The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics
Economics Working Paper Archive
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2013
- 607 The Case for Four Percent Inflation
by Laurence Ball
2012
- 606 Okun's Law: Fit at 50?
by Laurence Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani - 605 Informational Loss in Bundled Bargainings
by Ying Chen & Hülya Eraslan - 604 The U.S. Employment-Population Reversal in the 2000s: Facts and Explanations
by Robert A. Moffitt - 603 Mandatory Versus Discretionary Spending: the Status Quo Effect
by T. Renee Bowen & Ying Chen & Hülya Eraslan - 602 Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects
by Christopher Carroll & Jiri Slacalek & Martin Sommer - 601 Evaluating Mergers for Coordinated Effects and the Role of 'Parallel Accommodating Conduct'
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. - 600 The Economics of Options-Implied Inflation Probability Density Functions
by Yuriy Kitsul & Jonathan H. Wright - 599 Forecasting interest rates
by Gregory R. Duffee - 598 Bond pricing and the macroeconomy
by Gregory R. Duffee - 597 Implications of Wealth Heterogeneity For Macroeconomics
by Christopher D. Carroll - 596 Online Appendix: Misclassification Errors and the Underestimation of the U.S. Unemployment Rate
by Shuaizhang Feng & Yingyao Hu - 595 Misclassification Errors and the Underestimation of the U.S. Unemployment Rate
by Shuaizhang Feng & Yingyao Hu - 594 Estimating a Model of Strategic Network Choice: The Convenience-Store Industry in Okinawa
by Mitsukuni Nishida - 593 Expected Maharam-Types and Lyapunov's Theorem for Vector Measures on Banach Spaces
by M. Ali Khan & Nobusumi Sagara - 592 Expected Multi-Utility Representations
by Edi Karni & Tsogbadral Galaabaatar - 591 "Reverse Bayesianism": A Choice-Based Theory of Growing Awareness
by Edi Karni & Marie-Louise Vier� - 590 Ambiguity Attitudes and Social Interactions: An Experimental Investigation
by Gary Charness & Edi Karni & Dan Levin - 589 Ben Bernanke and the Zero Bound
by Laurence Ball - 588 A Theory of Tacit Collusion
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. - 587 Signaling and Tacit Collusion in an Infinitely Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. & Wei Zhao
2011
- 586 The Shapley-Folkman Theorem and the Range of a Bounded Measure: An Elementary and Unified Treatment
by M. Ali Khan & Kali P. Rath - 585 On Large Games with a Bio-Social Typology
by M. Ali Khan & Kali P. Rath & Yeneng Sun & Haomiao Yu - 584 Estimating Explaining Reallocation's Apparent Negative Contribution to Growth
by Mitsukuni Nishida & Amil Petrin & Sašo Polanec - 583 Estimating Production Functions with Robustness Against Errors in the Proxy Variables
by Guofang Huang & Yingyao Hu - 582 Unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean
by Laurence Ball & Nicol�s De Roux & Marc Hofstetter - 581 Nonparametric Identification Using Instrumental Variables: Sufficient Conditions For Completeness
by Yingyao Hu & Ji-Liang Shiu - 580 Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession
by Laurence Ball & Sandeep Mazumder - 579 An Assessment of the Effectiveness of Anti-Poverty Programs in the United States
by Yonatan Ben-Shalom & Robert Moffitt & John Karl Scholz - 578 Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004
by Robert Moffitt & Peter Gottschalk - 577 Information in (and not in) the term structure
by Greg Duffee - 576 Forecasting with the term structure: The role of no-arbitrage restrictions
by Greg Duffee - 573 Corporate Leniency with Private Information: The Push of Prosecution and the Pull of Pre-emption
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr.
