Central Bank of Ireland
Research Technical Papers
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2013
- 04/RT/13 Understanding Irish house price movements - a user cost of capital approach
by Browne, Frank & Conefrey, Thomas & Kennedy, Gerard - 03/RT/13 Why Firms Avoid Cutting Wages: Survey Evidence from European Firms
by Du Caju, Philip & Kosma, Theodora & Lawless, Martina & Messina, Julián & Rõõm, Tairi - 02/RT/13 Age or Size? Determinants of Job Creation
by Lawless, Martina - 01/RT/13 On the hook for impaired bank lending: Do sovereign-bank inter-linkages affect the fiscal multiplier?
by Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran
2012
- 10/RT/12 Sovereign default and macroeconomic tipping points
by Joy, Mark - 09/RT/12 Explaining Irish Inflation During the Financial Crisis
by Bermingham, Colin & Coates, Dermot & Larkin, John & O'Brien, Derry & O'Reilly, Gerard - 08/RT/12 Supply, Demand and Prices in the US Housing Market
by Conefrey, Thomas & Whelan, Karl - 07/RT/12 Real-time forecasting in a data-rich environment
by Liebermann, Joelle - 06/RT/12 Determinants of SME Loan Default: The Importance of Borrower-Level Heterogeneity
by McCann, Fergal & McIndoe-Calder, Tara - 05/RT/12 Housing Equity Withdrawal, Property Bubbles and Consumption
by Lydon, Reamonn & O'Hanlon, Niall - 04/RT/12 Firm Credit in Europe: A Tale of Three Crises
by Holton, Sarah & Lawless, Martina & McCann, Fergal - 03/RT/12 Determinants of default: Evidence from a sector-level panel of Irish SME loans
by Lawless, Martina & McCann, Fergal - 02/RT/12 Modelling the corporate deposits of Irish financial institutions: 2009 - 2010
by McQuinn, Kieran & Woods, Maria - 01/RT/12 The financial crisis and the pricing of interest rates in the Irish mortgage market: 2003-2011
by Goggin, Jean & Holton, Sarah & Kelly, Jane & Lydon, Reamonn & McQuinn, Kieran
2011
- 15/RT/11 Fiscal fan charts - A tool for assessing member states’ (likely?) compliance with EU fiscal rules
by Cronin, David & Dowd, Kevin - 14/RT/11 What Lies Beneath? Understanding Recent Trends in Irish Mortgage Arrears
by Lydon, Reamonn & McCarthy, Yvonne - 13/RT/11 The Good, The Bad and The Impaired - A Credit Risk Model of the Irish Mortgage Market
by Kelly, Robert - 12/RT/11 The Irish Mortgage Market: Stylised Facts, Negative Equity and Arrears
by Kennedy, Gerard & McIndoe Calder, Tara - 11/RT/11 Credit Access for Small and Medium Firms: Survey Evidence for Ireland
by Lawless, Martina & McCann, Fergal - 10/RT/11 The Irish Macroeconomic Response to an External Shock with an Application to Stress Testing
by Birmingham, Colin & Conefrey, Thomas - 9/RT/11 Impairment and Negative Equity in the Irish Mortgage Market
by Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran - 8/RT/11 Repo Market Microstructure in Unusual Monetary Policy Conditions
by Dunne, Peter & Fleming, Michael J. & Zholos, Andrey - 7/RT/11 The Impact of Macroeconomic News on Bond Yields: (In)Stabilities over Time and Relative Importance
by Liebermann, Joelle - 6/RT/11 Behavioural Characteristics and Financial Distress
by McCarthy, Yvonne - 5/RT/11 The Value Relevance of Sentiment
by Dunne, Peter & Forker, John & Zholos, Andrey - 4/RT/11 Structural Breaks - An Instrumental Variable Approach
by Conniffe, Denis & Kelly, Robert - 3/RT/11 Real-Time Nowcasting of GDP: Factor Model versus Professional Forecasters
by Liebermann, Joelle - 2/RT/11 Marginal Distance: Does Export Experience Reduce Firm Trade Costs?
by Lawless, Martina - 1/RT/11 Exploring the Steady-State Relationship between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy - The Case of Ireland
by Kelly, Robert & McQuinn, Kieran & Stuart, Rebecca
2010
- 8/RT/10 Understanding and Forecasting Aggregate and Disaggregate Price Dynamics
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Bermingham, Colin - 7/RT/10 How Do Firms Set Prices? Survey Evidence from Ireland
by Keeney, Mary J. & Lawless, Martina & Murphy, Alan - 6/RT/10 An analysis of the determinants of risk attitudes in Ireland and the United Kingdom
by McQuinn, Kieran & O’Donnell, Nuala - 5/RT/10 Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?
