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The Reconciliation of Computable General Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Modelling: Grounds for Hope?

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Bruce F. Parsell
Alan A. Powell
Peter J. Wilcoxen

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Abstract

In the aftermath of the rational expectations debate and the onslaught of the New Classical economics,some builders of macroeconometric models have begun to change some of their habits, arguably for the better. In particular,neoclassical discipline is increasingly respected in the formulation of the steady states or balanced growth solutions of the latest versions of several models (e.g., Australia's Murphy Model,and the McKibbin-Sachs Global Model). As well,the behaviour of certain variables (especially exchange rates and investment) increasingly tends to be linked to intertemporal optimization. In this paper we evaluate these innovations and illustrate the role of each,using recent simulations of the Murphy and McKibbin-Sachs models. We conclude that conditions have never been better for convergence in the two streams of economy-wide modelling.

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Paper provided by Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre in its series Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers with number ip-44.

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Date of creation: Dec 1989
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Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:ip-44

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Lawrence H. Goulder & Barry Eichengreen, 1989. "Savings Promotion, Investment Promotion, and International Competitiveness," NBER Chapters, in: Trade Policies for International Competitiveness, pages 5-52 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Murphy, C W, 1988. "An Overview of the Murphy Model," Australian Economic Papers, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(0), pages 175-99, Supplemen.
  3. Mckibbin, W.J. & Siegloff, E.S., 1991. "The Australian Economy from the Global Perspective," Papers 86, Brookings Institution - Working Papers.
  4. Murphy, C W, 1988. "Rational Expectations in Financial Markets and the Murphy Model," Australian Economic Papers, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(0), pages 61-88, Supplemen.
  5. Budd, Alan & Dicks, Geoffrey & Holly, Sean & Keating, Giles & Robinson, Bill, 1984. "The London Business School econometric model of the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 355-420, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Abel, Andrew B & Blanchard, Olivier J, 1983. "An Intertemporal Model of Saving and Investment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(3), pages 675-92, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Sen, Partha & Turnovsky, Stephen J., 1989. "Deterioration of the terms of trade and capital accumulation: A re-examination of the Laursen-Metzler effect," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 227-250, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Feltenstein, Andrew, 1983. "A computational general equilibrium approach to the shadow pricing of trade restrictions and the adjustment of the exchange rate, with an application to Argentina," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 333-361, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Adams, Philip D, 1991. "An Extended Linear Expenditure System with Assets," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 0(0), pages 109-17, Supplemen.
  11. Galeotti, Marzio, 1988. "Tobin's Marginal 'q' and Tests of the Firm's Dynamic Equilibrium," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 267-77, October-D. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Treadway, Arthur B, 1969. "On Rational Entrepreneurial Behaviour and the Demand for Investment," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(106), pages 227-39, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Sen, Partha & Turnovsky, Stephen J, 1989. "Tariffs, Capital Accumulation, and the Current Account in a Small Open Economy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 30(4), pages 811-31, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Goulder, Lawrence H. & Summers, Lawrence H., 1989. "Tax policy, asset prices, and growth : A general equilibrium analysis," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 265-296, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. McKibbin, Warwick J & Siegloff, Eric S, 1988. "A Note on Aggregate Investment in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 64(186), pages 209-15, September.
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  16. Hayashi, Fumio, 1982. "Tobin's Marginal q and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 213-24, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Parsell, Bruce F & Powell, Alan A & Wilcoxen, Peter J, 1991. "The Effects of Fiscal Restraint on the Australian Economy as Projected by the Murphy and MSG2 Models: A Comparison," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 67(197), pages 97-114, June.
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  1. James H. Breece & Keith R. McLaren & Chris W. Murphy & Alan A. Powell, 1991. "Using the Murphy Model to Provide Short-Run Macroeconomic Closure for ORANI," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-56, Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre. [Downloadable!]
  2. Warwick. J. McKibbin, . "Quantifying APEC Trade Liberalization: A Dynamic Analysis," Discussion Papers 122, Brookings Institution International Economics. [Downloadable!]
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