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Russian industrial sector in 2018: slowdown of exiting from stagnation of 2012–2016 (on business surveys’ findings)

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  • Tsukhlo Sergey

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

Abstract

Prolonged period of industrial business surveys conducted by the Gaidar Institute and representative range of indicators permit to resolve the first task – analyze the situation in the sector in 2018 – determine the place for the year 2018 in all the 27 years since the IET launched and carried out business surveys between 1992–2018. For this purpose, we will use aggregate indicators. The latter are usually calculated on a monthly basis on the findings obtained from monthly surveys. They became widely popular owing to promptness of the findings and shortage of data released on the Russian industrial sector. However, this approach to present surveys’ findings complicates assessment of each year as a whole. That is why we analyze all consolidated indicators in a year-on-year basis

Suggested Citation

  • Tsukhlo Sergey, 2019. "Russian industrial sector in 2018: slowdown of exiting from stagnation of 2012–2016 (on business surveys’ findings)," Published Papers ppaper-2019-969, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ppaper:ppaper-2019-969
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russian economy; industrial sector; industrial output;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • L21 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Business Objectives of the Firm
    • L52 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Industrial Policy; Sectoral Planning Methods

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