by D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl - 4/RT/10 The Determination of Wages of Newly Hired Employees: Survey Evidence on Internal versus External Factors
by Keeney, Mary & Galusc´ak, Kamil & Smets, Frank & Nicolitsas, Daphne & Strzelecki, Pawel & Vodopivec, Matija - 3/RT/10 Testing for Asymmetric Pricing Behaviour in Irish and UK Petrol and Diesel Markets
by Bermingham, Colin & O’ Brien, Derry - 2/RT/10 How are Irish households coping with their mortgage repayments? Information from the SILC Survey
by McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran - 1/RT/10 Wage Setting and Wage Flexibility in Ireland:Results from a Firm-level Survey
by Keeney, Mary J. & Lawless, Martina
2009
- 16/RT/09 Money and uncertainty in democratised financial markets
by Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert - 15/RT/09 Euro Area Investment: the Generation of GDP Growth and the Marginal Product of Capital
by Ryan, Mary - 14/RT/09 Destinations of Irish Exports:A Gravity Model Approach
by Lawless, Martina - 13/RT/09 The United States as a growth leader for the Euro Area - A multi-sectoral approach
by McQuinn, Kieran & Slevin, Geraldine - 12/RT/09 The Margins of Labour Cost Adjustment:Survey Evidence from European Firms
by Lawless, Martina & Babecký, Jan & Du Caju, Philip & Kosma, Theodora & Messina, Julián & Rõõm, Tairi - 11/RT/09 Downward Nominal and Real Wage Rigidity:Survey Evidence from European Firms
by Lawless, Martina & Babecký, Jan & Du Caju, Philip & Kosma, Theodora & Messina, Julián & Rõõm, Tairi - 10/RT/09 Quantifying Revenue Windfalls from the Irish Housing Market
by Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard - 9/RT/09 Modelling Credit in the Irish Mortgage Market
by Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard - 8/RT/09 Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico - 7/RT/09 A Critical Assessment of Existing Estimates of Core Inflation
by Bermingham, Colin - 6/RT/09 A Model of Mortgage Credit
by Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard - 5/RT/09 Tax Complexity and Inward Investment
by Lawless, Martina - 4/RT/09 Consumer Financial Capability: A Comparison of the UK and Ireland
by O’Donnell, Nuala - 3/RT/09 Regional Tax Differences and Multinational Profits in Europe
by Murphy, Alan P. - 2/RT/09 Adjusting for Quality of Labour and Labour Services in Productivity Measurement
by Keeney, Mary J. - 1/RT/09 Financial Capability:New Evidence for Ireland
by Keeney, Mary J. & O’Donnell, Nuala
2008
- 9/RT/08 Now-casting Irish GDP
by D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry - 8/RT/08 Quantifying the Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation
by Bermingham, Colin - 7/RT/08 Wage Inflation and Structural Unemployment in Ireland
by Keeney, Mary J. - 6/RT/08 Where do Firms Export, How Much and Why?
by Lawless, Martina & Whelan, Karl - 5/RT/08 Deconstructing Gravity: Trade Costs and Extensive and Intensive Margins
by Lawless, Martina - 4/RT/08 Job Turnover in Irish Manufacturing 1976 -2006
by Lawless, Martina & Murphy, Alan P. - 3/RT/08 Identifying and Forecasting House Price Dynamics in Ireland
by D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard - 2/RT/08 Are sectoral stock prices useful for predicting euro area GDP?
by Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello - 1/RT/08 Estimating the Structural Demand for Irish Housing
by Addison-Smyth, Diarmaid & McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard
2007
- 10/RT/07 Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo - 9/RT/07 Institutions and Total Factor Productivity Convergence
by McGuinness, Anne - 8/RT/07 Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Whelan, Karl - 7/RT/07 A Note on Trade Costs and Distance
by Lawless, Martina & Whelan, Karl - 6/RT/07 Does Uncertainty Impact Money Growth? A Multivariate GARCH Analysis
by Cronin, David & Kennedy, Bernard - 5/RT/07 A Model of Cross-Country House Prices (228.91 KB PDF)
by McQuinn, Kieran & O' Reilly, Gerard - 4/RT/07 Understanding the Dynamics of Labour Shares and Inflation
by Lawless, Martina & Whelan, Karl - 3/RT/07 Successful Factor Market Competition Pre-Privatisation? China`s eclectic.com
by McGoldrick, Peter & Walsh, P. Paul - 2/RT/07 Firm Export Dynamics and the Geography of Trade
by Lawless, Martina - 1/RT/07 Solow (1956) as a Model of Cross-Country Growth Dynamics
by McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl
2006
- 17/RT/06 A Segmented Markets Model of Inflation
by Browne, Frank & Cronin, David - 16/RT/06 Commodity Prices, Money and Inflation
by Browne, Frank & Cronin, David - 15/RT/06 Assessing the Role of Income and Interest Rates in Determining House Prices
by McQuinn, Kieran & O'Reilly, Gerard - 14/RT/06 Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico - 13/RT/06 Measuring Irish Capital
by Keeney, Mary J. - 12/RT/06 Prospects for Growth in the Euro Area
by McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl - 11/RT/06 How Useful is Core Inflation for Forecasting Headline Inflation?