2010
- 575 Sharpe ratios in term structure models
by Greg Duffee - 574 "Shooting the Messenger?" The Impact of Short Sale Bans in Times of Crisis
by Ian Appel & Caroline Fohlin - 572 Objective and Subjective Expected Utility with Incomplete Preferences
by Tsogbadral Galaabaatar & Edi Karni - 571 Estimation of cost synergies from mergers without cost data: Application to U.S. radio
by Przemyslaw Jeziorski - 570 Merger enforcement in two-sided markets
by Przemyslaw Jeziorski - 569 What Makes them Click: Empirical Analysis of Consumer Demand for Search Advertising
by Przemyslaw Jeziorski & Ilya Segal - 567 Asymptotic Distribution of JIVE in a Heteroskedastic IV Regression with Many Instruments
by Chao & Swanson & Hausman & Newey & Woutersen - 565 Posted Pricing as a Plus Factor
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. - 564 Horizontal Mergers of Online Firms: Structural Estimation and Competitive Effects
by Yonghong An & Michael R. Baye & Yingyao Hu & John Morgan & Matt Shum - 563 Rhetoric in Legislative Bargaining with Asymmetric Information
by Ying Chen & Hülya Eraslan - 562 Uniqueness of Stationary Equilibrium Payoffs in Coalitional Bargaining
by Andrew McLennan & Hülya Eraslan - 561 Misclassification errors and the underestimation of U.S. unemployment rates
by Shuaizhang Feng & Yingyao Hu - 560 Nonparametric Learning Rules from Bandit Experiments: The Eyes have it!
by Yingyao Hu & Yutaka Kayaba & Matt Shum - 559 Signaling and Tacit Collusion in an Infinitely Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. & Wei Zhao - 558 A Simple Estimator for Dynamic Models with Serially Correlated Unobservables
by Yingyao Hu & Matthew Shum & Wei Tan - 557 Identification and Estimation of Nonlinear Dynamic Panel Data Models with Unobserved Covariates
by Ji-Liang Shiu & Yingyao Hu
2009
- 566 Instrumental Variable Estimation with Heteroskedasticity and Many Instruments
by Hausman & Newey & Woutersen & Chao & Swanson - 556 Well-Posedness of Measurement Error Models for Self-Reported Data
by Yonghong An & Yingyao Hu - 555 Private Monitoring and Communication in Cartels: Explaining Recent Collusive Practices
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. & Andrzej Skrzypacz - 554 Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Mismeasured Regressors Using Marginal Information
by Yingyao Hu & Geert Ridder - 553 Nonparametric Identification of Auction Models with Non-Separable Unobserved Heterogeneity
by Yingyao Hu & David McAdams & Matthew Shum - 552 On the Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment: New Experimental Evidence Regarding Linda
by Edi Karni - 551 A Mechanism for Thawing the Credit Markets
by Edi Karni - 550 A Theory of Bayesian Decision Making
by Edi Karni - 549 When Does a Self-Serving Antitrust Authority Act in Society's Best Interests?
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr.
2008
- 568 Nonstationary Oblivious Equilibrium
by C. L. Benkard & P. Jeziorski & B. Van Roy & G. Y. Weintraub - 548 The Impact of a Corporate Leniency Program on Antitrust Enforcement and Cartelization
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. - 547 Strategic Voting over Strategic Proposals
by Philip Bond & Hulya Eraslan - 546 Identifying Dynamic Games with Serially-Correlated Unobservables
by Yingyao Hu & Matthew Shum - 545 The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the Cyclicality of Marginal Cost
by Sandeep Mazumder - 544 Endogenous Cartel Formation with Heterogeneous Firms
by Iwan Bos & Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. - 543 Nonparametric Identification of Dynamic Models with Unobserved State Variables
by Yingyao Hu & Matthew Shum - 542 International Evidence On Sticky Consumption Growth
by Christopher D. Carroll & Jiri Slacalek & Martin Sommer - 537 Avoiding Market Dominance: Product Compatibility in Markets with Network Effects
by Jiawei Chen & Ulrich Doraszelski & Joseph E. Harrington, Jr.
2007
- 541 Estimating First-Price Auctions with an Unknown Number of Bidders: A Misclassification Approach
by Yingyao Hu & Matthew Shum - 540 Identifying the Returns to Lying When the Truth is Unobserved
by Yingyao Hu & Arthur Lewbel - 539 Estimating Marginal Treatment Effects in Heterogeneous Populations
by Robert Moffit - 538 Dynamic time series binary choice
by Robert M. de Jong & Tiemen Woutersen - 536 Which Nonlinearity in the Phillips Curve? The Absence of Accelerating Deflation in Japan
by Emmanuel De Veirman
2006
- 535 How Large Is the Housing Wealth Effect? A New Approach
by Christopher D. Carroll & Misuzu Otsuka & Jirka Slacalek - 532 Modelling the Birth and Death of Cartels with an Application to Evaluating Antitrust Policy
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr - 531 How Do Cartels Operate?
