Reserve Bank of Australia
RBA Research Discussion Papers
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2013
- rdp2013-04 Home Prices and Household Spending
by Callan Windsor & Jarkko Jääskelä & Richard Finlay - rdp2013-03 Implications for the Australian Economy of Strong Growth in Asia
by Michael Plumb & Christopher Kent & James Bishop - rdp2013-02 Industry Dimensions of the Resource Boom: An Input-Output Analysis
by Vanessa Rayner & James Bishop - rdp2013-01 Currency Demand during the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from Australia
by Tom Cusbert & Thomas Rohling
2012
- rdp2012-09 A History of Australian Corporate Bonds
by Susan Black & Joshua Kirkwood & Alan Rai & Thomas Williams - rdp2012-08 Estimation and Solution of Models with Expectations and Structural Changes
by Mariano Kulish & Adrian Pagan - rdp2012-07 Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts
by Peter Tulip & Stephanie Wallace - rdp2012-06 The Impact of Payment System Design on Tiering Incentives
by Robert Arculus & Jennifer Hancock & Greg Moran - rdp2012-05 Payment System Design and Participant Operational Disruptions
by Ashwin Clarke & Jennifer Hancock - rdp2012-04 Chinese Urban Residential Construction to 2040
by Leon Berkelmans & Hao Wang - rdp2012-03 ATM Fees, Pricing and Consumer Behaviour: An Analysis of ATM Network Reform in Australia
by Clare Noone - rdp2012-02 The Role of Credit Supply in the Australian Economy
by David Jacobs & Vanessa Rayner - rdp2012-01 Co-movement in Inflation
by Hugo Gerard
2011
- rdp2011-08 The Mining Industry: From Bust to Boom
by Ellis Connolly & David Orsmond - rdp2011-07 Australia's Prosperous 2000s: Housing and the Mining Boom
by Jonathan Kearns & Philip Lowe - rdp2011-06 Does Equity Mispricing Influence Household and Firm Decisions?
by James Hansen - rdp2011-05 Terms of Trade Shocks: What are They and What Do They Do?
by Jarkko Jääskelä & Penelope Smith - rdp2011-04 Assessing Some Models of the Impact of Financial Stress upon Business Cycles
by Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson - rdp2011-03 Urban Structure and Housing Prices: Some Evidence from Australian Cities
by Mariano Kulish & Anthony Richards & Christian Gillitzer - rdp2011-02 Long-term Interest Rates, Risk Premia and Unconventional Monetary Policy
by Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish - rdp2011-01 Estimating Inflation Expectations with a Limited Number of Inflation-indexed Bonds
by Richard Finlay & Sebastian Wende
2010
- rdp2010-08 Sources of Chinese Demand for Resource Commodities
by Ivan Roberts & Anthony Rush - rdp2010-07 Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate: Evaluation of VAR Models
by Jarkko Jääskelä & David Jennings - rdp2010-06 Asset Prices, Credit Growth, Monetary and Other Policies: An Australian Case Study
by Paul Bloxham & Christopher Kent & Michael Robson - rdp2010-05 Direct Effects of Money on Aggregate Demand: Another Look at the Evidence
by Stephen Elias & Mariano Kulish - rdp2010-04 Employment Composition: A Study of Australian Employment Growth, 2002–2006
by Jeremy Lawson & Crystal Ossolinski - rdp2010-03 Modelling Inflation in Australia
by David Norman & Anthony Richards - rdp2010-02 Learning in an Estimated Small Open Economy Model
by Jarkko Jääskelä & Rebecca McKibbin - rdp2010-01 Reconciling Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Estimates of Price Stickiness
by Adam Cagliarini & Tim Robinson & Allen Tran
2009
- rdp2009-10 Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies
by Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin - rdp2009-09 Volatility in International Capital Movements
