 The Syndrome of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs by Mendoza, Enrique & Uribe, Martin [Downloadable!] 1997 The Behaviour of the Real Exchange Rate: A Re-examination Using Finite Sample Approach by Kuo, Biing-Shen & Mikkola, Anne [Downloadable!] 1997 Preferential Trade Liberalization in the North Atlantic by Baldwin, Richard & Francois, Joseph [Downloadable!] 1997 How Does the Share of Imports Change During Structural Adjustment? by Alan A. Powell [Downloadable!] 1996 Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit by Kamastra, M & Kennedy, P 1996 Are Australia's Current Account deficits Excessive? by Cashin, P. 1996 Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account: Evidence for France, 1970-94 by Agenor, P.R. & Bismut, C. & Cashin, P. & McDermott, C.J. 1996 Some Economic Effects of the Free Trade Agreement Between Tunisia and the European Union by Deardorff, A.V. & Brown, D.K. & Stern, R.M. 1996 Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit by Kamastra, M & Kennedy, P 1996 Some Economic Effects of the Free Trade Agreement Between Tunisia and the European Union by Deardorff, A.V. & Brown, D.K. & Stern, R.M. 1996 The Multilateral Trade Agenda: Uruguay Round Implementation and Beyond by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad [Downloadable!] 1996 Trade Liberalization and Investment in a Multilateral Framework by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad & Nordström, Håkan [Downloadable!] 1996 A User's Guide to Uruguay Round Assessments by Francois, Joseph & McDonald, Brad & Nordström, Håkan [Downloadable!] 1996 The Mexican intertemporal budget constraint: Persistent signals of an eventual collapse by José A. Núñez & Carlos M. Urzúa 1996 Exchange Rate, Tariff and Trade Flows: Alternative Policy Scenarios for India by K. Krishnamurty & V. Pandit 1995 Protection in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with Imperfect Competition by Fender, J. & Yip, C.K. 1995 Assessing the Effects of Economic Integration on Growth and Welfare by de la Fuente,A. 1994 Specification of Policy Rules and Performance Measures in Multicountry Simulation Studies by Bennett McCallum [Downloadable!] 1994 Japan's Persistent Trade Surplus: Policies for Adjustment by Byron Gangnes & F. Gerard Adams [Downloadable!] 1993 The Term Structure of Forward Exchange Premia and the Forecastability of Spot Exchange Rates: Correcting the Errors by Clarida, Richard & Taylor, Mark P [Downloadable!] 1992 Dynamic effects of tariff liberalization: An intertemporal CGE approach by Keuschnigg,Christian & Kohler,Wilhelm A Prototype Model of EU's 2007 Enlargement by Fritz Breuss [Downloadable!] Inflation Targeting, Sudden Stops and the Cost of Fear of Floating by Javier Gómez Pineda [Downloadable!]
This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.
IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics . 