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr - 530 Precautionary Saving and Precautionary Wealth
by Christopher D. Carroll & Miles S. Kimball
2005
- 534 Welfare Work Requirements with Paternalistic Government Preferences
by Robert Moffitt - 529 Innovators, Imitators, and the Evolving Architecture of Social Networks
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr - 528 he Impact of the Corporate Leniency Program on Cartel Formation and the Cartel Price Path
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr & Joe Chen - 527 Optimal Corporate Leniency Programs
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr - 526 Detecting Cartels
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr - 525 Estimating a Semi-Parametric Duration Model without Specifying Heterogeneity
by Tiemen Woutersen & Jerry Hausman - 524 Foundations of Bayesian Theory
by Edi Karni - 523 Subjective Expected Utility Theory without States of the World
by Edi Karni - 522 Do World Shocks Drive Domestic Business Cycles? Some Evidence from Structural Estimation
by Thomas Lubik & Wing Teo - 521 A Bayesian Look at New Open Economy Macroeconomics
by Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide - 520 The Method of Endogenous Gridpoints for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems
by Christopher Carroll - 519 A New Approach to Modeling Decision-Making under Uncertainty and Defining Subjective Probabilities
by Edi Karni
2004
- 518 A Note on Instability and Indeterminacy in Search and Matching Models
by Thomas Lubik & Michael Krause - 517 Theoretical Foundations of Buffer Stock Saving
by Christopher D. Carroll - 516 Some Foundations for Multiplicative Habits Models
by Ryoji Hiraguchi - 515 Agent-Based Models of Organizations
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E Harrington Jr - 513 On-the-Job Search and the Cyclical Dynamics of the Labor Market
by Thomas Lubik & Michael Krause - 511 Monetary Policy and the Dangers of Deflation:Lessons from Japan
by Daniel Leigh - 509 Collusion under Monitoring of Sales
by Joseph E Harrington & Jr Andrzej Skrzypacz - 506 Disinflations in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Free Lunch?
by Marc Hofstetter
2003
- 505 Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? A Structural Investigation
by Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide - 504 The (Ir)relevance of Real Wage Rigidity in the New Keynesian Model with Search Frictions
by Thomas Lubik & Michael Krause - 503 Nonlinear Pricing with Self-Control Preferences
by Matt Shum & S Esteban & E Miyagawa - 502 Monopoly Quality Degradation in Cable Television
by Matt Shum & G Crawford - 501 Nonparametric Tests for Common Values in First-Price Auctions
by Matt Shum & Phil Haile & Han Hong - 500 An Inventory of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in a New Keynesian Macroeconomic Model
by Thomas Lubik & Massimiliano Marzo - 497 Media as Watchdogs: The Role of News Media in Electoral Competition
by Jimmy Chan & Wing Suen - 496 The Role of Non-Financial Factors in Exit and Entry in the TANF Program
by Robert Moffitt - 493 Industrial Structure and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy
by Thomas Lubik - 492 Moral Sentiments and Social Choice: Fairness Considerations in University Admissions
by Edi Karni & Zvi Safra - 491 Monetary Policy for Inattentive Economies
by Laurence Ball & N Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis - 490 Investment Spending,Equilibrium Indeterminacy and the Interactions of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
by Thomas Lubik
2002
- 514 Cartel Pricing Dynamics with Cost Variability and Endogenous Buyer Detection
by Joseph E Harrington Jr & Joe Chen - 512 The Interest Rate Learning and Inventory Investment
by Bartholomew Moore & Louis J Maccini & Huntley Schaller - 489 Discovery and Diffusion of Knowledge in an Endogenous Social Network
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E Harrington Jr - 488 Post-Cartel Pricing during Litigation
by Joseph E Harrington Jr - 487 Cartel Pricing Dynamics in the Presence of an Antitrust Authority
by Joseph E Harrington Jr - 486 Milton Friedman, the Negative Income Tax, and the Evolution of US Welfare Policy
by Robert Moffitt - 485 Supply Shocks and the Persistence of Inflation
by Martin Sommer - 484 Exact Arbitrage and Portfolio Analysis in Large Asset Markets
by M Ali Khan & Yeneng Sun - 483 Exact Arbitrage Well-Diversified Potfolios and Asset Pricing in Large Markets
by M Ali Khan & Yeneng Sun - 482 Non-Cooperative Games with Many Players
by M Ali Khan & Yeneng Sun - 481 Short-run Money Demand
by Laurence Ball - 480 Testing for Indeterminacy:An Application to U.S. Monetary Policy
by Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide - 479 Admission Impossible? Self Interest and Affirmative Action
by Jimmy Chan & Erik Eyster - 477 Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters
by Christopher D Carroll - 476 Externalities of Non-Cooperative Tax Policy in the Globally Integrated Market
by Akinori Tomohara - 475 The NAIRU in Theory and Practice
by Laurence Ball & N Gregory Mankiw - 474 Learning Hypothesis Testing and Nash Equilibrium
by Peyton Young - 473 Inventories Employment and Hours
by Marzio Galeotti & Louis J Maccini & Fabio Schiantarelli - 472 Greenspan and the Greenbook
by Robert Tchaidze - 436 Rates of Information Aggregation in Common Value Auctions
by Han Hong & Matthew Shum
2001
- 478 Intergenerational Risk Sharing in the Spirit of Arrow Debreu and Rawls with Applications to Social Security Design
by Laurence Ball & N Gregory Mankiw - 469 A Panic Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration
by Jushan Bai & Serena Ng - 468 Can Sticky Prices Account for the Variations and Persistence in Real Exchange Rates?
