An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates
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DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(14)70020-X
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- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 723, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 9826, Banco de la Republica.
References listed on IDEAS
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Citations
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Cited by:
- Guarin, Alexander & Lozano, Ignacio, 2017. "Credit funding and banking fragility: A forecasting model for emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 168-189.
- Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Alexander Guarín-López, 2015.
"Fragilidad bancaria en Colombia: un análisis basado en las hojas de balance,"
Chapters, in: Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jair N. Ojeda-Joya (ed.), Política monetaria y estabilidad financiera en economías pequeñas y abiertas, chapter 10, pages 301-338,
Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014. "Fragilidad Bancaria en Colombia: Un Análisis Basado en las Hojas de Balance," Borradores de Economia 813, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alexander Guarín-López & Ignacio Lozano-Espitia, 2016.
"Credit Funding and Banking Fragility: An Empirical Analysis for Emerging Economies,"
Borradores de Economia
14306, Banco de la Republica.
- Alexander Guarín-López & Ignacio Lozano-Espitia, 2016. "Credit Funding and Banking Fragility: An Empirical Analysis for Emerging Economies," Borradores de Economia 931, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014.
"Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets,"
Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 32(75), pages 48-63, December.
- Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarin, 2014. "Banking fragility in Colombia: An empirical analysis based on balance sheets," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(75), pages 48-63, December.
- Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014. "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia 11145, Banco de la Republica.
- Ignacio Lozano & Alexander Guarín, 2014. "Banking Fragility in Colombia: An Empirical Analysis Based on Balance Sheets," Borradores de Economia 813i, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Franz Alonso Hamann Salcedo & Rafael Hernández & Luisa Fernanda Silva EScobar & Fernando Tenjo Galarza, 2013.
"Credit Pro-cyclicality and Bank Balance Sheet in Colombia,"
Borradores de Economia
762, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Franz Alonso Hamann Salcedo & Rafael Hernández & Luisa Fernanda Silva Escobar & Fernando Tenjo Galarza, 2013. "Credit Pro-cyclicality and Bank Balance Sheet in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 10695, Banco de la Republica.
- Carlos Quicazán, 2012. "Profundización Financiera y su efecto en las Firmas en Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 070, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan Guillermo Bedoya Ospina, 2017. "Ciclos de crédito, liquidez global y regímenes monetarios: una aproximación para América Latina," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 78, February.
- Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019. "Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 28-42, June.
- Arteaga Cabrales, Carolina & Huertas-Campos, Carlos Alfonso & Olarte Armenta, Sergio, 2013.
"Índice de desbalance macroeconómico,"
Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 8, pages 301-336,
Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Carolina Arteaga cabrales & Carlos Huertas Campos & Sergio Olarte Armenta, 2012. "Índice de Desbalance Macroeconómico," Borradores de Economia 744, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- María Victoria Landaberry, 2019. "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo 2019001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
- Urbina, Jilber, 2016. "Crecimiento del crédito en Nicaragua, ¿Crecimiento natural o boom crediticio? [Credit growth in Nicaragua: Natural growth or credit boom?]," MPRA Paper 75577, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2016.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2019. "Episodios de deterioro de la cuenta corriente en Colombia: factores externos, cíclicos y estructurales," Borradores de Economia 1061, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Franz Hamann & Rafael Hernández & Luisa Silva & Fernando Tenjo G., 2014.
"Leverage Pro-cyclicality and Bank Balance Sheet in Colombia,"
Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 32(73), pages 50-76, July.
- Franz Hamann & Rafael Hernández & Luisa Silva & Fernando Tenjo G., 2014. "Leverage Pro-cyclicality and Bank Balance Sheet in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 50-76, July.
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More about this item
Keywords
Early warning indicator; Credit booms; Bayesian Model Averaging; Emerging markets.;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
Statistics
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