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Investigating the Impact of an Appreciation of the Euro in a Small Macroeconometric Model of Germany and the Euro Area

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  • Carsten-Patrick Meier
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    Abstract

    Since the start of European monetary union, the macroeconomic situation in Germany can in many respects only be analyzed in combination with the situation in the rest of the euro area. To take this into account, a small macroeconometric model is constructed that models the euro area as consisting of two regions, Germany and the rest of the euro area. The rest of the world is treated as exogenous. Given problems with modelling the relevant relationships in a standard vector autoregression approach, the model is set up as a dynamic simultaneous equations model. The model is used to study the impact of monetary policy or of exchange rate changes on economic activity in Germany and the euro area.

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    File URL: http://www.ifw-members.ifw-kiel.de/publications/investigating-the-impact-of-an-appreciation-of-the-euro-in-a-small-macroeconometric-model-of-germany-and-the-euro-area/kap1204.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy in its series Kiel Working Papers with number 1204.

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    Length: 21 pages
    Date of creation: Nov 2004
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:kie:kieliw:1204

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    Keywords: Macroeconometric model for Germany; euro area; appreciation;

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    1. Fox, Kevin J & Kohli, Ulrich & Warren, Ronald S, Jr, 2002. "Accounting for Growth and Output Gaps: Evidence from New Zealand," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 78(242), pages 312-26, September.
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    Cited by:
    1. Jonas Dovern & Carsten-Patrick Meier, 2006. "Macroeconomic Aspects of Structural Labor Market Reforms in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1295, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

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