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The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Prices: Does the Fiscal Theory of Price Level Matter in Latvia?

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Author Info
Olegs Tkacevs () (Bank of Latvia)
Abstract

The paper studies the indirect impact of fiscal policy on prices. Exploring VAR in two variables, primary balance ratio to GDP and public debt ratio to GDP, and calculating the impulse response functions to innovations in the former variable, it supposes an evidence of the exogeneity of Latvian general government budget balance. Borrowing from the recently developed Fiscal Theory of Price Level (FTPL) it implies that deterioration of the budget balance may lead to an upward price adjustment needed to assure fiscal solvency.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies in its journal Baltic Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (July)
Pages: 23-36
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Handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:6:y:2006:i:1:p:23-36

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Related research
Keywords: Fiscal policy; budget balance;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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  1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Peter Backé & Christian Thimann & Olga Arratibel & Oscar Calvo-Gonzalez & Arnaud Mehl & Carolin Nerlich, 2004. "The acceding countries’ strategies towards ERM II and the adoption of the euro - an analytical review," Occasional Paper Series 10, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2006. "Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU," Working Papers 0604, Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Tamim Bayoumi and Barry Eichengreen., 1992. "Shocking Aspects of European Monetary Unification," Economics Working Papers 92-187, University of California at Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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