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The Effect of Latvian Pension Reform on Savings and Government Budget

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Author Info
Konstantins Benkovskis () (Bank of Latvia)

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Abstract

This paper deals with pension reform’s effect on Latvian savings. We are studying the reaction of total savings and their components on change in the fully funded pillar’s share in the total pension system and on increase of the retirement age using overlapping generations model with many generations. The paper describes both the long-term and the short-term theoretical consequences of the changes in pension legislation. Finally, we evaluate the effect of Latvian pension reform on private savings, fully funded savings and government budget balance over the next 10 years. Model’s simulations show that the increase of the retirement age improves budget balance and total savings, while the introduction of the fully funded pensions redistributes the tax payments from the social budget to fully funded savings.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies in its journal Baltic Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (July)
Pages: 3-21
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Handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:6:y:2006:i:1:p:3-21

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Related research
Keywords: Pension reform; overlapping generations model; savings;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D91 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Consumer Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Peter Backé & Christian Thimann & Olga Arratibel & Oscar Calvo-Gonzalez & Arnaud Mehl & Carolin Nerlich, 2004. "The acceding countries’ strategies towards ERM II and the adoption of the euro - an analytical review," Occasional Paper Series 10, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2006. "Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU," Working Papers 0604, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Tamim Bayoumi and Barry Eichengreen., 1992. "Shocking Aspects of European Monetary Unification," Economics Working Papers 92-187, University of California at Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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