by Bermingham, Colin - 10/RT/06 An Examination of Data Revisions in the Quarterly National Accounts
by Bermingham, Colin - 9/RT/06 An Empirical Analysis of Transparency-Related Characteristics of European and US Sovereign Bond Markets
by Dunne, Peter & Moore, Michael J. & Portes, Richard - 8/RT/06 Sectoral explanations of employment in Europe: the role of services
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Serafini, Roberta & Ward, Melanie - 7/RT/06 Conditional Convergence Revisited: Taking Solow Very Seriously
by McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl - 6/RT/06 The Real Interest Rate Spread as a Monetary Policy Indicator
by Browne, Frank & Everett, Mary - 5/RT/06 (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability
by D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo - 4/RT/06 Consumption and Expected Asset Returns Without Assumptions About Unobservables
by Whelan, Karl - 3/RT/06 Some Empirical Observations on the Forward Exchange Rate Anomaly
by Bond, Derek & Harrison, Michael J & Hession, Niall & O’Brien, Edward J. - 2/RT/06 Testing for Long Memory and Nonlinear Time Series: A Demand for Money Study
by Bond, Derek & Harrison, Michael J & O’Brien, Edward J. - 1/RT/06 Geography and Firm Exports: New Evidence on the Nature of Sunk Costs
by Lawless, Martina
2005
- 10/RT/05 European Monetary Policy Surprises: The Aggregate and Sectoral Stock Market Response
by Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart & O'Reilly, Gerard - 9/RT/05 A Macro-econometric Model for Ireland
by McQuinn, Kieran & O’Donnell, Nuala & Ryan, Mary - 8/RT/05 Testing Parameter Stability: A Wild Bootstrap Approach
by O'Reilly, Gerard & Whelan, Karl - 7/RT/05 Modelling Inflation Dynamics: A Critical Review of Recent Research
by Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 6/RT/05 Firm Export Participation: Entry, Spillovers and Tradability
by Lawless, Martina - 5/RT/05 A New Mean Standard Deviation Utility Function and the Behaviour Towards Risk of Specialist Irish Agricultural Producers: 1988-1997
by Boyle, Gerry & Conniffe, Denis & McQuinn, Kieran - 4/RT/05 An Economic Activity Index for Ireland: The Dynamic Single-Factor Method
by Murphy, Alan P - 3/RT/05 Measuring Bank Profit Efficiency
by Fitzpatrick, Trevor & McQuinn, Kieran - 2/RT/05 Employment and Inflation Responses to an Exchange Rate Shock in a Calibrated Model
by Bermingham, Colin - 1/RT/05 Do Multinational Enterprises Relocate Employment to Low Wage Regions? Evidence from European Multinationals
by Konings, Jozef & Murphy, Alan
2004
- 10/RT/04 US Monetary Announcements and Irish Stockmarket Volatility
by Bredin, Don & Gavin, Caroline & O Reilly, Gerard - 9/RT/04 Why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than others? - A note
by Boyle, Gerry & McQuinn, Kieran - 8/RT/04 Staggered Price Contracts and Inflation Persistence: Some General Results
by Whelan, Karl - 7/RT/04 New Evidence on Balanced Growth, Stochastic Trends, and Economic Fluctations
by Whelan, Karl - 6/RT/04 Technology Shocks and Hours Worked: Checking for Robust Conclusions
by Whelan, Karl - 5/RT/04 House Prices and Mortgage Credit: Empirical Evidence for Ireland
by Fitzpatrick, Trevor & McQuinn, Kieran - 4/RT/04 Has Euro-Area Inflation Persistence Changed Over Time?
