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Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach

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  • Müller-Kademann Christian

    (German University in Cairo – GUC, Faculty of Management Technology, Department of Economics, Al Tagamoa Al Khames, 11835 New Cairo City, Egypt)

Abstract

Temporal disaggregation is a recurrent problem in applied econometrics. This paper proposes a novel test approach for checking internal consistency of the disaggregation procedure. This test can serve as a substitute for external validations which deems useful when disaggregating under data poor conditions. The test builds on Chow and Lin’s 1971 disaggregation model and rests on the known parameter decay triggered by the temporal aggregation. A simulation study shows that the test indeed provides useful information. Temporal disaggregation of Swiss GDP figures illustrate the approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015. "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(3), pages 298-319, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:235:y:2015:i:3:p:298-319
    DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-0305
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