Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa

Contents:

Author Info

  • Margaret Chitiga

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Pretoria University)

  • Bernard Decaluwé

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Laval University)

  • Ramos Mabugu

    ()
    (Financial and Fiscal Commission, South Africa)

  • Hélène Maisonnave

    ()

  • Véronique Robichaud

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Laval University)

  • Debra Shepherd

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

  • Servaas van der Berg

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

  • Dieter von Fintel

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

Abstract

This paper reports on a study to provide insights into the magnitude of the shocks associated with the recent global economic crisis in macroeconomic terms in South Africa, the country’s capacity to withstand or cushion these shocks, and the extent of fragility in terms of poverty levels and child wellbeing. The analysis combines macro-economic and micro-economic tools to assess the extent of the crisis’ impact on the country. The study finds that the poverty headcount ratio increases little in the moderate crisis scenario, but substantially under the severe scenario. However, under both scenarios there is a relatively successful return to close to the business as usual trend. It is important to note though that under both scenarios, more poverty sensitive measures (the poverty gap ratio and the poverty severity ratio) decline more, and remain in negative territory longer, showing that the major impact of the crisis is on the poorest, and that this impact is most difficult to overcome.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.ekon.sun.ac.za/wpapers/2010/wp132010/wp-13-2010.pdf
File Function: First version, 2010
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 13/2010.

as in new window
Length:
Date of creation: 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers112

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Private Bag X1, 7602 Matieland
Phone: 021-8082247
Fax: +27 (0)21-808 2409
Email:
Web page: http://www.ekon.sun.ac.za
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: Economic crisis; Computable general equilibrium; Forecasting and simulation; Almost ideal demand system; Child poverty measurement; South Africa;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Nabil Annabi & John Cockburn & Bernard Decaluwé, 2006. "Functional Forms and Parametrization of CGE Models," Working Papers MPIA, PEP-MPIA 2006-04, PEP-MPIA.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Mabugu, Ramos & Robichaud, Veronique & Maisonnave, Helene & Chitiga, Margaret, 2013. "Impact of fiscal policy in an intertemporal CGE model for South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 775-782.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers112. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Melt van Schoor).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.