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The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy

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  • Tambalotti, Andrea
  • Primiceri, Giorgio
  • Justiniano, Alejandro

Abstract

. We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one fourth and one third of the increase in U.S. house prices and household debt that preceded the financial crisis. The key to these findings is that the model generates the sustained low level of interest rates observed over that period.

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  • Tambalotti, Andrea & Primiceri, Giorgio & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2013. "The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 9729, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9729
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    3. in 't Veld, Jan & Kollmann, Robert & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner, 2014. "International capital flows and the boom-bust cycle in Spain," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 314-335.
    4. Fratianni, Michele & Giri, Federico, 2017. "The tale of two great crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 5-31.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; Collateral constraints; Global imbalances; House prices; Household debt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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