by Chris Becker & Clare Noone - rdp2009-08 Leverage Constraints and the International Transmission of Shocks
by Michael B Devereux & James Yetman - rdp2009-07 Estimating Marginal Propensities to Consume in Australia Using Micro Data
by Laura Berger-Thomson & Elaine Chung & Rebecca McKibbin - rdp2009-06 Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy
by Jamie Hall & Jarkko Jääskelä - rdp2009-05 Macroeconomic Volatility and Terms of Trade Shocks
by Dan Andrews & Daniel Rees - rdp2009-04 Price Incentives and Consumer Payment Behaviour
by John Simon & Kylie Smith & Tim West - rdp2009-03 Competition Between Payment Systems: Results
by George Gardner & Andrew Stone - rdp2009-02 Competition Between Payment Systems
by George Gardner & Andrew Stone - rdp2009-01 Currency Misalignments and Optimal Monetary Policy: A Re-examination
by Charles Engel
2008
- rdp2008-10 Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Predictable Structural Changes
by Adam Cagliarini & Mariano Kulish - rdp2008-09 A Term Structure Decomposition of the Australian Yield Curve
by Richard Finlay & Mark Chambers - rdp2008-08 The Role of International Shocks in Australia’s Business Cycle
by Philip Liu - rdp2008-07 A Medium-scale Open Economy Model of Australia
by Jarkko Jääskelä & Kristoffer Nimark - rdp2008-06 Promoting Liquidity: Why and How?
by Jonathan Kearns & Philip Lowe - rdp2008-05 Understanding the Flattening Phillips Curve
by Ken Kuttner & Tim Robinson - rdp2008-04 A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy
by Andrew Hodge & Tim Robinson & Robyn Stuart - rdp2008-03 Monetary Transmission and the Yield Curve in a Small Open Economy
by Mariano Kulish & Daniel Rees - rdp2008-02 Combining Multivariate Density Forecasts Using Predictive Criteria
by Hugo Gerard & Kristoffer Nimark - rdp2008-01 A Sectoral Model of the Australian Economy
by Jeremy Lawson & Daniel Rees
2007
- rdp2007-12 Dynamic Pricing and Imperfect Common Knowledge
by Kristoffer Nimark - rdp2007-11 Global Imbalances and the Global Saving Glut – A Panel Data Assessment
by Anthony Legg & Nalini Prasad & Tim Robinson - rdp2007-10 Trade Costs and Some Puzzles in International Macroeconomics
by Luke Willard - rdp2007-09 Private Business Investment in Australia
by Lynne Cockerell & Steven Pennings - rdp2007-08 The Effect of the Australian Superannuation Guarantee on Household Saving Behaviour
by Ellis Connolly - rdp2007-07 More Potent Monetary Policy? Insights from a Threshold Model
by Jarkko Jääskelä - rdp2007-06 The Butterfly Effect of Small Open Economies
by Jarkko Jääskelä & Mariano Kulish - rdp2007-05 Labour Force Participation and Household Debt
by Rochelle Belkar & Lynne Cockerell & Rebecca Edwards - rdp2007-04 Productivity Growth: The Effect of Market Regulations
by Christopher Kent & John Simon - rdp2007-03 Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness
by Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns - rdp2007-02 Current Account Deficits: The Australian Debate
by Rochelle Belkar & Lynne Cockerell & Christopher Kent - rdp2007-01 A Structural Model of Australia as a Small Open Economy
by Kristoffer Nimark
2006
- rdp2006-12 Housing and Housing Finance: The View from Australia and Beyond
by Luci Ellis - rdp2006-11 Component-smoothed Inflation: Estimating the Persistent Component of Inflation in Real Time
by Christian Gillitzer & John Simon - rdp2006-10 The Performance of Trimmed Mean Measures of Underlying Inflation
by Andrea Brischetto & Anthony Richards - rdp2006-09 Limiting Foreign Exchange Exposure through Hedging: The Australian Experience
by Chris Becker & Daniel Fabbro - rdp2006-08 A Survey of Housing Equity Withdrawal and Injection in Australia
