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Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe

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  • Rémi Odry

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Roman Mestre

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the role of the monetary policy adopted by the European Central Bank (ECB) in business cycle synchronization in Europe between 2000 and 2018. To this aim, we employ wavelets to compute the pairwise business cycle correlations (BCC) at different frequencies and use Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) dynamic estimators in panel to explain their variations. Our results show that monetary policy has a long-term impact on the synchronization of business cycles in Europe. More specifically, we find that the adopted unconventional monetary policies impact positively the synchronization. Finally, we show that fiscal policies can be used as tools to fix country-specific movements of business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Rémi Odry & Roman Mestre, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe," Working Papers hal-04159759, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159759
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle synchronization; Monetary policy; EMU; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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