by O'Reilly,Gerard & Whelan, Karl - 3/RT/04 Cost Efficiency in UK and Irish Credit Institutions
by Fitzpatrick, Trevor & McQuinn, Kieran - 2/RT/04 A RATS subroutine to implement the Chow-Lin distribution/interpolation procedure
by Frain, John C. - 1/RT/04 A Model of the Irish Housing Sector
by Mc Quinn, Kieran
2003
- 9/RT/03 The Influence of Domestic and International Interest Rates on the ISEQ
by Bredin, Don & Gavin, Caroline & O'Reilly, Gerard - 8/RT/03 International Policy Rate Changes and Dublin Interbank Offer Rates
by Bredin, Don & Gavin, Caroline & O'Reilly, Gerard - 7/RT/03 Inflation and Money Growth: Evidence from a Multi-Country Data-Set
by Frain, John C. - 6/RT/03 Inflation Targets, Credibility and Persistence In a Simple Sticky-Price Framework
by Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 5/RT/03 Can Rational Expectations Sticky-Price Models Explain Inflation Dynamics
by Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 4/RT/03 Embodiment, Productivity, and the Age Distribution of Capital
by Whelan, Karl - 3/RT/03 Dynamic Factor Demands in a Changing Economy: An Irish Application
by Mc Quinn, Kieran - 2/RT/03 Alternative Models of the Irish Supply Side
by Mc Quinn, Kieran - 1/RT/03 Structural Model Of Irish Inflation
by Slevin, Geraldine
2002
- 6/RT/02 Forex Risk: Measurement and Evaluation using Value-at-Risk
by Bredin, Don & Hyde, Stuart - 5/RT/02 A Note on the Cointegration of Consumption, Income, and Wealth
by Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 4/RT/02 On the Relationships Between Real Consumption, Income, and Wealth
by Palumbo, Michael & Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 3/RT/02 Is There a "New Economy" in Ireland?
by Slevin, Geraldine - 2/RT/02 Does the Labour Share of Income Drive Inflation?
by Rudd, Jeremy & Whelan, Karl - 1/RT/02 An Empirical Analysis of Short-Run and Long-Run Irish Export Functions: Does Exchange Rate Volatility Matter?
by Bredin, Don & Fountas, Stilianos & Murphy, Eithne
2001
- 6/RT/01 Retail Interest Rate Pass-Through: The Irish Experience
by Bredin, Don & Fitzpatrick, Trevor & O'Reilly, Gerard - 5/RT/01 Potential Output and the Output Gap in Ireland
by Slevin, Geraldine - 4/RT/01 Liquidity Effects and Precautionary Saving in The Czech Republic
by Bredin, Don & Cuthbertson, Keith - 3/RT/01 Money Demand in the Czech Republic since Transition
by Bredin, Don & Cuthbertson, Keith - 2/RT/01 Alternative Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
by Bredin, Don - 1/RT/01 An Analysis of the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy in Ireland
by Bredin, Don & O’Reilly, Gerard
2000
- 5/RT/00 Differences in the Transmission of Monetary Policy in the Euro-Area: An Empirical Approach
by Daniel McCoy, & McMahon, Michael - 4/RT/00 Fiscal Sustainability When Time is on Your Side
by Cronin, David & Daniel McCoy, - 3/RT/00 Interpreting the Close to Balance Provision of the Stability and Growth Pact: Legal and Conceptual Aspects
by Cronin, David - 2/RT/00 Risk Premia and Long Rates in Ireland
by Bredin, Don & Cuthbertson, Keith - 1/RT/00 The Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure: The Case of Ireland
by Bredin, Don & Cuthbertson, Keith
1999
- 5/RT/99 The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) in a Small Open Economy: The Irish Context
by Meyler, Aidan - 4/RT/99 Measuring Structural Budget Balances in a Fast Growing Economy: The Case of Ireland
by Cronin, David & McCoy, Daniel - 3/RT/99 Asymmetric Adjustment Costs and The Dynamics of Housing Supply
by Kenny, Geoff - 2/RT/99 A Statistical Measure Of Core Inflation
by Meyler, Aidan - 1/RT/99 Inflation Analysis: An Overview
by Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan
1998
- 4/RT/98 Bayesian Var Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation
by Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry - 3/RT/98 Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models
by Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry - 2/RT/98 The Formulation of Monetary Policy in EMU
by Devine, Máiréad & McCoy, Daniel - 1/RT/98 The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Ireland
by Kenny, Geoff
1997
- 5/RT/97 Inflation Targeting: A Review of the Issues
by Devine, Máiréad & McCoy, Daniel - 4/RT/97 A Monetary Approach to the Analysis of Inflation in Ireland
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 3/RT/97 Low Inflation or Price Stability? A Look at the Issues
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 2/RT/97 How useful is Structural VAR Analysis for Irish economics?
by McCoy, Daniel - 1/RT/97 The Cointegration of International Interest rates
by Devine, Máiréad
1996
- 3B/RT/96 Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation In Ireland (Part 2)
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 7/RT/96 Market Risk: An introduction to the concept & analytics of Value-at-risk
by Frain, John & Meegan, Conor - 6/RT/96 Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Irish Import Prices
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 5/RT/96 Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation in Ireland: Further Evidence
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 4/RT/96 Forecasting Irish Inflation: A Composite Leading Indicator
by Quinn, Terry & Mawdsley, Andrew - 3A/RT/96 Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation In Ireland (Part 1)
by Kenny, Geoff & McGettigan, Donal - 2/RT/96 Capacity Utilisation in Irish Manufacturing
by Kenny, Geoff - 1/RT/96 Estimating Investment Functions for a Small-Scale Econometric Model
by Frain, John & Howlett, Derval & McGuire, Maurice