The Inflation-Capacity Utilization Conundrum: Evidence from the Canadian Economy
AbstractIn this paper we develop a new, simple and, at the same time, general method for the estimation of the rate of capacity utilization (CU). This method draws on the standard theory of economic growth and makes use of the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) system of equations estimating technique with long-run restrictions. The measure of CU that we derive for the Canadian economy displays a similar profile with the corresponding survey measure. The results of the econometric analysis, however, show that the explanatory content of the SVAR measure with regard to the acceleration of inflation exceeds that of the survey, especially when it comes to the post-1990 years.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.
Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
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