Shipping Cost Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching and the Global Drivers of Inflation
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Uhlig, Harald, 2005.
"What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March.
- Uhlig, H.F.H.V.S., 1999. "What are the Effects of Monetary Policy on Output? Results from an Agnostic Identification Procedure," Discussion Paper 1999-28, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Uhlig, Harald, 1999. "What are the Effects of Monetary Policy on Output? Results from an Agnostic Identification Procedure," CEPR Discussion Papers 2137, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julian di Giovanni & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022.
"Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation,"
NBER Working Papers
30240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- di Giovanni, Julian & Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Silva, Alvaro & Yıldırım, Muhammed A., 2022. "Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17449, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julian di Giovanni & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation," Staff Reports 1024, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Julian di Giovanni & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Alvaro Silva & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation," CID Working Papers 414, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2010.
"Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(2), pages 665-696.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2008. "Structural vector autoregressions: theory of identification and algorithms for inference," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas & Lena Cleanthous, 2022.
"The relationship between shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 172, pages 40-49.
- Michail, Nektarios A. & Melas, Konstantinos D. & Cleanthous, Lena, 2022. "The relationship between shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 40-49.
- Nektarios A. Michail & Konstantinos D. Melas & Lena Cleanthous, 2022. "The relationship between shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2022-2, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2023.
"Shipping costs and inflation,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
- Ostry, Jonathan D. & Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nicholas Apergis & James E. Payne, 2013. "New Evidence on the Information and Predictive Content of the Baltic Dry Index," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-19, July.
- Uhlig, Harald, 1994. "What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots: A Bayesian Perspective," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(3-4), pages 645-671, August.
- Gianluca Benigno & Julian di Giovanni & Jan J. J. Groen & Adam I. Noble, 2022. "The GSCPI: A New Barometer of Global Supply Chain Pressures," Staff Reports 1017, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Morten O. Ravn & Harald Uhlig, 2002. "On adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott filter for the frequency of observations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(2), pages 371-375.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024.
"The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory,"
Economics Series Working Papers
1033, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers 32098, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," Discussion Papers 2405, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," CAMA Working Papers 2024-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Francesco Zanetti & Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," CIGS Working Paper Series 24-003E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-001, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 10930, CESifo.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2019.
"Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(617), pages 311-337.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2014. "Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations," Working Paper 2014/09, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2014. "Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 14-364, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Klug, Thorsten & Mayer, Eric & Schuler, Tobias, 2022.
"The corporate saving glut and the current account in Germany,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Thorsten Klug & Eric Mayer & Tobias Schuler, 2018. "The Corporate Saving Glut and the Current Account in Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 280, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Klug, Thorsten & Mayer, Eric & Schuler, Tobias, 2021. "The corporate saving glut and the current account in Germany," Working Paper Series 2586, European Central Bank.
- Klug, Thorsten & Mayer, Eric & Schuler, Tobias, 2019. "The corporate saving glut and the current account in Germany," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 100, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
- Klug, Thorsten & Mayer, Eric & Schuler, Tobias, 2019. "The Corporate Saving Glut and the Current Account in Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203523, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Ben Zeev, Nadav, 2018.
"What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period?,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 94-105.
- Nadav Ben Zeev, 2015. "WHAT CAN WE LEARN ABOUT NEWS SHOCKS FROM THE LATE 1990s AND EARLY 2000s BOOM-BUST PERIOD?," Working Papers 1501, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- Christian Glocker & Pascal Towbin, 2012.
"The Macroeconomic Effects of Reserve Requirements,"
WIFO Working Papers
420, WIFO.
- Christian Glocker & Pascal Towbin, 2012. "The Macroeconomic Effects Of Reserve Requirements," EcoMod2012 3850, EcoMod.
- Glocker, Ch. & Towbin P., 2012. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Reserve Requirements," Working papers 374, Banque de France.
- Tim Berg, 2012.
"Did monetary or technology shocks move euro area stock prices?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 693-722, October.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2010. "Do monetary and technology shocks move euro area stock prices?," MPRA Paper 23973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Breitenlechner, Maximilian & Scharler, Johann, 2016. "The Bank Lending Channel and the Market for Banks' Wholesale Funding," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145679, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Nadav Ben Zeev, 2019. "Is There A Single Shock That Drives The Majority Of Business Cycle Fluctuations?," Working Papers 1906, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- Thorsten Drautzburg, 2020.
"A narrative approach to a fiscal DSGE model,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(2), pages 801-837, May.
- Thorsten Drautzburg, 2014. "A Narrative Approach to a Fiscal DSGE Model," 2014 Meeting Papers 791, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Thorsten Drautzburg, 2016. "A narrative approach to a fiscal DSGE model," Working Papers 16-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul & Díaz-Cassou, Javier, 2023.
"An anatomy of external shocks in the Andean region,"
The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
- Carrillo Maldonado, Paul A. & Díaz Cassou, Javier, 2019. "An Anatomy of External Shocks in the Andean Region," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 9908, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Pooyan Amir‐Ahmadi & Thorsten Drautzburg, 2021. "Identification and inference with ranking restrictions," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(1), pages 1-39, January.
- Breitenlechner, Max & Mathy, Gabriel P. & Scharler, Johann, 2021.
"Decomposing the U.S. Great Depression: How important were loan supply shocks?,"
Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann, 2017. "Decomposing the U.S. Great Depression: How important were Loan Supply Shocks?," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168208, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Martin Geiger & Johann Scharler, 2018. "How do consumers interpret the macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations? Evidence from U.S. survey data," Working Papers 2018-13, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020.
"A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2020.
"Uniform Priors for Impulse Responses,"
Working Papers
22-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2023. "Uniform Priors for Impulse Responses," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Glocker, Christian & Towbin, Pascal, 2015. "Reserve requirements as a macroprudential instrument – Empirical evidence from Brazil," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 158-176.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2023. "What drives core inflation? The role of supply shocks," Working Paper Series 2875, European Central Bank.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Alessio Volpicella & Bo Yang, 2022. "The Use and Mis-Use of SVARs for Validating DSGE Models," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0522, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2023. "Understanding the global drivers of inflation: How important are oil prices?11We would like to thank Xuguang Simon Sheng, Guest Editor, and two anonymous reviewers for their detailed feedback. We also," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
- Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann & Sindermann, Friedrich, 2016. "Banks’ external financing costs and the bank lending channel: Results from a SVAR analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 228-246.
More about this item
Keywords
shipping cost uncertainty; inflation pass-through; endogenous regime switching;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-EEC-2024-01-08 (European Economics)
- NEP-INT-2024-01-08 (International Trade)
- NEP-MON-2024-01-08 (Monetary Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10798. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cesifde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.