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Solving Linear Rational Expectations Models with Predictable Structural Changes

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Author Info
Adam Cagliarini (Reserve Bank of Australia)
Mariano Kulish (Reserve Bank of Australia)

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Abstract

Standard solution methods for linear stochastic models with rational expectations presuppose a time-invariant structure as well as an environment in which shocks are unanticipated. Consequently, credible announcements that entail future changes of the structure cannot be handled by standard solution methods. This paper develops the solution for linear stochastic rational expectations models in the face of a finite sequence of anticipated structural changes. These events encompass anticipated changes to the structural parameters and anticipated additive shocks. We apply the solution technique to some examples of practical relevance to monetary policy.

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File URL: http://www.rba.gov.au/rdp/RDP2008-10.pdf
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Paper provided by Reserve Bank of Australia in its series RBA Research Discussion Papers with number rdp2008-10.

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Date of creation: Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:rba:rbardp:rdp2008-10

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Related research
Keywords: structural change; anticipated shocks; rational expectations;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computational Techniques
E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation
E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-9.


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