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The Evolution of Confidence for European Consumers and Businesses in France, Germany and Italy

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Author Info
Paolo carnazza (ISAE)
Giuseppe Parigi () (Banca dÂ’Italia, Research Department)
Abstract

The paper examines the evolution of consumer and business confidence indexes in France, Germany and Italy since the mid-eighties, using regressions of the indexes on a set of common macroeconomic variables for each country. Comparison of the results across agents (i.e. consumers and entrepreneurs in the same country) and across countries highlights some differences in behaviour that have emerged in the last fifteen years. In particular, the paper inquires into the causes of the recent break in the relationship between the consumer and business confidence indexes.

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Paper provided by Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department in its series Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) with number 406.

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Date of creation: Jun 2001
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Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_406_01

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Keywords: firms and consumers confidence index

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation

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    Other versions:
  3. Piero Cipollone, 2001. "La convergenza dei salari manifatturieri in Europa," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 398, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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    Other versions:
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  10. Riccardo De Bonis & Annalisa Ferrando, 2000. "The multimarket contacts theory; an application to Italian banks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 387, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  25. Ferraguto, G. & Pagano, P., 2000. "Endogenous Growth with Intertemporally Dependent Preferences," Papers 382, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
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  26. Dedola, Luca & Lippi, Francesco, 2005. "The monetary transmission mechanism: Evidence from the industries of five OECD countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1543-1569, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  27. Emilia Bonaccorsi di Patti & Giorgio Gobbi, 2001. "The Effects of Bank Consolidation and Market Entry on Small Business Lending," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 404, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  29. Patrizio Pagano & Fabiano Schivardi, 2001. "Firm Size Distribution and Growth," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 394, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  30. Francesco Lippi, 2000. "Revisiting the Case for a Populist Central Banker," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 386, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  31. Fabio Fornari & Antonio Mele, 2001. "A Simple Approach to the Estimation of Continuous Time CEV Stochastic Volatility Models of the Short-Term Rate," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 397, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  32. Michelacci, Claudio & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2000. "(Fractional) beta convergence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 129-153, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Gabor Vadas & Gergely Kiss, 2005. "The Role of the Housing Market in Monetary Transmission," Macroeconomics 0512010, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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