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Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición
[Interdependence under different exchange rate regimes in the Mercosur. A macroeconomic computable general equilibrium model]

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Author Info
Carrera, Jorge Eduardo
Cicowiez, Martín
Lacunza, Hernán
Saavedra, Marcelo

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Abstract

Mercosur is currently going through an intermediate integration stage in which macroeconomic interdependence acquires more importance. Then, the need arises to adopt strategic definitions with regard to the future of the process itself. The study examines macroeconomic interdependence with a macroeconomic computable general equilibrium model. This enables an estimation of the sign and extent of transmission of shocks originating either in a Mercosur country or in the rest of the world. The results of the model simulations show that interdependence has important effects. We discuss the possibility of implementing a process of cooperation as an alternative to play Nash in some key policies.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/7845/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7845.

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Date of creation: Dec 2005
Date of revision: 2005
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7845

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Related research
Keywords: exchange rate regimes Mercosur CGE models shocks simulations policy coordination channel of transmission

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation
E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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  1. Harrison, Glenn W & Vinod, H D, 1992. "The Sensitivity Analysis of Applied General Equilibrium Models: Completely Randomized Factorial Sampling Designs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(2), pages 357-62, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Carrera, Jorge Eduardo/J.E., 2004. "Hard peg and monetary unions.Main lessons from the Argentine experience," MPRA Paper 7843, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2007. [Downloadable!]
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