by Serena Ng - 467 A New Look at Panel Testing of Stationarity and the PPP Hypothesis
by Jushan Bai & Serena Ng - 466 PPP May not Hold After all: A Further Investigation
by Serena Ng & Pierre Perron - 465 The Fed and the New Economy
by Laurence Ball & Robert R Tchaidze - 464 Economic Effects of Means-Tested Transfers in the US
by Robert Moffitt - 463 The Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Program
by Robert Moffitt - 462 The Epidemiology of Macroeconomic Expectations
by Christopher D Carroll - 460 Optimal Cartel Pricing in the Presence of an Antitrust Authority
by Joseph E Harrington - 459 Empirical Likelihood-Based Selection Criteria for Moment Condition Models
by Han Hong & Bruce Preston & Matthew Shum - 458 Sentiment Predictable Income and Habits in the Dynamics of Aggregate Consumption
by Martin Sommer - 457 Estimating Taylor Rules in a Real Time Setting
by Robert R Tchaidze - 456 Computing Sunspots in Linear Rational Expectations Models
by Thomas A Lubik & Frank Schorfheide - 455 Liquidity Constraints and Precautionary Saving
by Christopher D Carroll & Miles S Kimball - 454 Durable-Goods Oligopoly with Secondary Markets: Theory and an Empirical Application to the Automobile Market
by Susanna Esteban & Matthew Shum - 453 Econometric Models of Asymmetric Ascending Auctions
by Han Hong & Matthew Shum - 450 Productivity Growth and the Phillips Curve
by Laurence Ball & Robert Moffitt - 449 Sutton on Marshall's Tendencies
by Carl F Christ - 448 Firm Adaptation Consumer Sorting and Market Dominance
by Joseph E Harrington Jr - 447 Increasing Competition and the Winner's Curse: Evidence from Procurement
by Han Hong & Matthew Shum - 446 Sacrifice Ratios with Long-Lived Effects
by Lawrence Huiyan Zhang - 445 Precautionary Saving and the Marginal Propensity To Consume Out of Permanent Income
by Christopher D Carroll - 444 Individual Learning About Consumption
by Todd W Allen & Christopher D Carroll - 417 A Simple Game-Theoretic Explanation for the Relationship Between Group Size and Helping
by Joseph E Harrington Jr
2000
- 461 A Semiparametric Estimator for Dynamic Optimization Models
by Han Hong & Matthew Shum - 442 Organization of Innovation in a Multi-Unit Firm: Coordinating Adaptive Search on Multiple Rugged Landscapes
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E Harrington - 441 On the Non-Existence of Reputation Effects in Two-Person Infinitely-Repeated Games
by Jimmy Chan - 437 The Diffusion of Innovations in Social Networks
by H Peyton Young - 435 Near-Rationality and Inflation in Two Monetary Regimes
by Laurence Ball - 434 Welfare Benefits and Female Headship in US Time Series
by Robert A Moffitt - 433 International Comovement Revisited: The Role of Non-Traded Goods and Price Stickiness
by Thomas A Lubik - 431 Measuring the Equilibrium Effects of Unemployment Benefits Dispersion
by Aico van Vuuren & Gerard J van den Berg & Geert Ridder - 430 Portfolios of the Rich
by Christopher D Carroll - 429 'Risky Habits' and the Marginal Propensity to Consume Out of Permanent Income or How Much Would a Permanent Tax Cut Boost Japanese Consumption?
