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An Index of Coincident Economic Indicators for the Indian Economy

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Author Info
Pami Dua (Delhi School of Economics)
Anirvan Banerji (Economic Cycle Research Institute, New York)

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Abstract

An index of coincident economic indicators is constructed for the Indian economy since the mid 1950s. This tracks fluctuations in aggregate economic activity and determines the phase of the business cycle the economy is in at a given point in time. It thus helps to ascertain the timing of recessions and expansions in economic activity as well as speedups and slowdowns in economic growth.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics in its series Working papers with number 73.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cde:cdewps:73

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Related research
Keywords: Forecasting; Business Cycle;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation

Cited by:
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  1. Mohanty, Jaya & Singh, Bhupal & Jain, Rajeev, 2003. "Business cycles and leading indicators of industrial activity in India," MPRA Paper 12149, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Pami Dua, 2007. "Business Cycles in India," Working Papers id:1132, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Pami Dua, 2007. "Predicting Indian Business Cycles: Leading Indices for External and Domestic Sectors," Working Papers id:1144, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Tahsin Saadi-Sedik & Joannes Mongardini, 2003. "Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan," IMF Working Papers 03/170, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working papers 90, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "A Leading Index for India's Exports," Occasional papers 1, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
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