IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/emx/esteco/v36y2021i1p57-87.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en México, antes y después del COVID-19, 2018-2024/Sustainability of public debt in Mexico, before and after COVID-19, 2018-2024

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Carlos Rivas Valdivia

    (Sede Subregional de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe en México)

Abstract

En este documento se presenta una estimación contable y econométrica para el análisis de sostenibilidad de la deuda para México durante el periodo 2018-2024. El estudio pone especial énfasis en las trayectorias de deuda y en los factores internos y externos que pueden modificar dichas sendas, incluyendo la pandemia por COVID-19. El análisis concluye que algunos de los choques internos o externos extremos, modelados sobre la dinámica de la deuda pública en México, ponen en riesgo la sostenibilidad de su trayectoria en el mediano y largo plazo para el país.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Rivas Valdivia, 2021. "Sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en México, antes y después del COVID-19, 2018-2024/Sustainability of public debt in Mexico, before and after COVID-19, 2018-2024," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 36(1), pages 57-87.
  • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:36:y:2021:i:1:p:57-87
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/414/531
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    deuda; sostenibilidad; crecimiento económico; debt; sustainability; economic growth; México;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:36:y:2021:i:1:p:57-87. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ximena Varela (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cecolmx.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.