by Carl Schwartz & Tim Hampton & Christine Lewis & David Norman - rdp2006-07 Household Saving and Asset Valuations in Selected Industrialised Countries
by Paul Hiebert - rdp2006-06 Ageing, Retirement and Savings: A General Equilibrium Analysis
by Mariano Kulish & Kathryn Smith & Christopher Kent - rdp2006-05 Optimal Monetary Policy with Real-time Signal Extraction from the Bond Market
by Kristoffer Nimark - rdp2006-04 Measuring Housing Price Growth – Using Stratification to Improve Median-based Measures
by Nalini Prasad & Anthony Richards - rdp2006-03 Australian House Prices: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-sales Measures
by James Hansen - rdp2006-02 Term Structure Rules for Monetary Policy
by Mariano Kulish - rdp2006-01 Modelling Manufactured Exports: Evidence from Australian States
by David Norman
2005
- rdp2005-12 Financial Constraints, the User Cost of Capital and Corporate Investment in Australia
by Gianni La Cava - rdp2005-11 A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy: An Update
by Andrew Stone & Troy Wheatley & Louise Wilkinson - rdp2005-10 Housing and the Household Wealth Portfolio: The Role of Location
by Marion Kohler & Kylie Smith - rdp2005-09 The US Current Account Deficit: A Re-examination of the Role of Private Saving
by Charles Engel - rdp2005-08 Declining Output Volatility: What Role for Structural Change?
by Christopher Kent & Kylie Smith & James Holloway - rdp2005-07 The Australian Business Cycle: A Coincident Indicator Approach
by Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns & Anthony Richards - rdp2005-06 Credit and Monetary Policy: An Australian SVAR
by Leon Berkelmans - rdp2005-05 Underlying Inflation: Concepts, Measurement and Performance
by Ivan Roberts - rdp2005-04 Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound
by Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone - rdp2005-03 Property Owners in Australia: A Snapshot
by Marion Kohler & Anthony Rossiter - rdp2005-02 The Impact of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rate: A Study Using Intraday Data
by Jonathan Kearns & Phil Manners - rdp2005-01 Long-term Patterns in Australia’s Terms of Trade
by Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns
2004
- rdp2004-11 Trade Openness: An Australian Perspective
by Simon Guttmann & Anthony Richards - rdp2004-10 News and Interest Rate Expectations: A Study of Six Central Banks
by Ellis Connolly & Marion Kohler - rdp2004-09 Co-movement of Australian State Business Cycles
by David Norman & Thomas Walker - rdp2004-08 Housing Construction Cycles and Interest Rates
by Laura Berger-Thomson & Luci Ellis - rdp2004-07 The Profitability of Speculators in Currency Futures Markets
by Jonathan Kearns & Phil Manners - rdp2004-06 Profitability of Reserve Bank Foreign Exchange Operations: Twenty Years After the Float
by Chris Becker & Michael Sinclair - rdp2004-05 Big Fish in Small Ponds: The Trading Behaviour and Price Impact of Foreign Investors in Asian Emerging Equity Markets
by Anthony Richards - rdp2004-04 Inflation Convergence Across Countries
by Markus Hyvonen - rdp2004-03 Fear of Sudden Stops: Lessons from Australia and Chile
by Ricardo J Caballero & Kevin Cowan & Jonathan Kearns - rdp2004-02 The Impact of Rating Changes in Australian Financial Markets
by Adam Creighton & Luke Gower & Anthony Richards - rdp2004-01 The Impact of Superannuation on Household Saving
by Ellis Connolly & Marion Kohler
2003
- rdp2003-12 The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves
by Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone & Marileze van Zyl - rdp2003-11 How Should Monetary Policy Respond to Asset-price Bubbles?
