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Population Aging and International Capital Flows

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Author Info
Martin Floden
David Domeij

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Abstract

We use the neoclassical growth framework to model international capital flows in a world with exogenous demographic change. We compare model implications and actual current account data and find that the model explains a small but significant fraction of capital flows between OECD countries, in particular after 1985

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2004 Meeting Papers with number 490.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed004:490

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Related research
Keywords: current account international capital mobility demographics Feldstein-Horioka puzzle

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation

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  1. Alexander Ludwig, 2004. "Improving Tatonnement Methods of Solving Heterogeneous Agent Models," MEA discussion paper series 04058, Mannheim Research Institute for the Economics of Aging (MEA), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  2. Michael Graff & Kam-Ki Tang & Jie Zhang, . "Demography, Financial Openness, National Savings and External Balance," MRG Discussion Paper Series 2008, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Krüger, Dirk & Ludwig, Alexander, 2006. "On the Consequences of Demographic Change for Rates of Return to Capital, and the Distribution of Wealth and Welfare," CEPR Discussion Papers 5834, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Adema, Yvonne & Meijdam, Lex & Verbon, Harrie A.A., 2006. "Beggar thy thrifty neighbour : the international spillover effects of pensions under population ageing," Discussion Paper 47, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Axel Börsch-Supan & Alexander Ludwig & Joachim Winter, 2004. "Aging, Pension Reform, and Capital Flows: A Multi-Country Simulation Model," MEA discussion paper series 04064, Mannheim Research Institute for the Economics of Aging (MEA), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Horag Choi & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul, 2007. "Endogenous Discounting, the World Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account," NBER Working Papers 13571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Andrea Ferrero, 2007. "The long-run determinants of U.S. external imbalances," Staff Reports 295, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  8. Erik Lueth, 2008. "Capital Flows and Demographics--An Asian Perspective," IMF Working Papers 08/8, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. Takumi Naito & Laixun Zhao, 2008. "Aging, transitional dynamics, and gains from trade," Discussion Paper Series 215, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University. [Downloadable!]
  10. Alexander Ludwig, 2004. "Improving Tatonnement Methods of Solving Heterogeneous Agent Models," MEA discussion paper series 04058, Mannheim Research Institute for the Economics of Aging (MEA), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  11. Rose, Andrew K & Supaat, Saktiandi, 2007. "Fertility and the Real Exchange Rate," CEPR Discussion Papers 6312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Lane, Philip R., 2006. "The Swedish External Position and the Krona," Working Paper Series 200, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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  13. Axel Boersch-Supan & Alexander Ludwig, 2005. "Aging, pension reform, and capital flows: A multi-country simulation model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 123, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Börsch-Supan, Axel & Ludwig, Alexander & Winter, Joachim, 2004. "Aging, Pension Reform, and Capital Flows:," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-65, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  15. Mario Catalán & Jaime Guajardo & Alexander W. Hoffmaister, 2008. "Global Aging and Declining World Interest Rates: Macroeconomic Insurance Through Pension Reform in Cyprus," IMF Working Papers 08/98, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  16. Ludwig, Alexander, 2004. "Improving Tatonnement Methods for Solving Heterogeneous Agent Models," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-29, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
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