by Christopher D Carroll - 426 Input and Output Inventories
by Brad R Humphreys & Louis J Maccini & Scott Schuh - 425 Social Employment Of Welfare Recipients In Belgium: An Evaluation
by Bart Cockx & Geert Ridder - 424 Semi-Nonparametric Estimation of an Equilibrium Search Model
by Pierre Konig & Gerard J van der Berg & Geert Ridder - 421 Solving Consumption Models with Multiplicative Habits
by Christopher D Carroll - 419 Progressive Ambition Electoral Selection and the Creation of Ideologues
by Joseph E Harrington Jr - 414 Taxation and the Labor Supply - Decisions of the Affluent
by Robert A Moffitt & Mark Wilhelm - 411 Organizational Structure and Perpetual Innovation: A Computational Model of a Retail Chain
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E Harrington Jr - 380 A Theory of Rigid Extremists and Flexible Moderates With An Empirical Application To The US Congress
by S Brock Blomberg & Joseph E Harrington Jr
1999
- 440 Does Banning Affirmative Action Harm College Student Quality
by Jimmy Chan & Erik Eyster - 423 On the Impossibility of Predicting the Behavior of Rational Agents
by Dean Foster & H Peyton Young - 420 Realized Stock Volatility
by Heiko Ebens - 416 Unemployment Risk and Precautionary Wealth: Evidence from Households' Balance Sheets
by Christopher D Carroll & Karen E Dynan & Spencer D Krane - 415 Social Employment of Welfare Recipients in Belgium: An Evaluation
by Geert Ridder & Bart Cockx - 413 Discrete Choice and Stochastic Utility Maximization
by Ruud H Koning & Geert Ridder - 398 The Equilibrium Level of Rigidity in a Hierarchy
by Joseph E Harrington Jr
1998
- 418 Decentralized Business Strategies in a Multi-Unit Firm
by Myong-Hun Chang & Joseph E Harrington Jr - 412 Correcting for Selective Compliance in a Re-Employment Bonus Experiment
by Govert Bijwaard & Geert Ridder - 409 The Supremum Argument in the New Approach to the Existence of Equilibrium in Vector Lattices
by M Ali Khan & Rabee Tourky & Rajiv Vohra - 406 Homeownership Committed Expenditure Risk and the Stockholding Puzzle
by Michael C Fratantoni - 405 Assymptotic Arbitrage and Asset Pricing Models on General Index Sets and on the Lebesgue Continuum
by M Ali Khan & Yeneng Sun - 404 The Murdukovich Normal Cone and the Foundations of Welfare Economics
by M Ali Khan - 401 Does Cultural Origin Affect Saving Behaviour? Evidence From Immigrants
by Christopher D Carroll & Byung-Kun Rhee & Changyong Rhee - 400 International Treaties on Global Pollution: A Dynamic Time-Path Analysis
by Parkash Chander - 399 A Stronger Measure of Risk Aversion and a General Characterization of Optimal Income Tax Enforcement
by Parkash Chander - 397 Electoral Selection and the Creation of Ideologues
by Joseph E Harrington Jr - 395 The True Cost of Living: 1974 - 1991
by Bruce W Hamilton - 394 Non-Cooperative Games on Hyperfinite Loeb Spaces
by M Ali Khan & Yeneng Sun - 393 Pure-Strategy Nash Equilibrium Points in Large Non-Anonymous Games
by M Ali Khan & Kali P Rath & Yeneng Sun - 379 An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of income Dynamics
by John Fitzgerald & Peter Gottschalk & Robert Moffitt - 373 The Decline of Welfare Benefits in the US: The Role of Wage Inequality
by Robert Moffitt & David Ribar & Mark Wilhelm
1997
- 533 Handedness and Earnings
by Christopher S. Ruebeck & Joseph E. Harrington, Jr & Robert Moffitt - 392 A Model of Temporary Search Market Equilibrium
by Michael T Rauh - 391 Input and Output Inventories
by Brad R Humphreys & Louis J Maccini & Scott Schuh - 390 Death to the Log-Linearized Consumption euler Equation! (And Very Poor Health to the Second-Order Approximation)
by Christopher D Carroll - 388 Why Do the Rich Save So Much?
by Christopher D Carroll - 387 Comparison Utility in a Growth Model
by Christopher D Carroll & Jody Overland & David N Weil - 386 Unemployment Expectations Jumping (Ss) Triggers and Household Balance Sheets
by Christopher D Carroll & Wendy E Dunn