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Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP

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Author Info
Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos () (Central Bank of Peru)

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Abstract

El documento describe el Modelo de Proyección Trimestral (MPT) utilizado por el Banco Central de Reserva del Perú (BCRP) para fines de simulación de política monetaria y de proyección de las principales variables macroeconómicas. La estructura básica del modelo es una aproximación a la representación lineal de un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para una economía pequeña y abierta con dolarización parcial. El modelo incorpora expectativas racionales y posee un fundamento neo-keynesiano (rigidez de precios) que permite un rol de la política monetaria sobre las variables reales en el corto plazo. El documento presenta también ejercicios de simulación de momentos y de funciones impulsorespuesta generados con el MPT, así como algunas consideraciones adicionales sobre el sistema de proyecciones macroeconómicas del BCRP.

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File URL: http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Documentos-de-Trabajo/2009/Documento-de-Trabajo-06-2009.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco Central de Reserva del Perú in its series Working Papers with number 2009-006.

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Date of creation: Apr 2009
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Handle: RePEc:rbp:wpaper:2009-006

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Jr. Miro Quesada 441, Lima
Phone: 427-6250 ext. 3841
Fax: 426-6125
Web page: http://www.bcrp.gob.pe
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Related research
Keywords: Modelo semiestructural; Proyecciones macroeconómicas; Perú;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-15.


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