Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

How Important are Nominal Shocks in Driving Real Exchange Rates?

Contents:

Author Info

  • Bernd Kempa

    ()
    (Universitaet Duisburg-Essen)

Abstract

Most of the extant literature identifies the sources of real exchange rate fluctuations by means of structural VAR analysis using long-run identification restrictions only. This paper presents an analogous decompositon on the basis of a simple textbook model of exchange rate determination, where identification is achieved after a suitable triangularization. This identification strategy allows for a calibration on the basis of the contemporaneous restrictions implied by the model. In order to facilitate a comparison with the results form the structural VAR stuies, very similar data are used here as well. These ar quarterly data collected on the bilateral exchange rates for the Deutsche Mark, the British Pound and the Japanese Yen, all relative to the U.S. Dollar. The implied impulse response functions of the model exhibit impact reactions of the exchange rate following either a monetary (nominal) or a real shock, thus conforming to the asset price property of exchange rates. This is in contrast to the delayed exchange rate responses typical in the structural VAR studies. Moreover, The variance decompositions indicate a dominant role for real shocks, with nominal shocks recognizable at best only in the short run. These results correspond quite closely to those obtained from structural VARs.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.wiso-net.de/webcgi?START=A60&DOKV_DB=ZECO&DOKV_NO=JFNS200502012&DOKV_HS=0&PP=1
File Function: Main text
Download Restriction: Access via GENIOS - German Business Information - http://www.genios.de/r_startseite/index.ein

File URL: http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ecn&AN=0794171&site=ehost-live
File Function: Main text
Download Restriction: Access via EBSCOhost Econlit - http://www.ebscohost.com/

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics in its journal Journal of Economics and Statistics.

Volume (Year): 225 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 (March)
Pages: 192-204

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:225:y:2005:i:2:p:192-204

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Licher Straße 74, 35394 Gießen
Phone: +49 (0)641 99 22 001
Fax: +49 (0)641 99 22 009
Web page: http://wiwi.uni-giessen.de/home/oekonometrie/Jahrbuecher/
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: Nominal and real shocks; exchange rate variability; VAR;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1982. "Interest rates and currency prices in a two-country world," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 335-359.
  2. Weber, Axel A., 1997. "Sources of Purchasing Power Disparities Between the G3-Economies," Discussion Paper Serie B 419, University of Bonn, Germany.
  3. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Danny Quah, 1988. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbance," Working papers 497, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  4. Jordi Galí & Richard Clarida, 1993. "Sources of real exchage rate fluctuations: How important are nominal shocks?," Economics Working Papers 66, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 1994.
  5. Weber, Axel A., 1997. "Sources of Purchasing Power Disparities between the G3 Economies," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 548-583, December.
  6. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December.
  7. Mark P. Taylor, 1995. "The Economics of Exchange Rates," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 33(1), pages 13-47, March.
  8. Alan C. Stockman, 1978. "A Theory of Exchange Rate Determination," UCLA Economics Working Papers 113, UCLA Department of Economics.
  9. Jon Faust & Eric M. Leeper, 1994. "When do long-run identifying restrictions give reliable results?," International Finance Discussion Papers 462, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  10. Rogers, John H., 1999. "Monetary shocks and real exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 269-288, December.
  11. Goldstein, Morris & Khan, Mohsin S., 1985. "Income and price effects in foreign trade," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 20, pages 1041-1105 Elsevier.
  12. Lastrapes, William D, 1992. "Sources of Fluctuations in Real and Nominal Exchange Rates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(3), pages 530-39, August.
  13. Mussa, Michael, 1982. "A Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(1), pages 74-104, February.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:225:y:2005:i:2:p:192-204. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Peter Winker).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.