by David Gruen & Michael Plumb & Andrew Stone - rdp2003-10 Productivity and Inflation
by Tim Bulman & John Simon - rdp2003-09 Housing Leverage in Australia
by Luci Ellis & Jeremy Lawson & Laura Roberts-Thomson - rdp2003-08 A Tale of Two Surveys: Household Debt and Financial Constraints in Australia
by Gianni La Cava & John Simon - rdp2003-07 Housing Wealth, Stock Market Wealth and Consumption: A Panel Analysis for Australia
by Nikola Dvornak & Marion Kohler - rdp2003-06 The Characteristics and Trading Behaviour of Dual-listed Companies
by Jaideep Bedi & Anthony Richards & Paul Tennant - rdp2003-05 What Do Financial Market Data Tell Us about Monetary Policy Transparency?
by Jonathan Coppel & Ellis Connolly - rdp2003-04 Identifying the Efficacy of Central Bank Interventions: Evidence from Australia
by Jonathan Kearns & Roberto Rigobon - rdp2003-03 Australia’s Medium-run Exchange Rate: A Macroeconomic Balance Approach
by Nikola Dvornak & Marion Kohler & Gordon Menzies - rdp2003-02 Do Collective Action Clauses Influence Bond Yields? New Evidence from Emerging Markets
by Mark Gugiatti & Anthony Richards - rdp2003-01 Business Surveys and Economic Activity
by Chris Aylmer & Troy Gill
2002
- rdp2002-08 Currency Crises and Macroeconomic Performance
by Luke Gower & Alan Krause - rdp2002-07 An Exploration of Marginal Attachment to the Australian Labour Market
by Matthew Gray & Alexandra Heath & Boyd Hunter - rdp2002-06 Output Gaps in Real Time: Are They Reliable Enough to Use for Monetary Policy?
by David Gruen & Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone - rdp2002-05 Real-time National Accounts Data
by Andrew Stone & Sharon Wardrop - rdp2002-04 Labour Market Adjustment in Regional Australia
by Jeremy Lawson & Jacqueline Dwyer - rdp2002-03 International Financial Liberalisation and Economic Growth
by Ben McLean & Sona Shrestha - rdp2002-02 Australian Use of Information Technology and its Contribution to Growth
by John Simon & Sharon Wardrop - rdp2002-01 Inflation Targeting and the Inflation Process: Some Lessons from an Open Economy
by Guy Debelle & Jenny Wilkinson
2001
- rdp2001-10 A Select Bibliography of Published Research by Staff of the Reserve Bank of Australia: 1991–2001
by Susan Hornby & Ivan Roberts - rdp2001-09 What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?
by Ivan Roberts & John Simon - rdp2001-08 City Sizes, Housing Costs, and Wealth
by Luci Ellis & Dan Andrews - rdp2001-07 A History of Last-resort Lending and Other Support for Troubled Financial Institutions in Australia
by Bryan Fitz-Gibbon & Marianne Gizycki - rdp2001-06 The Effect of Macroeconomic Conditions on Banks’ Risk and Profitability
by Marianne Gizycki - rdp2001-05 Understanding OECD Output Correlations
by Glenn Otto & Graham Voss & Luke Willard - rdp2001-04 Measuring the Real Exchange Rate: Pitfalls and Practicalities
by Luci Ellis - rdp2001-03 The Response of Financial Markets in Australia and New Zealand to News about the Asian Crisis
by Luci Ellis & Eleanor Lewis - rdp2001-02 Changes in the Determinants of Inflation in Australia
by Jacqueline Dwyer & Kenneth Leong - rdp2001-01 The Decline in Australian Output Volatility
by John Simon
2000
- rdp2000-10 Monetary Policy-making in the Presence of Knightian Uncertainty
by Adam Cagliarini & Alexandra Heath - rdp2000-09 Consumption and Wealth
by Alvin Tan & Graham Voss - rdp2000-08 Nominal Wage Rigidity in Australia
by Jacqueline Dwyer & Kenneth Leong - rdp2000-07 The Effect of Uncertainty on Monetary Policy: How Good are the Brakes?
