The integration of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries into theEuropean Union is supposed to bring them significant benefits. Along with the effects comingfrom changes in tariffs, accession to the EU internal market and free labor movement onGDP, consumption and terms of trade, the absorption of EU funds could help the process ofconvergence and catching up. Discussing the results of two "extreme" scenarios (fullabsorption of funds or non absorption at all, assumptions considered as not realistic) by theapplication of HEROM model for Romania, the study attempt to assess the impact of EUstructural funds on foreign trade development, under the circumstances of differentabsorption rates, finding a stronger impact on exports compared with imports. However,adverse effects of the current international financial crisis could occur, affecting also theprospects for the Romanian economy.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation O19 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
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