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Multi - Annual Scenarios Using A Small – Sized Rmsm Type Of Model In Order To Forecast The Main Macroeconomic Indicators In Romania

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Author Info
Nicolae, Mariana () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)
Albu, Lucian Liviu () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)
Andrei, Dalina () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)
Stanica, Cristian () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)
Iordan, Mioara () (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

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Abstract

Using a small-size RMSM model, the authors simulate development alternatives in the medium run, revealing their implications upon the Romanian economy. The reference scenario is characterized by a moderate economic growth, based on the increase in the investements. Both imports exports are expected to increase, but the trade deficit is also expected to increase. The authors develop two alternatives scenarios and compare the results with the results of Dobrescu model simulated for the same assumptions.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Journal for Economic Forecasting.

Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 25-31
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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2003:i:5:p:25-31

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Related research
Keywords: RMSM models; economic growth; forecasting;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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