by Guy Debelle & Adam Cagliarini - rdp2000-06 Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Australia
by Chris Ryan & Christopher Thompson - rdp2000-05 A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy
by Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson - rdp2000-04 Keynes and Australia
by Donald J Markwell - rdp2000-03 Some Structural Causes of Japan’s Banking Problems
by Luke Gower - rdp2000-02 Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators
by Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss - rdp2000-01 The Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Survey
by Meredith Beechey & David Gruen & James Vickery
1999
- rdp1999-12 Unemployment and Skills in Australia
by James Vickery - rdp1999-11 A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia
by Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss - rdp1999-10 The Implications of Uncertainty for Monetary Policy
by Geoffrey Shuetrim & Christopher Thompson - rdp1999-09 Australian Banking Risk: The Stock Market’s Assessment and the Relationship Between Capital and Asset Volatility
by Marianne Gizycki & Brenton Goldsworthy - rdp1999-08 Inflation Targeting and Output Stabilisation
by Guy Debelle - rdp1999-07 Job-search Methods, Neighbourhood Effects and the Youth Labour Market
by Alexandra Heath - rdp1999-06 Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse
by Chay Fisher & Christopher Kent - rdp1999-05 Trends in the Australian Banking System: Implications for Financial System Stability and Monetary Policy
by Christopher Kent & Guy Debelle - rdp1999-04 Value at Risk: On the Stability and Forecasting of the Variance-covariance Matrix
by James Engel & Marianne Gizycki - rdp1999-03 Householders’ Inflation Expectations
by Andrea Brischetto & Gordon de Brouwer - rdp1999-02 Reservation Wages and the Duration of Unemployment
by Alexandra Heath & Troy Swann - rdp1999-01 The Phillips Curve in Australia
by David Gruen & Adrian Pagan & Christopher Thompson
1998
- rdp9812 An Optimising Model for Monetary Policy Analysis: Can Habit Formation Help?
by Jeffrey C. Fuhrer - rdp9811 Effective Real Exchange Rates and Irrelevant Nominal Exchange-rate Regimes
by Christopher Kent & Rafic Naja - rdp9810 The Distribution and Measurement of Inflation
by Jonathan Kearns - rdp9809 Estimating Output Gaps
by Gordon de Brouwer - rdp9808 What Moves Yields in Australia?
by Frank Campbell & Eleanor Lewis - rdp9807 Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy
by Nargis Bharucha & Christopher Kent - rdp9806 Policy Rules for Open Economies
by Laurence Ball - rdp9805 The Origin of the Asian Financial Turmoil
by Morris Goldstein & John Hawkins - rdp9804 Stylised Facts of the Australian Labour Market
by Guy Debelle & Troy Swann - rdp9803 Forward-looking Behaviour and Credibility: Some Evidence and Implications for Policy
by Gordon de Brouwer & Luci Ellis - rdp9802 Systematic Risk Characteristics of Corporate Equity
by Geoffrey Shuetrim - rdp9801 Labour Market Adjustment: Evidence on Interstate Labour Mobility
by Guy Debelle & James Vickery
1997
- rdp9709 Asset-price Bubbles and Monetary Policy
by Christopher Kent & Philip Lowe - rdp9708 Measuring Traded Market Risk: Value-at-risk and Backtesting Techniques
by Colleen Cassidy & Marianne Gizycki - rdp9707 Internationalisation and Pricing Behaviour: Some Evidence for Australia
by James O’Regan & Jenny Wilkinson - rdp9706 Is the Phillips Curve a Curve? Some Evidence and Implications for Australia
by Guy Debelle & James Vickery - rdp9705 The Response of the Current Account to Terms of Trade Shocks: A Panel-data Study
