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Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002
[The accuracy of the National Economic Institute‘s forecasts 1981-2002]

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Author Info
Olafsdottir, Katrin

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Abstract

The National Economic Institute in Iceland was a government institute responsible for producing and publishing a national economic forecast. The institute was closed in 2002. This paper measures the accuracy of the institute's forecasts from 1981-2002. The paper measures the accuracy of the GDP forecast, private consumption, investment, imports and exports of goods and services.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/18257/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 18257.

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Date of creation: Jan 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:18257

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Related research
Keywords: Economic forecast; forecast error; root mean square error;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth
F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou, 2000. "A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 274, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
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