by Christopher Kent - rdp9704 Financial Aggregates as Conditioning Information for Australian Output and Inflation
by Ellis W. Tallman & Naveen Chandra - rdp9703 The Implementation of Monetary Policy in Australia
by Ric Battellino & John Broadbent & Philip Lowe - rdp9702 The Lags of Monetary Policy
by David Gruen & John Romalis & Naveen Chandra - rdp9701 Inflation Regimes and Inflation Expectations
by Joseph E. Gagnon
1996
- rdp9612 External Influences on Output: An Industry Analysis
by Gordon de Brouwer & John Romalis - rdp9611 A Markov-switching Model of Inflation in Australia
by John Simon - rdp9610 Share Prices and Investment
by Michael Andersen & Robert Subbaraman - rdp9609 Australian Financial Market Volatility: An Exploration of Cross-country and Cross-market Linkages
by Tro Kortian & James O’Regan - rdp9608 Modelling the Australian Exchange Rate, Long Bond Yield and Inflationary Expectations
by Alison Tarditi - rdp9607 Towards an Understanding of Australia’s Co-movement with Foreign Business Cycles
by Nicolas de Roos & Bill Russell - rdp9606 The Information Content of Financial Aggregates in Australia
by Ellis W. Tallman & Naveen Chandra - rdp9605 The Evolving Structure of the Australian Financial System
by Malcolm Edey & Brian Gray - rdp9604 Issues in Modelling Monetary Policy
by Malcolm Edey & John Romalis - rdp9603 Australia’s Retirement Income System: Implications for Saving and Capital Markets
by Malcolm Edey & John Simon - rdp9602 Consumption and Liquidity Constraints in Australia and East Asia: Does Financial Integration Matter?
by Gordon de Brouwer - rdp9601 Why Does the Australian Dollar Move so Closely with the Terms of Trade?
by David Gruen & Tro Kortian
1995
- rdp9513 Financial Market Volatility and the World-wide Fall in Inflation
by David Gruen - rdp9512 Consumption, Investment and International Linkages
by Guy Debelle & Bruce Preston - rdp9511 Superannuation and Saving
by Steven Morling & Robert Subbaraman - rdp9510 Modelling Inflation in Australia
by Gordon de Brouwer & Neil R. Ericsson - rdp9509 Australian Wage and Price Inflation: 1971-1994
by Lynne Cockerell & Bill Russell - rdp9508 Are Terms of Trade Rises Inflationary?
by David Gruen & Jacqueline Dwyer - rdp9507 Macroeconomic Policies and Growth
by Palle Andersen & David Gruen - rdp9506 The Liberalisation and Integration of Domestic Financial Markets in Western Pacific Economies
by Gordon de Brouwer - rdp9505 Labour-productivity Growth and Relative Wages: 1978-1994
by Philip Lowe - rdp9504 The Link between the Cash Rate and Market Interest Rates
by Philip Lowe - rdp9503 Monetary Policy Goals for Inflation in Australia
by Guy Debelle & Glenn Stevens - rdp9502 Price Stickiness and Inflation
by Richard De Abreu Lourenco & David Gruen - rdp9501 Modern Approaches to Asset Price Formation: A Survey of Recent Theoretical Literature
by Tro Kortian
1994
- rdp9411 Demand Shocks, Inflation and the Business Cycle
by Richard De Abreu Lourenco & Philip Lowe - rdp9410 An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia
by Frederic S. Mishkin & John Simon - rdp9409 Default Risk and Derivatives: An Empirical Analysis of Bilateral Netting
by Marianne Gizycki & Brian Gray - rdp9408 The Supervisory Treatment of Banks’ Market Risk
by Stephanie Weston & Brian Gray - rdp9407 Explaining Import Price Inflation: A Recent History of Second Stage Pass-through
by Jacqueline Dwyer & Ricky Lam - rdp9406 Reserve Bank Operations in the Foreign Exchange Market: Effectiveness and Profitability
by Robert Andrew & John Broadbent

